The Market The USDA July WASDE was directionally bearish but not as much as expected. The trade initially turned higher after the report’s release but couldn’t sustain the turnaround. Instead, the week involved the November contract falling from grace, or at least dropping below the psychological $11 level. The next support level is $10.50 but with nothing to stop its fall except perhaps very unfavorable weather in August, sub-$10/bushel soybeans are in sight.
December soymeal had an equally bad week. There was a marketing year low for exports last week, and then two days this week of hitting new contract lows. Competition from South America and any softening in crush margins will take a further toll.
It was a...
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
Key Takeaways: Drought remains a major threat to global agricultural production, particularly in regions with limited rainfall and growing water scarcity. Commercially available drought-tolerant traits in corn, soybeans, and wheat have generally delivered modest yield improvements, limiting th...
Key Takeaways: Peace at last in the Persian Gulf? Over the weekend, the U.S. announced and Iranian officials confirmed a peace agreement, with formal ratification set for Geneva on 19 June. The announcement means the Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen fully and toll-free within 30 days.&n...