Forecast for Argentine Soybean Crop Reduced Again The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange today lowered its forecast for the Argentine 2018 soybean crop from 47 MMT to 44 MMT because of the ongoing drought. It indicated conditions continue to worsen and seemed to suggest there could be a further reduction next week. Noticias Agricola reported that a survey of farmers found that this year’s soybean yields are expected to be 15-20 percent below normal in 92 percent of the planted area. It was indicated that some of the driest parts have received only 15 percent of their normal rainfall in the current growing season. The greatest damage has been done to late-planted and double-crop soybeans (planted after wheat). Reuters reported today that Ar...
What You Need to Know Today: Market attention is shifting toward Tuesday’s USDA WASDE report, with analysts anticipating a modest reduction in U.S. corn production estimates and an increase in soybean production. The report could provide fresh direction for grain markets as traders reass...
Key Takeaways: WPI’s forecasts call for physical U.S. soybean crushing margins to weaken over the next four months and average $4.44/bushel by late February, while CBOT futures margins should rise modestly to about $2.40/bushel. A key catalyst for this is the expectation that U.S...
Regional News Black Sea trade dynamics remain central to European wheat and corn pricing, with the reported 26 percent increase in Ukraine’s October grain shipments adding pressure to markets. Concurrently, markets are waiting for the scheduled trilateral peace talks between the U.S...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.