World Perspectives
feed-grains

Oats of Course

The December 2021 futures contract on oats is up over 72 percent since the beginning of the year and may yet surge higher. The volume traded in recent days has risen along with open interest, though volume has not repeated the large day it had back on 23 September. The increase is not unprecedented. In 2001, the nearby oat contract rose a comparable amount and for the same reason, adverse weather during the growing season. The increase over the two years 2009 and 2010 was also 73 percent. In 1995, a nearly 40 percent drop in surplus stocks caused a year open to year close increase in price of nearly 100 percent.  The situation could be worse except oats are only about one percent of global cereal production, and most are produced unde...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT The Argentine wheat harvest advanced nearly 14 percentage points this past week, reaching 30 percent of the total area. Good weather accelerated maturation in some fields at the same time forecasts of weekend rainfall pushed harvesters to move quickly. Yields continue to surprise, with so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.45/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.35/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.28/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $314.6/short ton, down $4.1...

Macro Economic Data: Positive but Volatile

Growth in retail sales lost some momentum in September, capping off what otherwise had been a solid quarter of spending for U.S. consumers. Looking at the headline, overall sales rose 0.2 percent in September – the fourth consecutive monthly increase – but lagged the consensus expec...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT The Argentine wheat harvest advanced nearly 14 percentage points this past week, reaching 30 percent of the total area. Good weather accelerated maturation in some fields at the same time forecasts of weekend rainfall pushed harvesters to move quickly. Yields continue to surprise, with so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.45/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.35/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.28/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $314.6/short ton, down $4.1...

Macro Economic Data: Positive but Volatile

Growth in retail sales lost some momentum in September, capping off what otherwise had been a solid quarter of spending for U.S. consumers. Looking at the headline, overall sales rose 0.2 percent in September – the fourth consecutive monthly increase – but lagged the consensus expec...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Farmer selling of grains remains limited across most of Europe as low prices and the looming holidays have producers focused on other things. Too, the logistical difficulties of moving grain around the December holidays are prompting many to wait until the new year to market...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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