It was a risk-off day in both commodity futures and financials. Investors like the likely outcome of the election, especially if a President-elect Biden and a continued Republican Senate play quasi-nice enough with each other to get another stimulus package written. There is still uncertainty, but less than there was two days ago. It is easier to sell the risk-off story in agriculture since the fundamental supply/demand balance is bullishly supportive:
Global food prices have moved higher for five straight months. Demand is strong at the same time weather is worrisome. The U.S. dollar continues to be weak, having lost 10 percent of its relative value since April.
The question is whether post-election the Chinese would still be buyin...
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...