Stats Canada released its initial planting estimates for Canada this morning, which included several significant surprises such as the following:

Canola acreage is forecast to drop 7 percent from 2017, well below the trade’s pre-report guesses. This is likely the result of last year’s struggles with very dry conditions across the southern Canadian prairies. Canola is an expensive crop to plant, and Saskatchewan farmers say they will cut that acreage 10 percent from last year’s record. Soybean acreage is also expected to drop 11 percent. Spring wheat acreage is projected to increase a whopping 15.4 percent from last year. The surprise isn’t that this acreage will be higher, it’s the magnitude of the increase...