World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

What Are Funds Doing Now? Forecasting the Missing CFTC Data

One of the key data points the ag (and broader) commodity markets are used to getting from the now-shuttered federal government is the weekly CFTC report, which shows how funds and commercials are positioned in the markets. The data is highly useful for myriad applications, and the current lack of information has certainly stressed markets.  To help address this issue, WPI recently completed an exercise in which we use price, volume, and open interest data to infer funds’ positions amid the CFTC data blackout. Further, the data can be used to estimate daily changes in fund positions, which can be especially useful in times of extreme market moves.  WPI’s system revolves around a state-space model estimated using the Ka...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Reversal Stays Intact as Harvest Nears Final Stages

It was another day of mostly higher markets as the reversal continued its strength particularly in soybeans and soymeal. While the redirection has been less overall price significant in corn, it was the seventh session higher in the past eight. Soybeans have closed higher in six of the past sev...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.28/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.13/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4475/bushel, up $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $292.3/short ton, up $2.3 from yeste...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Analysts’ Guesses

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report would normally be released tomorrow. It is suspended however due to the government shutdown. The question is whether the report will be published. What we have is history to look back on. During previous shutdowns in 2013 the report was published at th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Reversal Stays Intact as Harvest Nears Final Stages

It was another day of mostly higher markets as the reversal continued its strength particularly in soybeans and soymeal. While the redirection has been less overall price significant in corn, it was the seventh session higher in the past eight. Soybeans have closed higher in six of the past sev...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.28/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.13/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4475/bushel, up $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $292.3/short ton, up $2.3 from yeste...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Analysts’ Guesses

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report would normally be released tomorrow. It is suspended however due to the government shutdown. The question is whether the report will be published. What we have is history to look back on. During previous shutdowns in 2013 the report was published at th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Playing Chess and Chicken; Trump Post Triggers Cattle Crash

U.S.-China relations continue to dominate headlines with a midday report from Reuters indicating that the Trump administration is looking to curb an array of software powered exports to China. The products could include items from laptops to jet engines, and the administration is considering ma...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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