This week’s USDA WASDE and production estimates were not quite as bearish as they might have been for the following reasons:
The corn and soybean yield estimates were not changed, but they could be revised in August based on the current excellent crop ratings coupled with a very good-looking weather forecast through the balance of July. Corn and wheat export forecasts were raised slightly, offsetting larger crop forecasts that resulted from increases in the planted acreage estimates.
Where do we go from here? The direction of the soybean market will continue to be a limiting factor on the grains. The most important change was the 250-million-bushel (6.8 MMT) reduction in the soybean export forecast because of the Chinese tariff...
Key Takeaways: The U.S. herd is stabilizing, but growth remains modest. Total goat inventory rose 1 percent in 2026, while meat-goat numbers increased 2 percent, which is not enough to materially reduce import dependence. Domestic slaughter is rising from a low base. Commercial slaughter incre...
What You Need to Know: U.S. fertilizer production is highly concentrated, but concentration alone does not establish that producers are operating as a cartel. Imports introduce competition unevenly: they supply nearly all U.S. potash consumption but play much smaller roles in domestic ammonia...
Given yesterday’s headlines, today’s market action may not be what many expected. The dollar is little changed, crude oil is pulling back and stocks are trading higher. Crude may be the biggest piece of today’s reversal. Saudi Arabia is offering additional crude to Asian buyer...
