Today’s Drought Monitor map (see below) reflects the worsening moisture conditions across the heart of the U.S. production belt.
Worse, the heat is about to intensify and thus quickly deepen the root level water deficit. Already 57 percent of the corn and 51 percent of the soybeans are in drought. Some have compared the map to June of 2012, a similarly early drought year that saw corn production fall by 12.5 percent. Soybeans are less impacted by early season dryness but in 2012 production fell by 2.3 percent. The market reacted today by larding up on weather premium. Corn and soybean prices are now at two- and one-month highs, respectively. USDA’s export sales report was better overall than a week earlier. Whea...
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) enters its mandated six-year review on 1 July. The original intent of the review is outlined in Article 34.7, which obligates members to: Provide recommendations and decide on appropriate actions. Extend the USMCA for another 16 years and meet aga...
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...