World Perspectives
  • Markets
  • World
  • Publications

Articles

Livestock Roundup: July WASDE Beef Forecast Update

Per USDA’s annual Cattle Inventory report, the total number of cattle and calves in the U.S. as of 1 January was at its lowest point in more than 70...

Market Commentary: Three-Factor Rally for Soy Complex; Corn Extends Gains

Overnight trade saw short covering and corrective trade in corn, soybeans, and wheat but only the former two markets were able to hold their gains. Soybean...

Ups and Downs in EU AG; Brazil Targeted

Ups and Downs in EU AG Farmers in Europe cannot catch a break. For years they were they toast of the EU with the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) garnering...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.24/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4125/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close. ...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 7 – 11 July 2025 The export market is drawing all the attention and in the southern (export oriented) regions of Russia, deman...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.38/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Trade War Dynamics

First quarter global merchandise trade accelerated faster than expected as everyone expedited purchases ahead of tariffs and potential slowing of import de...

Consumer Price Index and Employment Reports

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June CPI this morning. The CPI increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in June, after rising...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Egypt’s annual inflation level is at 14.4 percent in the latest month, down from 16...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins abandoned their two-week streak of positive numbers and fell $102/head last week to -$47. The move was expected as the Choice cutout wa...

Market Commentary: Corn Posts Bullish Reversal while Soy, Wheat Slip Lower

Monday’s trade at the CBOT was interesting with corn, soybeans, and wheat all rallying off fresh contract or selloff lows overnight, but only corn ho...

States’ Rights and Hypocrisy; Purple Hair, Not Purple Food

States’ Rights and Hypocrisy Texas has become the seventh state to prohibit food products cultured from animal cells. Another half dozen states are c...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close. ...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat  Argentina’s wheat planting is entering its final stage after a weekly advance of 12.7 percentage points at the national level, now coveri...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  President Trump announced 30 percent tariffs on imports from the EU effective 1 August even as the EU and U.S. trade negotiations conti...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money surprisingly shifting into a more bullish stance across the ag space, though still retaining a small net sh...

Market Commentary: Bears Resist WASDE Curveballs

U.S. crop growing weather looks near perfect. Even dry parts of Nebraska and northern Illinois have just received good relief rains. The rest of July is co...

WASDE Soybeans - July 2025

USDA’s July 2025 outlook for U.S. soybeans is for increased ending stocks compared to last month: U.S. soybean crush for 2025/26 was raised 50 millio...

WASDE Corn - July 2025

USDA’s July 2025 outlook for U.S. corn is a reduction in ending stocks from the June estimate of 1.75 billion bushels to 1.66 billion bushels. U.S. c...

Latest Tariff Threat on Brazil Expected to Hit Beef Prices

Brazil, a major ag exporter, significant player in the global economy, and founding member of the BRICS bloc, is now in President Trump’s crosshairs,...

WASDE Wheat - July 2025

USDA’s July 2025 outlook for U.S. wheat is for a 1 bushel per acre increase in average yield to 52.6 bushels per acre. The projection is for U.S. whe...

Hog and Pork Prices Set to Decline in Last-Half 2025

Lean hog futures surged to new contract highs over the past several weeks, followed by a correction in values that remains ongoing. Despite strong pork dem...

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

AP Quant: WASDE Corn

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1225/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.45/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.&n...

WPI Transportation Report

Dry Bulk  Dry bulk markets continue to see diverging trends with the Capesize sector suffering under slack demand for iron ore, coal, and bauxite whil...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for June 27-July 3, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 567,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were primarily for South Korea (90,000 MT),...

Market Commentary: Mostly Higher Ahead of Tomorrow’s WASDE

Wheat spent the session mostly higher while corn, soybeans, and soymeal bounced around treading lower but eking out gains later in the action. Part of this...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.165/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.545/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  N...

Livestock Roundup: Feds Sue California over Eggs

Yesterday, the federal government filed suit against California over Proposition 12’s effects on egg prices under the Egg Products Inspection Act of...

WPI 20225/26 Grain Outlook: Supplies Outpace Demand Growth

Heading into the USDA’s July WASDE report on Friday, WPI offers our outlook on the 2025/26 U.S. grain balance sheets and the season-average price. Th...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.155/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.47/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Trump’s Realpolitik; Tariff Reality; Farmer Gerontology

Trump’s Realpolitik Peter Thiel and others have said they backed Mr. Trump for the presidency not as ideal governance, but as a disruptor of a stagna...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 30 June – 4 July 2025 During the first week of the new season 2025/26, seasonal price depreciation continued, however, delayed...

Market Commentary: Corn Hits New Lows while Cattle Hit New Highs

Grains markets came under pressure again on Tuesday with USDA’s positive Crop Conditions report Monday evening reassuring traders and analysts of exc...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1425/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4775/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close...

Tariffs and Geopolitics

Reactions to U.S. President Donald Trump and his trade policies are notably different for each country and are evolving. A Pew survey shows that 59 percent...

Trump Tariff Letters Issued

Over the weekend and yesterday, President Trump sent letters to 14 countries proposing new blanket rate tariffs to go into effect on 1 August unless a trad...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Syria reports that the wheat collected in the North/East region since 5 June is at 282,000...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins were positive for the second straight week with holiday grilling demand supporting the beef market and packer profits. Packers have don...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s delayed CFTC report showed managed money traders shifting from a neutral to a more bearish sentiment across the ag space. Funds added 63,000...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.485/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close...

Skinny Farm Bill Left to Finish

President Trump said yesterday that the U.S. is nearing several new trade deals and that letters will be sent to trading partners by 9 July warning of incr...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat  Wheat planting now covers 78.2 percent of Argentina’s projected 6.7 million hectares after a weekly advance of 5.5 percentage points. Fie...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Romania moved to extend its grain import licensing system for Ukrainian products through the end of 2025. The measure is intended to mi...

Market Commentary: Mixed Day But a Strong Week, And More Ahead

It was the last trading day of a shorter trading week that provided lots of inputs. It started with the Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports, which changed...

U.S. July Fourth Holiday

Please note that Ag Perspectives will not be published tomorrow, Friday, 4 July in observance of the Fourth of July holiday in the U.S. We will resume our...

Livestock Roundup: China Impact on Red Meat Markets

Pork export sales for the week ending 26 June slowed, following the large volume booked the previous week. However, in the last five weeks pork export sale...

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.5675/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

Usually, one discusses bears - not bulls - emerging from hibernation, but the somewhat discongruous title of today's report is an accurate image of Wednesd...

Vietnam Deal; EU Green Targets

Vietnam Deal As the 9 July deadline approaches, a second trade deal was announced by President Trump. He says the U.S. will apply a 20 percent tariff on im...

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 23 – 27 June 2025 Grain markets remained slightly bearish because harvesting is ongoing and traditionally with and excess of g...

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.06/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close. ...

Feeder Cattle Import Update

As summer demand for beef is upon us, fed cattle hit $233 per cwt yesterday, having moved above $200 per cwt in April on tight supplies. The cattle herd as...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Egypt is closing several collection centers for this year’s wheat crop due to a drop...

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12; Power of Ag; Trump Power

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12 Delineating the Supremacy Clause of the U.S. Constitution from the rights of the states has long been a legal fight in the...

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins finally turned positive last week, the first time packers have made money killing cattle since last October. Margins swung dramatically...

Un-Trade Agreements; Ag in Big Beautiful Bill; CAP Controversy

Un-Trade Agreements It did not take long for Canadian officials to reverse their digital services tax after President Trump threatened to end trade negotia...

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.0925/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.3825/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close...

WPI Wheat Outlook: 2025/26 Prices to Firm After Q1 Weakness

With the June Grain Stocks report now in the rear-view mirror and having offered USDA’s somewhat final (there is always the possibility of revisions)...

Crop Life America Registers Strong Comments on MAHA Strategy

In a 12-page letter to the Secretary of Health and Human Services, Crop Life America (CLA) outlined a number of issues for the Make America Healthy Again (...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Export Tax Update The Argentine government has officially issued a decree extending the reduction of export taxes for wheat and barley, while restoring pre...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s delayed CFTC report showed managed money traders leaning mostly neutral the major ag markets last week, with activity across the grains and...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, up $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4075/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  N...

Trade Negotiation Update; Miscellaneous

Trade Negotiation Update There were no shortages of eye-opening news reports this week and the notable one on trade late today was President Trump’s...

Input Costs Forecast to Rise, Led by Fertilizer

After rising sharply in 2022, input costs remain stubbornly high yet today. At the same time, the prices received for major crops like corn, soybeans and w...

WPI Transportation Report

Dry Bulk Markets  Dy bulk markets were mixed this week with the Capesize sector sliding lower as geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East pushed bu...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.095/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.3675/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close...

Market Commentary: More Declines But They Slowed

The bleeding didn’t stop, but it slowed down today. Although corn and soybeans were up in the overnight and opened that way this morning, it didn&rsq...

Livestock Roundup: Hogs and Pigs Report

USDA released its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. The numbers were in line with pre-report expectations. The inventory of all hogs and pigs on 1 June...

Market Commentary: Good Weather is Bad for Bulls

The CBOT was sharply lower at mid-week with favorable weather for the U.S. 2025 spring crops and weaker global grain markets exacting a heavy toll. Notable...

Ignoring Margins; Trump Tariff Win

Ignoring Margins The U.S. Senate’s Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights held a hearing yesterday on, Reducing Regulator...

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1025/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.445/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 16 – 20 June 2025 Grain markets plummeted to seasonally low price levels which are usually established at the beginning of the...

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up