World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soy Complex Falls on Brazilian Weather; Wheat Rises on Ukraine News

The Thanksgiving holiday isn’t until next week, but the CBOT is starting to feel like traders are taking their vacation time a little early. Trading volumes were muted on Wednesday and other than the KC wheat market and soyoil futures, none of the major ag markets made major technical moves. Markets seem to be either settling into a post-harvest, demand-driven sluggish trading pattern or are being whipsawed by confusing policy outlooks. Some of Wednesday’s weakness came from Russian President Putin saying he would be willing to negotiate a ceasefire deal in Ukraine with President Trump, but only on his terms. That news was blunted by the U.S.’ closure of its embassy in Ukraine due to fears of Russian air strikes in retaliation to Ukraine’s...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Does Bias in CONAB’s Forecasts Imply Even Bigger Crops?

CONAB recently released its first forecasts for the 2025/26 corn, soybean, and wheat crops (among others) and pegged production for the first two at massive levels. The soybean crop was forecast at a record 177.6 MMT, up sharply from the prior year and easily the largest on record due to expand...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trump Tweet Can’t Sustain Soyoil Rally; Corn Firms on Yield Concerns

President Trump’s tweet about possibly restricting used cooking oil imports from China and more yield concerns for Midwest corn crops created mixed trade at the CBOT Wednesday. Soyoil, corn, and soymeal all pushed higher in a combination of technical and fundamentally-driven trade with co...

Sorry Soy; Strategy for Generational Rebuttal

Sorry Soy Thomas Suddes, a reporter for The Plain Dealer cutely writes that Trump’s bubble-gum-and-twine trade “policy” has wrecked America-to-China soybean sales. He is correct that the current Sino-American trade war has ended U.S. soybean sales to the Middle Kingdom, someth...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Does Bias in CONAB’s Forecasts Imply Even Bigger Crops?

CONAB recently released its first forecasts for the 2025/26 corn, soybean, and wheat crops (among others) and pegged production for the first two at massive levels. The soybean crop was forecast at a record 177.6 MMT, up sharply from the prior year and easily the largest on record due to expand...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trump Tweet Can’t Sustain Soyoil Rally; Corn Firms on Yield Concerns

President Trump’s tweet about possibly restricting used cooking oil imports from China and more yield concerns for Midwest corn crops created mixed trade at the CBOT Wednesday. Soyoil, corn, and soymeal all pushed higher in a combination of technical and fundamentally-driven trade with co...

Sorry Soy; Strategy for Generational Rebuttal

Sorry Soy Thomas Suddes, a reporter for The Plain Dealer cutely writes that Trump’s bubble-gum-and-twine trade “policy” has wrecked America-to-China soybean sales. He is correct that the current Sino-American trade war has ended U.S. soybean sales to the Middle Kingdom, someth...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1675/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.9875/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.065/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275.9/short ton, up $1.6 from y...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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