World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Wheat is going through a challenging time in Argentina. The decline in prices, both in the local and export markets, has been constant over the last few months and has pushed values to levels that are very difficult for producers to absorb. Currently, in the local market, transactions are taking place at levels of $195-198/MT, equivalent to $230/MT FOB.  Meanwhile, with a stable official exchange rate, 25 percent inflation for December, and estimated inflation of 20 percent for January and February, costs measured in dollars are increasing significantly. This includes the prices of inputs, fuel, harvesting, freight, etc. Consequently, farmers are suffering a drop in prices of around $30/MT over a short period, while their costs...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

There were really no surprises in this week’s CFTC report, which was delayed one day due to the national day of mourning for President Carter, as funds’ activity matched up with expectations and general market direction. Note that the data, which captures funds’ positions through Tuesday, 7 Jan...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Trying to Find New Ranges

The CBOT saw more bullish influences on Monday from Friday’s WASDE report in which USDA slashed the 2024 U.S. corn and soybean yields. After considering the numbers and implications over the weekend, traders decided there was enough demand for both products and, if USDA’s latest numbers are cor...

Noise as China Faces 2025

Trade WarPost the November U.S. election, the focus has been on preparing for an inevitable trade war with the U.S. China has increased government reserve stocks and increased imports from Brazil. Traders worked to get ahead of the new Trump tariffs with Chinese exports in December jumping 10.7...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

There were really no surprises in this week’s CFTC report, which was delayed one day due to the national day of mourning for President Carter, as funds’ activity matched up with expectations and general market direction. Note that the data, which captures funds’ positions through Tuesday, 7 Jan...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Trying to Find New Ranges

The CBOT saw more bullish influences on Monday from Friday’s WASDE report in which USDA slashed the 2024 U.S. corn and soybean yields. After considering the numbers and implications over the weekend, traders decided there was enough demand for both products and, if USDA’s latest numbers are cor...

Noise as China Faces 2025

Trade WarPost the November U.S. election, the focus has been on preparing for an inevitable trade war with the U.S. China has increased government reserve stocks and increased imports from Brazil. Traders worked to get ahead of the new Trump tariffs with Chinese exports in December jumping 10.7...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.765/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.45/bushel, up $0.1425 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.53/bushel, up $0.2775 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $307.8/short ton, up $9.5 from yester...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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