World Perspectives

Trade War Dynamics

First quarter global merchandise trade accelerated faster than expected as everyone expedited purchases ahead of tariffs and potential slowing of import demand. These market exchanges have likely remained accelerated ahead of the now 1 August tariff deadline, but increased costs were apparent in today’s CPI report for June. However, the uptick in inflation was too small to sidetrack Mr. Trump’s plan.  The President announced a trade deal with Indonesia that sounds largely lopsided in favor of the U.S., and there are rumors of an impending deal with India. The two hard to crack nuts are the EU and Japan. Brussels has been holding on retaliation but now faults Washington for resisting a deal. The White House believes Europe c...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Reversal Continues; Weather, Conditions Ratings Sink Soybeans

The big move at the CBOT Tuesday was a 1¾-cent gain in December corn futures – which isn’t much but that the development followed Monday’s bullish reversal is. The strength in new crop corn defies much of the fundamental outlook and suggests traders are sensing somethin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.38/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0175/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $279.5/short ton, down $2...

Consumer Price Index and Employment Reports

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June CPI this morning. The CPI increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in June, after rising 0.1 percent in May. The CPI is at its highest since January of this year. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 2.7 percen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Reversal Continues; Weather, Conditions Ratings Sink Soybeans

The big move at the CBOT Tuesday was a 1¾-cent gain in December corn futures – which isn’t much but that the development followed Monday’s bullish reversal is. The strength in new crop corn defies much of the fundamental outlook and suggests traders are sensing somethin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.38/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0175/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $279.5/short ton, down $2...

Consumer Price Index and Employment Reports

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June CPI this morning. The CPI increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in June, after rising 0.1 percent in May. The CPI is at its highest since January of this year. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 2.7 percen...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins abandoned their two-week streak of positive numbers and fell $102/head last week to -$47. The move was expected as the Choice cutout was steady/weaker across the week while fed cattle prices jumped $8-10/cwt higher. The weaker margins are still not as bad as recent history,...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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