Today's USDA reports offered something for everyone, but there were some very significant surprises. The first and most bearish surprise was that U.S. farmers said they would plant 95.9 million acres of corn. The trade was expecting at least 95 million acres, but 95.9 is a big number. There were three bullish surprises in today's numbers:

1 March corn stocks were 141 million bushels below the average trade estimate. This number should mean that corn ending supplies in the current marketing year will drop from 801 million bushels to 650 million or so in the April WASDE. That assumes USDA does not reduce demand going forward (which should be unlikely given the pace of export sales and ethanol production). Ending supplies of fewer than 7...