The CBOT was sharply lower on Tuesday with any attempt at a rally quickly finding eager and sustained selling pressure. There was no real fundamental catalyst for the day’s selling from an agricultural perspective, rather the day’s weakness stemmed from widespread risk-off trade amid turbulent macro markets as investors and funds sought to reduce risk exposure. The fact that wheat and corn have been in bearish trends for the last few weeks didn’t help support markets either. All in all, it was one of those days where crop fundamentals didn’t matter as much as traders’ risk preferences and position adjustments. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates 25 bps in its Wednesday meeting wi...
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) enters its mandated six-year review on 1 July. The original intent of the review is outlined in Article 34.7, which obligates members to: Provide recommendations and decide on appropriate actions. Extend the USMCA for another 16 years and meet aga...
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.