The weather is bearish, except for spring wheat, and speculators are record short. Even having the cheapest grain in the world cannot spark enough new demand to slow the slide. Finding a bottom requires a supply shock, and the potential 20 MMT loss in Black Sea production due to drought is not enough of a decline to make a difference. Today’s trading had the following milestones:

New contract lows for December corn, November soybeans, December soyoil, and September HRW.

September HRW and December soyoil both closed higher despite finding contract lows earlier in the session.

Cattle turned bearish despite having a supply shock situation. 

For the week, five major contracts hit new lows. September HRS had a sma...