World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Back Green for St. Paddy’s

The see-sawing this week over the war reflects the folly of buying the rumor. Hopes that Vladimir Putin will end the war ended after he said he would continue pursuing Ukrainian “traitors and western aligned scum.” Given his long history of misleading, no one should have been selling wheat like they did yesterday.  The selling was so deep that the trading limit for SRW and HRW was moved up to $1.30 for today’s trading, but it wasn’t necessary. Wheat is back net higher for the past five days’ trading, while soybeans and corn are down slightly.  Volume was not very large today, indicating a possible consensus about true value, or complete cluelessness.  USDA’s Export Sales report this mo...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Morocco has established its soft wheat import rebate program for 1 January to 30 April 2026. The actual amount of the import rebate is calculated on the average landed cost versus the government set reference price based on inform...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated sharply again last week, plunging deeper into negative territory and reached their second lowest value back to at least 2010. Margins fell $144/head week over week to –$314 as fed cattle prices rose another $2.83/cwt while the Choice cutout plunged $14.20/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders paring back long positions across the ag space for the third straight week as technical conditions deteriorated further. Funds shed 34,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn and soybeans accounting for mo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Morocco has established its soft wheat import rebate program for 1 January to 30 April 2026. The actual amount of the import rebate is calculated on the average landed cost versus the government set reference price based on inform...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated sharply again last week, plunging deeper into negative territory and reached their second lowest value back to at least 2010. Margins fell $144/head week over week to –$314 as fed cattle prices rose another $2.83/cwt while the Choice cutout plunged $14.20/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders paring back long positions across the ag space for the third straight week as technical conditions deteriorated further. Funds shed 34,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn and soybeans accounting for mo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Crude Oil and Short Covering; Cattle Tempest Now Tempered

Ag markets were higher with support coming from a rally in crude oil and broader energy markets after the U.S. removed Venezuela’s president from power over the weekend. The move has direct bullish implications for crude oil supplies in the near term, which should help broader commodity m...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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