The see-sawing this week over the war reflects the folly of buying the rumor. Hopes that Vladimir Putin will end the war ended after he said he would continue pursuing Ukrainian “traitors and western aligned scum.” Given his long history of misleading, no one should have been selling wheat like they did yesterday. The selling was so deep that the trading limit for SRW and HRW was moved up to $1.30 for today’s trading, but it wasn’t necessary. Wheat is back net higher for the past five days’ trading, while soybeans and corn are down slightly.
Volume was not very large today, indicating a possible consensus about true value, or complete cluelessness. USDA’s Export Sales report this mo...
Macro: Trade Flows Set the Tone Persian Gulf crude flows appear to be improving, with anecdotal estimates suggesting as much as 7–8 million barrels per day may now be leaving the region — nearly double the mid-July pace. That helps explain why crude has not maintained the full geopo...
Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal traded at a record $5.3 million for a transit slot this week as line-up times extend to 17 days. The difficulties transiting the Canal are supporting the PNW/Gulf spread. Tanker freight markets remain elevated as the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues. I...
Key Takeaways: Ethanol margins continue to retreat from recent highs as rising costs – particularly corn and natural gas – offset gains in ethanol and DDGS values. WPI’s models expect ethanol margins to broadly follow their seasonal pattern, declining into the new year,...
