World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Futures Surge as Dollar Slides

The first full day of the Trump Presidency saw CBOT grain futures surge as the U.S. dollar pulled back sharply. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all saw strong buying influences after the long U.S. holiday weekend with traders seeing bullish news from several points. The first point was President Trump’s apparent decision to delay applying tariffs to a slate of U.S. goods. That brought significant relief that U.S. grain exports might not suffer another “trade war” as they did in 2018, though Trump has vowed to apply tariffs against Canada and Mexico starting 1 February. Next was the bullishness reflected in funds’ positioning in grains, per the latest CFTC report. Funds continued to expand long positions in corn and flipped...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Market Stalls Waiting for South American Weather Definition

There were modest volumes on this last trading day of the week, except in soymeal and cattle where the goal was to get out of the former and into the latter. There were new contract highs, again, in cattle. Overall weakness was blamed on Argentina’s announced lower tax rates on commodity...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 10-16, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 164,800 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 68 percent from the previous week and 52 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 201,300 MT were up 2 percent from the previous week, but down 41 percent fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.865/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.44/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5575/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $304.9/short ton, down $10...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Market Stalls Waiting for South American Weather Definition

There were modest volumes on this last trading day of the week, except in soymeal and cattle where the goal was to get out of the former and into the latter. There were new contract highs, again, in cattle. Overall weakness was blamed on Argentina’s announced lower tax rates on commodity...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 10-16, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 164,800 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 68 percent from the previous week and 52 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 201,300 MT were up 2 percent from the previous week, but down 41 percent fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.865/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.44/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5575/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $304.9/short ton, down $10...

livestock

Cattle on Feed

U.S. Cattle on Feed for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.8 million head on January 1, 2025 – down 1 percent from January 1, 2024. Placements in feedlots during December totaled 1.64 million head, 3 percent below 2023.  Marketings of fed cattle during December t...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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