World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Improving Weather and Challenging Logistics

The Market  Oilseed markets have seen more pressure than support this week due to improved weather forecasts for Brazil and increasingly challenging global export and transportation logistics. Through Thursday’s close, March CBOT soybeans are down 2.2 percent (29¾ cents) since last Friday and the March soymeal contract has fallen 2.6 percent ($10.20/short ton) while soyoil fell 1.6 percent (0.82 cents/lb).  The weather in Brazil has been the biggest driver of the week’s declines as forecasts for steady showers across the country have increased production forecasts. The rains are expected to bolster the country’s soybean crop, but that outlook is hardly without risk. Recent rains have been disappointing a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

Phase II Deal; EU Strategy; Mimicking EU

Phase II Deal U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that a phase-one deal may be a model for trade talks with China. It may be the only model that would help U.S. farmers. Brazil still has a price edge on soybeans, and even a 10 percent tariff is enough to price out U.S. commodities...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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