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Fertilizer Shock: Concentration, Competition and the Cartel Question

What You Need to Know: U.S. fertilizer production is highly concentrated, but concentration alone does not establish that producers are operating as a car...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.305/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.27/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.&n...

Market Commentary: The Dust Settles

Given yesterday’s headlines, today’s market action may not be what many expected. The dollar is little changed, crude oil is pulling back and s...

Managed Money Makes a Record Bullish Bet on Agriculture

Key Takeaways: Managed money is holding more than one million net-long contracts across agricultural markets, with corn, soybeans, and soymeal all reachin...

Another Try at Ag Labor Legislation

What You Need to Know: H-2A has become a principal agricultural labor channel: certifications increased from fewer than 117,000 in 2014 to 398,258 in 2025...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3425/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.3075/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.&n...

Market Commentary: Markets Digest Fed Hike as Trade Takes Center Stage

What You Need to Know Today:  As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75–4...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 7–11 September 2026 During the first week of September, the Russian grain market remained volatile but predominantly bearish...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3575/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.285/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close. ...

Market Commentary: Soymeal Prices Reach Two-Year High

What You Need to Know Today: Oil prices extended their rally Tuesday as disruptions to global supplies intensified. Saudi Arabia halted crude loadings at...

WASDE Livestock and Meat Price Forecasts

The USDA has lowered its 2026 red meat production forecasts while leaving poultry almost unchanged. Beef is now projected at 24.877 billion pounds, 90 mill...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Egypt’s grain imports have fallen off in recent weeks due to several reasons, accord...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to $156.75/head last week, down $46.05 from the prior week as fed cattle prices strengthened while gains in the Choice cut...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3325/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.22/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close. ...

Cow-Calf Profit Expectations Weaken Further

Key Takeaways:  Expected returns to production for U.S. cow-calf producers have shifted lower from prior forecasts as cattle values fall and feed cos...

Time Running Out: Fly In for the Farm Bill, North American Trade

The Senate will reconvene today after a late August recess and will adjourn in early October, in about 3 to 4 weeks. The farm bill will move front and cent...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Argentina Corn planting for Argentina’s 2026/27 commercial crop is now underway, with 1.5 percent of the projected 8.4 Mha already seeded. Progr...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Soybeans, soymeal, and corn all reached a record net-long through Tuesday’s reporting deadline, although overall fund positioning across ag was mixed...

WASDE Soybeans - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybeans is for reduced ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 310 million. The U.S. season-average s...

WASDE Corn - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is for reduced ending stocks by 86 million bushels to 1.567 billion. The season-average U.S. far...

WASDE Wheat - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 is unchanged for total U.S. wheat, but there were a few adjustments in wheat types. The season-average U.S...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3025/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.2525/bushel, down $0.16 from yesterday's close.&n...

Market Commentary: September WASDE Leaves Grain Outlook Largely Intact

What You Need to Know Today:  Corn and soybean yields in the September WASDE report were close to pre-report expectations. The corn yield came in at...

The Risk Isn’t Over for Corn and Soy Yields

Commodity markets – being composed primarily of human beings – reflect the impatience and forever forward-looking nature of humans. In the pres...

CPI, PPI, Jobs Report Adding Up to Rate Hike from FOMC

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported this morning that August’s rate of inflation was 0.4 percent, holding steady at 3.4 percent for the yea...

USDA and Sugar: An Arranged Marriage

USDA and sugar have been married since 1934. With such an old marriage, there are all manner of promises, obligations and compromises. There are disagreeme...

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

AP Quant: WASDE Corn

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

Remembering 9-11

Twenty-five years ago, on September 11, 2001, the U.S. experienced one of the most tragic and influential days in the nation’s history. The events of...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3375/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.4125/bushel, up $0.125 from yesterday's close. ...

Implications of $100+ per Barrel Crude Oil on Agriculture

Key Takeaways: The significance of $100-per-barrel crude depends largely on how long prices remain elevated, as sustained high energy costs are more likel...

Livestock Round Up: Administration Actions on Beef Markets

Monday was Labor Day, the traditional end to the summer grilling season and high demand for cattle. Additionally, it marks the calendar end of summer heat...

Dairy Feed Cost Volatility and Margins

Key Takeaways: Corn and soybean meal markets are tightening together for the first time in more than a year, driven by lower U.S. yield expectations and c...

Transportation Perspectives - 10 September

Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets saw diverging trends this week as Capesize vessel rates surged on strong demand while Panamax and smaller vessel classes s...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.2875/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close...

Market Commentary: Pressure is Stacking Up

Energy: Fewer Routes, More Pressure Brent crude is back above $100, while WTI has closed higher for seven consecutive sessions as multiple supply routes co...

Why the Black Sea Dominates the Global Sunflower Oil Market

Key Takeaways: Sunflower oil is a major global vegetable oil despite its relatively limited presence in the United States, with sunflowerseed containing s...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 31 August – 4 September 2026 The Russian grain market continued its bearish trend during the first week of September, with amp...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins declined to $199/head last week, down $60 from the prior week as the Choice cutout retreated while fed cattle prices were steady. The c...

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.47/bushel, up $0.13 from yesterday's close. ...

Market Commentary: Volatility is the Outlook

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. weather forecast has shifted to favor more beneficial conditions for finishing the corn and soybean crops, which is...

Is Mandatory Country of Origin Labeling Worth the Cost?

Key Takeaways: Mandatory Country of Origin Labeling would provide consumers with more consistent information about where their beef originates, but eviden...

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