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Thailand Soy Tariffs Update

Thailand’s market is now officially reopened to soybean and soymeal imports as the government has resolved a lapse in tariff policy that caused impor...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins remained deeply negative, with estimated net losses at -$185/head, little changed from the prior week. Rising boxed beef values continu...

China Market Analysis

2025 Review The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs says China produced a record 714.9 MMT of grain in 2025, an increase of 8.4 MMT, or 2.6 percent...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.265/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2325/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.&n...

Congressional Letter on Buy-Up Coverage Rule

USDA’s Federal Crop Insurance Corporation (FCIC) published a new rule for crop insurance late last year, the Expanding Access to Risk Protection (EAR...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkey’s barley imports in 2025/26 are forecasted to reach 1.7 MMT, up from only 150...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Macroeconomic markets remain especially uncertain and chaotic, and exchange-rate volatility is having a direct impact on grain trade. P...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2825/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.225/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.&n...

Free Trade Style; 30,000 Feet; Technology Evolution; Taxing Food

Free Trade Style Brussels realizes the mistake it made when it included agriculture in its free trade negotiations with the Mercosur countries. Proponents...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

CORN As of today, 93 percent of the expected area has been planted, representing a year-on-year delay of more than five percentage points. Some late-plante...

E15 Dropped from Appropriations Bill

In a years-long, ongoing policy battle, a provision to secure E15 was dropped at the last minute from the appropriations bill. On paper, the path forward l...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds maintaining positions in the major ag futures contract, breaking a four-week trend of significant net selling. Fund...

Market Commentary: Major Influences Yield Higher Day/Week

Markets moved higher today, with larger volumes trading in corn and winter wheat. While fundamentals remain broadly unchanged currently, there were several...

Cattle on Feed Report

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report was released today. Total cattle on feed amounted to 11.5 million head, or 97 percent of last year. Placements w...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.305/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.295/bushel, up $0.14 from yesterday's close.  M...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 9-15, 2026. Wheat: Net sales of 618,100 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up noticeably from the previous week and...

Water Wars: 2026 Edition

Water is the world’s most important commodity, but also its most underappreciated—until scarcity starts. Water scarcity runs in cycles, and rep...

Market Commentary: General Equilibrium with Weather and War

Outside markets continued their reversal higher following the rescission of President Trump’s tariff threats against Europe. Ukraine’s grain ex...

2026 Outlook: Market Home Runs Unlikely, Use Risk Management to Stay at Bat This Year

With the spring planting effort just around the corner, producers and traders are starting to get a handle on the outlook for the coming marketing year. Th...

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report for January will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventor...

Transportation and Export Report - January 22, 2026

WPI is pleased to release the third week of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight specia...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.24/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.155/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close. ...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for a second consecutive week but remained firmly negative. Margins rose $70/head to –$179 as the Choice cutout advanced...

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support fr...

GI Chimera; Catch Bees with Honey; AI My Eye

GI Chimera The EU-Mercosur trade agreement has hit another stumbling block after the European Parliament asked the EU’s high court to first assess th...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.&n...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 12–16 January, 2026 The Russian grains market is slowly but steadily emerging from the extended holiday period. Extreme cold w...

Transportation Perspectives - 21 January

WPI is pleased to release the third week of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight specia...

Greenland Tweets Sink Macroeconomic Markets, CBOT and Ags Follow

The CBOT started off in risk-off mode Tuesday as rising U.S./EU tensions and odd dynamics in global macroeconomic markets (the rally in Japanese bond yield...

China Market Analysis

Economy and Diet The decline in China’s population, with the birthrate falling 17 percent to its lowest since 1949, is likely having some impact on t...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Iraq is reported to be facing the “driest year in modern history” due to droug...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1025/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.&...

Greenland: More Tariffs on 1 February

Greenland is heating up in the latest news, and not due to global warming, but rather rising security concerns. President Trump said of Greenland, the semi...

European Market Analysis

Regional News In the first two weeks of 2026, 10 countries in the EU reported a combined total of 42 outbreaks of the H5N1 bird flu virus in commercial pou...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed the effects of USDA’s bearish January WADSE as managed money traders expanded short positions across the ag space f...

Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday

U.S. financial markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday, 19 January. As a result, WPI’s offices will be closed, a...

Market Commentary: Some Rebound from WASDE Lows

By today’s close, losses in soybeans and wheat were down to fractions but corn could not fight its way back from USDA’s surprise bigger supply...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close. ...

Government Funding Update: ICE Policy Risks

This past fall the U.S. government was shutdown for the longest period in history, with a temporary reprieve reached to re-open the government until the en...

Cattle Inventory Expectations: Beef and Dairy Expansion

With the USDA’s semi-annual Cattle Inventory report just two weeks away now, many in the industry are sharpening their pencils to forecast what the i...

Transportation and Export Report - January 15, 2026

WPI is pleased to the second week of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight specialist Ja...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins rebounded modestly last week but remained deeply negative. Margins improved $60/head to –$249 as the Choice cutout rose $14/cwt w...

Livestock Round Up: Tariff Impacts on Beef Supply

While President Trump has stuck to the storyline that tariffs are an economic boost for the U.S., one sector in particular shows a different story: beef. A...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2025/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.&n...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 2 - 8, 2026. Wheat: Net sales of 156,300 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 32 percent from the previous week, b...

Market Commentary: Strong Grain Demand, Technical Factors Stabilize CBOT

The CBOT finally saw bulls emerge after the past two days of selling as technical factors and strong corn and soybean demand supported positive sentiments...

Trump’s Rhetoric; Ag Fear; Ag Trade Future

Trump’s Rhetoric The timing for release of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision on President Trump’s tariffs has been speculated by the medi...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.22/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  M...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5–9 January 2026 The first week of January is typically quiet for trading and logistics as Russia observes Orthodox Christmas...

Transportation Perspectives - 14 January

WPI is pleased to the second week of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight specialist Ja...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close...

China Market Analysis

Beef China’s new import safeguard on beef continues to stir the market. Its largest impact is on the biggest supplier of protein, Brazil. Suppliers i...

WASDE Livestock

USDA’s World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report was released yesterday, the first of the year. Beef production is still down comp...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

London based GAFTA – Grain and Feed Trade Association – advises that in 2024/25 they had 314 new mainly grain arbitrations and 43 appeals. 170...

Market Commentary: Yield, Acreage Increases Sink Corn, Soybeans

The CBOT came under heavy selling pressure following the January WASDE as USDA unexpectedly increased U.S. corn acreage and yields. The USDA also added are...

WASDE Corn - Jan 2026

USDA’s Jan estimate for 2025/26 U.S. corn is for larger production and higher feed residual usage to result in greater ending stocks: Corn production...

WASDE Wheat - Jan 2026

USDA’s Jan estimate for 2025/26 U.S. wheat left exports unchanged at 900 million bushels. Projected U.S. wheat ending stocks were raised 25 million b...

India Holds Out; USMCA Friction; AI and Ag

India Holds Out The most disappointed of U.S. trading partners has to be India. It has long held hope that it would succeed China as the largest foreign su...

WASDE Soybeans - Jan 2026

USDA’s Jan estimate for 2025/26 U.S. soybeans is increased by 17 million bushels on higher beginning stocks and production. Soybean crush for 2025/26...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

CORN Corn planting progress has reached nearly 90 percent of projected area. Almost 70 percent of the corn crops is going through the critical growth stage...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.215/bushel, down $0.2425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1125/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.&n...

Venezuela Oil Situation and Oil Price Impacts

The world woke up on 3 January to news of the arrest of Nicolas Maduro, the self-proclaimed president of Venezuela. Few expected this move from the U.S. ad...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4575/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close...

Market Commentary: Holding Breath for Monday’s WASDE

As expected, it was a lower volume trading day ahead of likely market moving USDA reports on Monday. The exceptions were HRS and lean hogs. There were also...

New World Screw Worm: A Threat to Dairy?

The dairy industry continues to evolve, though it is facing new challenges. Through September, milk production is up 97 pounds per head in 2025 over 2024 a...

Where is the Hog Market Headed? Rosy Early Outlook for 2026.

Lean hog futures saw an unexpected rally to conclude 2025 with the market rebounding from an autumn selloff. The rebound was sufficiently strong to push de...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for December 26, 2025 – January 1, 2026.  Wheat: Net sales of 118,700 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 24 perce...

Market Commentary: Mixed Volume, Mixed Outcomes

Agricultural futures were mixed today with generally higher volume except in soybeans and corn. Traders were cautious not to get out ahead of their skis gi...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Mar...

Livestock Round Up: 2025 Dietary Guidelines, Meat is Back

The USDA and the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) recently released the 2025 Dietary Guidelines for Americans (DGA). The headline developments...

Oilseed Highlights: Oilseed Demand Slumps while Vegoils Rise

The Market  With just two days left before the January WASDE, the soy complex is trading above week-ago levels, but that fact belies the weakness that...

Transportation and Export Report - 7 January

WPI is pleased to announce the acquisition of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight spec...

Policy Potpourri

Meat Can’t Be Beat: As if the protein craze needed any help, the Trump Administration’s new Dietary Guidelines for Americans urges consumers to...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4675/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close. ...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grains Market: 29 December 2025–02 January 2026 Russia’s grain market remained bearish during the final week of December, with most fun...

Transportation Perspectives - 7 January

WPI is pleased to announce the acquisition of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight spec...

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. ...

Market Commentary: Weaker Crude Oil Sinks CBOT Despite Soybean Sales to China

The CBOT on Tuesday failed to follow Monday’s dramatic technical strength and corn, the soy complex, and wheat all settled lower for the day. A sharp...

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