The see-sawing this week over the war reflects the folly of buying the rumor. Hopes that Vladimir Putin will end the war ended after he said he would continue pursuing Ukrainian “traitors and western aligned scum.” Given his long history of misleading, no one should have been selling wheat like they did yesterday. The selling was so deep that the trading limit for SRW and HRW was moved up to $1.30 for today’s trading, but it wasn’t necessary. Wheat is back net higher for the past five days’ trading, while soybeans and corn are down slightly.
Volume was not very large today, indicating a possible consensus about true value, or complete cluelessness. USDA’s Export Sales report this mo...
Macro: Relief Meets Reality July’s CPI report matched expectations. Headline inflation eased to 3.4 percent year over year, while core inflation declined to 2.5 percent. On a monthly basis, headline CPI rose 0.1 percent and core increased 0.2 percent. Equities and the U.S. dollar traded h...
One of the curious developments from the August WASDE was USDA’s handling of the European, Russian, and Ukrainian corn and wheat balance sheets. The EU has battled significant drought and heat this year, while Russia and Ukraine are increasingly locked in a battle for control over the Bla...
Key Takeaways: Corn yield came in below expectations at 180.7 bushels per acre, validating WPI’s view that last year’s exceptional yield may have anchored analyst estimates higher. Despite slightly higher production for corn, stronger export projections tightened the balance sheet,...
