World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: EPA Volumes Sink Soyoil; Grains Rally on Crop Conditions

Just one day after this analyst wrote that grain futures were likely to take a break from their rally amid overbought technical conditions, futures extended their rallies based on worsening U.S. crop conditions. The USDA’s crop conditions data yesterday was bullish corn, soybeans, and spring wheat as conditions worsened more than expected for all three commodities. In turn, that created gap-higher action in grain futures overnight and the buying spree didn’t subside. The only markets to see significant losses on Wednesday were soyoil, which was punished by thrifty biomass-based diesel RVO numbers from the EPA, and feeder cattle. Funds were again on the long side of the market for everything but soyoil and livestock and the 2023...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2875/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.355/bushel, down $0.1925 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.075/bushel, down $0.2675 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $312.7/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corrections Lower, and Maybe Yet Lower

There was a “show me the money” attitude in today’s trading as caution replaced yesterday’s enthusiasm in both ag markets and on Wall Street. Let’s count the many sources of hesitation. Soybeans, meal, and wheat have all been overbought with high RSI’s. ...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: U.S. and Global Beef Markets

USDA confirmed last Friday, 31 October, that despite the shutdown several key reports will be issued, including the November Cattle on Feed report, scheduled for 21 November.  There will be no data from the October report, but that information could be available through the month-to-month...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2875/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.355/bushel, down $0.1925 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.075/bushel, down $0.2675 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $312.7/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corrections Lower, and Maybe Yet Lower

There was a “show me the money” attitude in today’s trading as caution replaced yesterday’s enthusiasm in both ag markets and on Wall Street. Let’s count the many sources of hesitation. Soybeans, meal, and wheat have all been overbought with high RSI’s. ...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: U.S. and Global Beef Markets

USDA confirmed last Friday, 31 October, that despite the shutdown several key reports will be issued, including the November Cattle on Feed report, scheduled for 21 November.  There will be no data from the October report, but that information could be available through the month-to-month...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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