World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: KCBT Wheat Upside Leader in Mixed Day; Livestock Futures Fall Ahead of Reports

Conflicting supply and demand factors resulted in mixed trade at the CBOT once again, but the surprise of the day was KCBT wheat’s 2.2 percent rally – a move that outshone other ag market trade. As discussed later in this report, there was little clear evidence for the KC market’s rally but technical developments and patterns in spreads indicate a bullish story is possibly emerging. With wheat pushing higher, bear wheat/corn spread trade developed that helped push the corn market lower and near its November lows for the day. Soybeans also turned red for the day with funds emerging as net sellers in both the corn and soybean markets. WPI expects trade to become increasingly range-bound and lackluster heading into the long h...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

Phase II Deal; EU Strategy; Mimicking EU

Phase II Deal U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that a phase-one deal may be a model for trade talks with China. It may be the only model that would help U.S. farmers. Brazil still has a price edge on soybeans, and even a 10 percent tariff is enough to price out U.S. commodities...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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