World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: New Year, Same Trend - Corn and Beans Higher, Wheat Not

Corn and soybeans opened lower but quickly shifted back to positive territory. All three wheats were lower in overnight trading and pretty much traded lower all during the day session. There was good volume trading in HRW, cattle and feeders. March feeder cattle hit a new contract high. Lean hogs continued bearish in the nearby, but had gains in the longer dated contracts. Traditions, or superstitions at the start of a new year for good luck vary around the world from eating lucky foods (raisins, black-eyed peas, marzipan, etc.) to cleaning house or jumping in the ocean wearing white. According to Deutsche Bank research, the S&P 500 has ended the year in the reverse direction of the first day of trading for the year. At least that...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybeans Rally as China Cuts Tariffs; Cattle Implosion Continues

Trade was once again at the forefront of the CBOT’s trade on Wednesday, with reductions in Chinese tariffs, rumors of Chinese buying, and a dimming political outlook for President Trump’s tariff regime being the most salient factors.  China announced today that it will cut tari...

IEEPA Alternatives; Transatlantic Machinations; Anti-Bubble in Ag

IEEPA Alternatives The U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments today challenging President Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to unilaterally set tariffs on ther countries. Mr. Trump characterized the High Court’s decision as involving, “lit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybeans Rally as China Cuts Tariffs; Cattle Implosion Continues

Trade was once again at the forefront of the CBOT’s trade on Wednesday, with reductions in Chinese tariffs, rumors of Chinese buying, and a dimming political outlook for President Trump’s tariff regime being the most salient factors.  China announced today that it will cut tari...

IEEPA Alternatives; Transatlantic Machinations; Anti-Bubble in Ag

IEEPA Alternatives The U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments today challenging President Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to unilaterally set tariffs on ther countries. Mr. Trump characterized the High Court’s decision as involving, “lit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3525/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3425/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $324.8/short ton, up $7.4 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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