The CBOT started the day sharply lower as overnight selling pressured corn, wheat, and soybeans to double-digit losses. Yesterday’s day-session weakness created additional selling incentives overnight and funds booked profits on cue. After the overnight session was finished, charts were showing what was the best sign of tops/reversals forming in the major ag markets. The day session saw continued weakness in nearly every CBOT/CME market (except cattle) as funds were aggressive liquidators of their large long positions. Traders were buying unwinding long energies/short USD spreads, which firmed the U.S. dollar and further pressured ag commodities. USDA’s daily export sales announcement (see below) was supportive but largel...
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...
From WPI Consulting
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.