The CBOT largely continued Friday’s Russia-induced rally with help from another weekend of terrible weather for crops in Argentina. Soybeans and soymeal started out strong Sunday night and pushed higher with corn and wheat in tow. That dynamic changed through the day session, however, as the soybean rally faded and corn and wheat futures pushed higher. Wheat futures continue to see support from short-covering and talk about a smaller global wheat crop in 2023 (thanks largely to Russian production). Even livestock futures got in on the rally with cattle and hog markets posting strong gains. The CFTC’s data release is still delayed but speculation is that funds are now even wheat futures or slightly long and are continuing to enla...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.