Upon detecting the sharp increases in WASDE estimates of world corn and wheat production/stocks, computer trading programs launched sell orders that quickly sent futures prices tumbling (also noted in today’s separate analysis). Wheat futures prices fell 8-10 cents, soybean prices dropped 15-16 cents, and corn was quickly down about 6 cents. The higher world supplies of corn and wheat were due almost entirely to increases in annual Chinese corn and wheat production/stocks estimates dating back to 2007. Cumulatively, these revisions led to very large increases in USDA’s November estimates of Chinese and thus world ending stocks from its estimates of just a month ago. Undoubtedly, these statistical increases catch the eye or the a...
What You Need to Know Today: As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75–4.00 percent, its first rate increase since 2023, as policymakers respond to persistent inflation pressures. The Fed also signaled that additi...
Key Takeaways: USDA data access is equal; the ability to use it is not. Larger operations can afford experts who turn public reports into business decisions. Analytical capacity is the true advantage. Forecasts matter only when converted into profit, purchasing, and risk-management decisions...
Russian Grain Markets: 7–11 September 2026 During the first week of September, the Russian grain market remained volatile but predominantly bearish. Among the few commodities that continued to show a bullish trend was rye, which is in short supply this year and has few offers available. I...
From WPI Consulting
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.