The see-sawing this week over the war reflects the folly of buying the rumor. Hopes that Vladimir Putin will end the war ended after he said he would continue pursuing Ukrainian “traitors and western aligned scum.” Given his long history of misleading, no one should have been selling wheat like they did yesterday. The selling was so deep that the trading limit for SRW and HRW was moved up to $1.30 for today’s trading, but it wasn’t necessary. Wheat is back net higher for the past five days’ trading, while soybeans and corn are down slightly.
Volume was not very large today, indicating a possible consensus about true value, or complete cluelessness. USDA’s Export Sales report this mo...
With no bullish surprise out of Beijing this week and good weather taking over many global crop areas, funds spent the past couple of days selling off the peak positions they had built. CNN’s Live Updates blared, “No signs Trump and Xi resolved any thorny challenges.” By...
The long-awaited meeting between President Trump and President Xi of China has concluded, and details are elusive, though Trump stated today that he and Xi made some “fantastic” trade deals. Both countries reported the meetings as a success, but that has more to do with positioning...
Key Takeaways Weather conditions in China and India are deteriorating and threatening the wheat crops. Drought conditions in China are not without precedent, and modeling efforts suggest a modest 1.5 percent yield reduction vs. 2025. India’s wheat yields are forecast to fall 3 perc...
