World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Veg Oil Leads Spike

The UN FAO reports that global agricultural commodity prices rose 3.1 percent in 2020. Though overall commodity prices are still below 2012 levels, vegetable oil prices are now at their highest level since that pivotal year. Global vegetable oil prices rose 4.7 percent in December alone, and were up 19.1 percent for the year. Ending stocks for the big four (palm, rape, soy and sun) are now at more than a decade low. Stocks were partially driven down by price since the average value to producers for these oils in 2019 was $519/MT, versus $662/MT in 2011. Until the spike in 2020, the average global vegetable oil price had been down 32 percent in real terms from 2011. But the decline in stocks is uneven. Rapeseed oil stocks are down one-third...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for July 4-10, 2025.  Wheat: Net sales of 494,400 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were down 13 percent from the previous week, but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 432,900 MT were down 3 percent from the previous week, but up 7 perce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Quirky Day in a Quirky Week

It was a somewhat quirky day as grains took their lumps and soyoil supported beans. There was a new contract low in HRW, low volume trading corn and livestock, but high volume in soyoil. After trading 40,000 contracts, December soymeal settled unchanged, and moving in mere fractions, September...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.265/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.5/short ton, up $0 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for July 4-10, 2025.  Wheat: Net sales of 494,400 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were down 13 percent from the previous week, but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 432,900 MT were down 3 percent from the previous week, but up 7 perce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Quirky Day in a Quirky Week

It was a somewhat quirky day as grains took their lumps and soyoil supported beans. There was a new contract low in HRW, low volume trading corn and livestock, but high volume in soyoil. After trading 40,000 contracts, December soymeal settled unchanged, and moving in mere fractions, September...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.265/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.5/short ton, up $0 from ye...

Identifying Mispricing Opportunities in Ag Futures

In many ways, human nature is fascinated with the future – predicting what will and what could be and formulating plans accordingly. This is one factor that makes commodity futures markets inherently intriguing – their role in foretelling the future. As WPI readers have likely exper...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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