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European Market Analysis

Regional News  Romania moved to extend its grain import licensing system for Ukrainian products through the end of 2025. The measure is intended to mi...

Market Commentary: Mixed Day But a Strong Week, And More Ahead

It was the last trading day of a shorter trading week that provided lots of inputs. It started with the Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports, which changed...

U.S. July Fourth Holiday

Please note that Ag Perspectives will not be published tomorrow, Friday, 4 July in observance of the Fourth of July holiday in the U.S. We will resume our...

Livestock Roundup: China Impact on Red Meat Markets

Pork export sales for the week ending 26 June slowed, following the large volume booked the previous week. However, in the last five weeks pork export sale...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.5675/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

Usually, one discusses bears - not bulls - emerging from hibernation, but the somewhat discongruous title of today's report is an accurate image of Wednesd...

Vietnam Deal; EU Green Targets

Vietnam Deal As the 9 July deadline approaches, a second trade deal was announced by President Trump. He says the U.S. will apply a 20 percent tariff on im...

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 23 – 27 June 2025 Grain markets remained slightly bearish because harvesting is ongoing and traditionally with and excess of g...

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.06/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close. ...

Feeder Cattle Import Update

As summer demand for beef is upon us, fed cattle hit $233 per cwt yesterday, having moved above $200 per cwt in April on tight supplies. The cattle herd as...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Egypt is closing several collection centers for this year’s wheat crop due to a drop...

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12; Power of Ag; Trump Power

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12 Delineating the Supremacy Clause of the U.S. Constitution from the rights of the states has long been a legal fight in the...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins finally turned positive last week, the first time packers have made money killing cattle since last October. Margins swung dramatically...

Un-Trade Agreements; Ag in Big Beautiful Bill; CAP Controversy

Un-Trade Agreements It did not take long for Canadian officials to reverse their digital services tax after President Trump threatened to end trade negotia...

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.0925/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.3825/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close...

WPI Wheat Outlook: 2025/26 Prices to Firm After Q1 Weakness

With the June Grain Stocks report now in the rear-view mirror and having offered USDA’s somewhat final (there is always the possibility of revisions)...

Crop Life America Registers Strong Comments on MAHA Strategy

In a 12-page letter to the Secretary of Health and Human Services, Crop Life America (CLA) outlined a number of issues for the Make America Healthy Again (...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Export Tax Update The Argentine government has officially issued a decree extending the reduction of export taxes for wheat and barley, while restoring pre...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s delayed CFTC report showed managed money traders leaning mostly neutral the major ag markets last week, with activity across the grains and...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, up $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4075/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  N...

Trade Negotiation Update; Miscellaneous

Trade Negotiation Update There were no shortages of eye-opening news reports this week and the notable one on trade late today was President Trump’s...

Input Costs Forecast to Rise, Led by Fertilizer

After rising sharply in 2022, input costs remain stubbornly high yet today. At the same time, the prices received for major crops like corn, soybeans and w...

WPI Transportation Report

Dry Bulk Markets  Dy bulk markets were mixed this week with the Capesize sector sliding lower as geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East pushed bu...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.095/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.3675/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close...

Market Commentary: More Declines But They Slowed

The bleeding didn’t stop, but it slowed down today. Although corn and soybeans were up in the overnight and opened that way this morning, it didn&rsq...

Livestock Roundup: Hogs and Pigs Report

USDA released its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. The numbers were in line with pre-report expectations. The inventory of all hogs and pigs on 1 June...

Market Commentary: Good Weather is Bad for Bulls

The CBOT was sharply lower at mid-week with favorable weather for the U.S. 2025 spring crops and weaker global grain markets exacting a heavy toll. Notable...

Ignoring Margins; Trump Tariff Win

Ignoring Margins The U.S. Senate’s Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights held a hearing yesterday on, Reducing Regulator...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1025/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.445/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 16 – 20 June 2025 Grain markets plummeted to seasonally low price levels which are usually established at the beginning of the...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1625/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.52/bushel, down $0.175 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Hogs and Pigs Report Preview

USDA will release its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report tomorrow. The pre-report estimate is as follows: The pigs per litter for March through May is forecas...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Jordan’s wheat reserves are reportedly at 10 month consumption with barley supply at...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Market Commentary: Weather Not War Tanks the Market

Ags were mostly bearish on weather and an expected improving Crop Progress report, though the latter did not turn out that way. Equities opened partly in t...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1925/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.695/bushel, down $0.14 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat  Argentina’s wheat planting advanced by 21.8 percentage points last week and now covers 60.3 percent of the projected 6.7 Mha for the 2025...

Dairy Herd Grows to Four Year High

Last Friday, the May dairy production totals were released, and USDA says milk production went up again in May. Production nationwide rose 1.6 percent, and...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  The weather patterns remain unfavorable for EU and UK summer crop development with above-average temperatures forecast for the next 15...

Cattle on Feed - June 2025

U.S. Cattle on Feed totaled 11.4 million head on June 1, 2025. This was down 1 percent from June 1, 2024.  Placements in feedlots during May totaled 1...

Market Commentary: A Day and a Week of Surprises

There isn’t always a common theme across markets. Sometimes a session starts amid diverse influences. Sometimes, shorts or longs will dominate an ope...

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed

  USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today.  Total cattle on feed amounted to 11.4 million head, 99 percent of last year. &n...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.2875/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.6775/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close...

Cow-Calf Profitability Improves, Indicates Herd Rebuilding

Southern Plains cow-calf producers’ margin outlook continues to improve despite the recent pullback in feeder cattle prices. Returns on an inflation-...

WPI Transportation Report

Dry Bulk Markets Dry bulk markets were mixed this week with Capesize vessel rates initially pushing higher, but then failing on reduced coal, iron ore, and...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3275/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.7375/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close...

Market Commentary: Wheat and War Rattle Ahead of Holiday

Corn and soybeans closed lower overnight and danced that way this morning but once again could not resist the pull of wheat higher. The wheat market double...

Livestock Roundup: Big Cattle on Feed Report on Friday

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report will be released tomorrow.  Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on f...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.7425/bushel, up $0.2525 from yesterday's close. ...

U.S. Juneteenth Holiday

The CBOT/CME markets and our offices will be closed tomorrow, Thursday, 19 June in observance of the U.S. Juneteenth holiday. Please note that the next Ag...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 9 – 13 June 2025 The grains market saw no major changes especially with two days of holidays when the country celebrated Russi...

One Big Beautiful Bill Unveiled in the Senate

The Senate Finance Committee and its chairman Senator Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) have unveiled their tax bill as part of budget reconciliation to extend the 2017...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.315/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.125 from yesterday's close. ...

G7 Disappointments; Deregulation and Consolidation

G7 Disappointments The Israeli-Iran war stole the thunder of the G7 meeting in Canada and while President Trump said ahead of the conference that he hoped...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkish officials announced that the cost of vessels passing through the Bosphorus/Dardane...

AP Quant: Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins are on a one-way trip to a very unpleasant place and despite a brief rebound last week, remain absolutely dismal. Packer margins improv...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.365/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close...

Proposed RVOs: Record Levels of Biomass Based Diesel

On Friday, the EPA announced a proposed rule to establish required Renewable Fuel Standard volumes obligations, known as the required volume obligations (R...

Selective Deportation; G-7 Outcomes; U.S. Has the Meat

Selective Deportation The New York Times credited USDA Secretary Brooke Rolins with persuading President Trump to leave undocumented workers in agriculture...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Argentina’s corn harvest continues to advance slowly, with a weekly gain of less than 3 percent bringing nationwide progress to nearly 47 percen...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Global grain and oilseed markets are reacting to several shocks that occurred last week, most notably the EPA’s surprise bullish...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bullish the major ag market last week, due primarily to strong buying in the l...

WASDE Soybeans – June 2025

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. soybeans is lower ending stocks compared with 2024/25. U.S. soybean crush for 2025/26 is projected at 2.49 billion bu...

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