World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

Following the recent shocks to the grain markets – the Grain Stocks report data and news that soybeans will be on the negotiating table when Presidents Trump and Xi meet next – many are wondering what happens next as far as commodity pricing goes. WPI certainly doesn’t have a crystal ball (if we did, we’d be on a yacht somewhere trying to outspend Bill Gates) but we do have a decent handle on grain market seasonality and how that could influence futures prices. Recently, we’ve done some work exploring seasonal forecasts of the major ag futures that helps formulate our ideas of futures “mispricing” and the probability of large price moves.  The tables below identify not only the contracts where...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Tunisia and France have extended their cooperation program in agricultural and rural development for Tunisia. The program is being supported by €76 million from the Agricultural Investment and Modernization Program funded by...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1075/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.9675/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0775/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $274.1/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: New Lows for Wheat, New Highs for Cattle; Soybeans Eye Trade Talks

President Trump walked back some of his statements regarding China over the weekend, which allowed ag markets to breathe more easily this week. Soybeans and soyoil managed to post small gains to start the week after Friday’s trade-war-news-induced collapse, with traders turning hopeful th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Tunisia and France have extended their cooperation program in agricultural and rural development for Tunisia. The program is being supported by €76 million from the Agricultural Investment and Modernization Program funded by...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1075/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.9675/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0775/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $274.1/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: New Lows for Wheat, New Highs for Cattle; Soybeans Eye Trade Talks

President Trump walked back some of his statements regarding China over the weekend, which allowed ag markets to breathe more easily this week. Soybeans and soyoil managed to post small gains to start the week after Friday’s trade-war-news-induced collapse, with traders turning hopeful th...

Various Campaigns Diagnosed; EU Dependency

Various Campaigns Diagnosed  Climate Change: Since the Paris Accord in 2015, environmentalists have poured hundreds of millions of dollars publicizing the dangers of climate change. They’ve had the buy-in from elites and a cooperative media ecosystem giving attention to the “cr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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