World Perspectives

Not Just Food

The tightening global stocks situation is not just impacting food crops but fiber as well. Global production of cotton is down 7.4 percent at the same time consumption has increased 14.6 percent. The result is that ending stocks have fallen 5 percent and the average price is 14 percent higher. Half of the 10 million bale reduction in world production is by the United States. The main beneficiaries are India (exports up 78 percent) and Brazil (exports increased by 17 percent).  As in so many things, China is the juggernaut in the global cotton market. It is both the world’s largest producer and the largest importer of cotton. In fact, China consumes 36 percent of the global cotton supply. Meanwhile, China exports 44.6 percent of...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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