World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Traders Pause CBOT Rally While Eyeing WASDE

The grain market fundamentals didn’t change much from Monday to Tuesday, but traders largely suspended their short-covering or long-positioning efforts as they looked ahead to the May WASDE. The report will be issued this Friday and will include USDA’s first projections for MY 2024/25, which usually makes it a significant market-mover. Expectations are for the agency to largely adopt the implications of the March Acreage report with trendline yields while demand-side factors should be similar to 2023/24. Given the volatility that traditionally follows the May report, traders were largely content to hold positions and/or protect them via options during Tuesday’s trade with few looking to add risk after the recent rally. Add...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2775/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.3575/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.8/short ton, up $5.3 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mostly a Green Finish of a Bullish Week

The market was green across the board in grain and oilseed in the overnight and mostly finished that way in the day session except for soyoil, where profit taking prevailed. It seemed like a hot week for soyoil but after today’s session, it turned out to be corn that had the better week.&...

Strong Retail Sales Report and Inflation Outlook

The June retail sales report beat consensus expectations, rising 0.6 percent. Moreover, it was a strong report, with 10 out of 13 of the sales categories increasing. The largest increase was in the auto sector, a traditionally volatile category. June sales were up 1.2 percent, which came after...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2775/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.3575/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.8/short ton, up $5.3 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mostly a Green Finish of a Bullish Week

The market was green across the board in grain and oilseed in the overnight and mostly finished that way in the day session except for soyoil, where profit taking prevailed. It seemed like a hot week for soyoil but after today’s session, it turned out to be corn that had the better week.&...

Strong Retail Sales Report and Inflation Outlook

The June retail sales report beat consensus expectations, rising 0.6 percent. Moreover, it was a strong report, with 10 out of 13 of the sales categories increasing. The largest increase was in the auto sector, a traditionally volatile category. June sales were up 1.2 percent, which came after...

livestock

LH 2025 and 2026 Cattle Outlook Challenging for Packers, Favorable for Producers

The biggest question in the cattle and beef markets lately has been “when does the rally stop?” after beef values and fed and feeder cattle prices have all rallied to new all-time highs (beef prices if one ignores the brief rally during the COVID-19 plant closures). The fundamental...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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