World Perspectives
livestock

Tight Supplies, Strong U.S. Demand to Support Cattle Prices Despite Trade War

Anyone following the beef and cattle markets recently has seen the volatility that preceded the recent surge to new contract highs, and the lack of consensus in the industry’s outlook. Now, the outlook is further complicated by the tariffs that will be placed on Mexican feeder cattle imports, Canadian fed cattle imports, and beef imports (from Canada, Australia, and Mexico, in particular), not to mention the likely pending retaliatory measures against U.S. exports. Amid this dynamic (to say the least) backdrop, WPI offers our outlook for the 2025 cattle and beef markets. Briefly, our models anticipate strong domestic beef demand to combine with reduced slaughter and beef production to create a price-supportive environment for producer...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.42/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.5/short ton, down $0.2...

USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.42/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.5/short ton, down $0.2...

USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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