World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

What Are Funds Doing Now? Forecasting the Missing CFTC Data

One of the key data points the ag (and broader) commodity markets are used to getting from the now-shuttered federal government is the weekly CFTC report, which shows how funds and commercials are positioned in the markets. The data is highly useful for myriad applications, and the current lack of information has certainly stressed markets.  To help address this issue, WPI recently completed an exercise in which we use price, volume, and open interest data to infer funds’ positions amid the CFTC data blackout. Further, the data can be used to estimate daily changes in fund positions, which can be especially useful in times of extreme market moves.  WPI’s system revolves around a state-space model estimated using the Ka...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved sharply, with estimated net losses narrowing to -$111/head from -$206/head the prior week. The recovery was driven by another firming in the boxed beef cutout, which rose to $379.00/cwt, while fed cattle prices softened modestly on the week. Even with the improvemen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.0325/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9625/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $313.5/short ton, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Crude Oil Rally and Crash Drives Whipsaw CBOT Action

The massive rally in energy markets remains the primary story underpinning ag markets. Front-month crude oil futures ripped higher overnight and traded above $100/brl for the first time since July 2022 before scoring an overnight high just shy of $120/brl. That strength pulled ag markets &ndash...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved sharply, with estimated net losses narrowing to -$111/head from -$206/head the prior week. The recovery was driven by another firming in the boxed beef cutout, which rose to $379.00/cwt, while fed cattle prices softened modestly on the week. Even with the improvemen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.0325/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9625/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $313.5/short ton, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Crude Oil Rally and Crash Drives Whipsaw CBOT Action

The massive rally in energy markets remains the primary story underpinning ag markets. Front-month crude oil futures ripped higher overnight and traded above $100/brl for the first time since July 2022 before scoring an overnight high just shy of $120/brl. That strength pulled ag markets &ndash...

Process Standards as NTBs; Nazi Food

Process Standards as NTBs California’s Prop 12, which a House Agriculture Committee-passed farm bill is supposed to override, restricts the sale of pork and eggs in the state if not produced according to its restrictive standards. Such processing restrictions have long been used as nontar...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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