World Perspectives

Livestock Recent Livestock Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1275/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $5.8975/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5625/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $307/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Acreage Report Takes Center Stage

What You Need to Know Today: Crude oil prices dropped sharply with traffic flowing through the Strait of Hormuz. There were reports that Iran was behind an attack on a cargo ship near the coast of Oman, which would be a violation of the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran. Pr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Senate Farm Bill and $11 Billion Supplemental Appropriation Request

On Wednesday, the White House submitted a national security supplemental spending request for $87.6 billion. The majority of the request includes funding for the conflict in the Middle East, but there are agricultural provisions as well. The supplemental funding package includes more than $11 b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1475/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.015/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.57/bushel, up $0.22 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $308.2/short ton, up $4.6 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Focus Turns to New Crop Export Sales

What You Need to Know Today: The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE) rose 4.1 percent year-over-year, in line with expectations. Core PCE, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, rose 3.4 percent year-over-year, also in line with expectations. Bayer secured a favorable Suprem...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Hogs and Pigs Report

USDA released its Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report for 1 June today. There were 73.7 million head, which was down slightly from 1 June 2025, as well as from 1 March 2026. The hog herd sits at the same level it was on 1 September 2025 and is the lowest for June since 2023. From 2016, after the re...

livestock energy

Mid-Year Cow-Calf Profitability Projections

Key Takeaways:  Despite rising cost pressures — including the recent run-up in fuel and energy costs — U.S. cow-calf producers are facing another year of record-breaking revenues and net returns for 2026. Cost pressures — particularly non-feed variable costs — and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.07/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $5.96/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.35/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, up $0.7 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Battle for Support

Key Market Insights Outside markets dominated today’s session. Crude oil traded below $70 per barrel, the U.S. dollar climbed to a 13-month high, and both gold and silver posted sharp declines as traders increased expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes. At the same time, t...

soy-oilseeds livestock biofuel

Soybean Crush Margin Forecast

What You Need to Know Today… Crush margins are set to pull back after their recent rallies, though U.S. markets will fare better than others. U.S. demand-led strength in soyoil pricing is a key driver of U.S. margin profitability and will remain so into mid-autumn. Soymeal prices are th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.0975/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $5.97/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4175/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $302.9/short ton, up $3.1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Searching for Something New

What You Need to Know Today: There is a global rotation out of tech stocks right now amid profit-taking and expectations of interest rate hikes later this year. The White House said Iran will use its upcoming unsanctioned oil revenue to buy U.S. agricultural products, a claim that Iran later s...

livestock

Hogs and Pigs Report Preview

USDA will release its Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report on Thursday. Below are analysts’ estimates for the report. The biggest change since the 1 March report is the number of market hogs, which is expected to be up 1.1 percent from what was implied in March. The percent increase in hogs we...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$243/head last week, down $25 from the prior week as higher fed cattle prices more than offset a slight decline in the Choice cutout. The cutout eased to $390/cwt while fed cattle prices climbed to $260/cwt - just of all-time highs - extending the seasonal s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Funds continue to hold broadly bearish sentiments resulted in the ag markets as last week marked another in a string of consecutive net liquidation periods. Managed money traders liquidated another 105,000 contracts (35 percent) of their prior all-ags net long, extending the pullback from the l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.115/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.075/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.415/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $299.8/short ton, down $1.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Macro Signals Keeping Grains Rangebound

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. Treasury Department authorized the production, delivery, and sale of Iranian oil for 60 days after “productive talks” with Iran in Switzerland over the weekend. Chevron and Microsoft entered into a 20-year agreement to develop Project Kilby, a...

livestock

Cattle on Feed for June 2026

U.S. Cattle on Feed increased two percent in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head to total 11.7 million on June 1, 2026.  Placements in feedlots during May totaled 1.70 million head, 10 percent below 2025.  Marketings of fed cattle during May totaled 1.55 million head, 12 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.14/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4275/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Selling Across Most Commodities After Hawkish Fed

What You Need to Know Today: Commodities were mostly lower across the board today after yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting hinted at a potential interest rate hike later in 2026. The dollar index reached its highest level in over a year, and a strong dollar makes U.S. agricultural expor...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle on Feed

Tomorrow is the Juneteenth federal holiday, and the USDA, along with the rest of the federal government and the CME, will be closed, so the monthly Cattle on Feed report was released a day early. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity on 1 June amounted...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1275/bushel, up $0.1675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.32/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $304.8/short ton, up $0 from yest...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets on Pins & Needles

Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo:  Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1375/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.96/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $304.8/short ton, up $2.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: China Buying Rumors Lift Soybeans; Cattle Rise on Beef Demand Hopes

What You Need to Know Today: American and Mexican officials met Tuesday and will meet again Wednesday for another round of trade talks, where ag and energy will be a key topic. Another round is scheduled for 20 July. Ag groups are urging President Trump to renew USMCA for another 16 years, but...

livestock

New World Screwworm Spreading North

Since the first U.S. case of New World Screwworm (NWS) was confirmed on 3 June, USDA has confirmed 12 cases. The latest was confirmed in a sheep on 12 June, with four additional cases confirmed in Texas on 11 June, three in cattle and one in a goat. The New Mexico case confirmed that the infect...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$218/head last week, down $20 from the prior week as a softer Choice cutout combined with slightly lower fed cattle prices. The cutout slipped to $391/cwt while fed cattle prices eased to $256/cwt, leaving packer profits under pressure. Margins remain deeply...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.155/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8975/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1925/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $302/short ton, up $0.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Bounces on Iran Peace Deal Despite Bearish Long-Run Outlook

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. and Iran agreed to a peace deal on Monday with the deal expected to be signed Friday in Switzerland. The memorandum signed is explicit that Iran will allow 60 days of toll-free transit for all traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and President Trump annou...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The ongoing shift in ag commodity markets from bullish to bearish sentiments resulted in funds halving their all-ags net long last week, liquidating 330,000 contracts (52 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just five weeks prior. This, combined with the w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1275/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.845/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.135/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $0.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Quiet Trade Follows WASDE as Livestock Sector Faces Capacity Shifts

What You Need to Know Today: It was a quiet trading day across major agricultural commodities, with most contracts closing within 1 percent of the previous day's settlement. Trading volumes for corn and the soy complex were lighter than earlier in the week, as traders were positioning before a...

livestock

Policy Roundup: NWS, Section 122 Tariffs, and Dairy Producer Agenda

New World Screwworm Another day, another case of New World Screwworm. USDA has reported nine cases of New World Screwworm (NWS) in the U.S. Of the nine reported cases, eight are located across four counties in Texas—Edwards, Gillespie, La Salle, and Zavala. Of the eight cases in Texas, si...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1175/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8675/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.15/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.7/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: June WASDE Light on Major Balance Sheet Changes

What You Need to Know Today: The June WASDE report was largely in line with expectations, with no major market-altering changes to the balance sheets. The Producer Price Index rose by 1.1 percent month-over-month in May 2026, exceeding economist estimates of a 0.7 percent rise. The annual head...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: NWS and USMCA Renegotiation

USDA’s National Veterinary Services confirmed three new cases of New World Screwworm, including one in a calf in La Salle County, Texas, a goat in Texas, and a dog in New Mexico. That brings the total to six cases. The border to Mexico is closed, with Mexico now implementing a prohibition...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.875/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.23/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.9/short ton, up $0.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Return of Risk Premium

Key Market Insights Macro Markets: Inflation and Iran Reenter the Conversation Just when the grain trade had become comfortable focusing almost exclusively on weather, two major macro stories returned to the spotlight this morning: inflation and Iran. May CPI came in hotter than expected, with...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.195/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8525/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1375/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.1/short ton, down $1.6 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pre-WASDE Stabilization Continues, But What Next?

What You Need to Know Today: Early Tuesday, the U.S. Energy Secretary said vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is rising in a “very meaningful way.” Tuesday afternoon, however, President Trump said Iran shot down a U.S. helicopter while it was patrolling the Strait of Hormu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Miscellaneous Initial excitement over China’s pledges to buy American farm products has faded, as no purchases have immediately materialized. USDA Deputy Secretary Stephen Vaden said he is confident that China will meet its purchase commitments from the U.S., but market conditions and tra...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins were essentially unchanged at -$201/head last week as a modest increase in the Choice cutout was offset by steady fed cattle prices. The cutout edged higher to $392/cwt while fed cattle prices held near $257/cwt, leaving packer spreads largely unchanged. Margins remain deepl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1875/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8325/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1575/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $302.7/short ton, down $5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Drives CBOT, Sends Wheat Higher and Soybeans Lower

What You Need to Know Today: After a volatile weekend with Israel and Iran launching attacks at each other, peace seems to have returned to the region after President Trump called for both sides to cease hostilities. Soybean trade remains defensive as funds are liquidating longs amid no signs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts for the third straight week. Funds reduced the all-ags net long by 188,000 contracts (23 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just four weeks...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.215/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $308.5/short ton, down $5.2 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Lowers Risk Appetite

What You Need to Know Today: Non-farm payrolls rose by 172,000 jobs in May, above economist expectations of 80,000 jobs. With the job market strong, the Fed may consider raising interest rates to tame inflation. The strong jobs report was a catalyst for lower risk appetite across financial and...

livestock

Screwworm Updates; Executive Action on Import Enforcement; Bullish Jobs Report

Newworld screwworm Update The detection of New World screwworm (NWS) in Texas on Wednesday has been volatile for the cattle markets. The confirmation came on Wednesday evening, and the futures market opened sharply lower on Thursday. Market participants cited unknowns about cattle supplies and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: New World Screwworm Appears in the U.S., Grains and Soy Sink

What You Need to Know Today: A case of New World Screwworm was detected in Texas, the first in the U.S. since 1966. With cases creeping closer to the U.S. border, it was only a matter of time. APHIS confirmed that larvae were detected in the umbilical area of a 3-week-old calf in Zavala County...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.245/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8175/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.295/bushel, down $0.245 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $313.7/short ton, down $7.1...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Screwworm in Texas Problem

The USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) has confirmed a case of New World Screwworm (NWS) in Texas.  This comes two days after a USDA press conference on New World Screwworm (NWS) where Secretary Rollins noted that a new press conference would be held every two...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risk Premium: Gone or Just Hiding?

Key Market Insights Macro: Dollar Up, Stocks Down The U.S. dollar moved higher today, creating another headwind for American exports. A stronger dollar makes U.S. commodities more expensive on the global market and can make it harder for exporters to compete against South American and Black Sea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.315/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8725/bushel, down $0.1575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.54/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $320.8/short ton, down $5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.405/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.03/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6525/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $326.2/short ton, down $0...

livestock

Beef Supply and Demand Issues

Beef prices hit record highs in April 2026, and that is in large part due to robust consumer demand.  Despite economic pressures on consumers, there is not much evidence of consumers trading down from beef.  Much of that was due to the COVID pandemic when consumers learned new ways to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

China Market Analysis

Corn The U.S. has yet to ship any corn to China, though last year’s sales were a paltry 32 KMT.  Soybeans U.S. soybean export inspections for May rose above the previous year’s level with China as the target market. Citing reduced demand for soymeal, the Ministry of Agriculture...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved to -$200/head last week, up $57 from the prior week as the Choice cutout strengthened while fed cattle prices moved lower. The cutout rose to $392/cwt, continuing its seasonal climb into summer demand, while fed cattle prices eased to $257/cwt. The improvement helpe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Control CBOT at Least Until Weather Market Forms

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said Friday that the U.S. has seized $1b of Iranian crypto assets.  Iran’s IGGC says 15 merchant vessels, including 4 oil tankers, have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours.  Managed money traders...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Key Factors that Sparked Brazil’s Growth into an Agricultural Powerhouse

Key Takeaways: Acidity: Brazil’s agricultural production rose significantly after agricultural researchers were able to reduce soil acidity in the Cerrado region. Rotation: Farmers in the Center-West of Brazil, where the Cerrado is located, enjoy a soybean/corn double cropping advantage...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.0875/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8075/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $326.5/short ton, down $3...

livestock

Poultry and Egg Markets Weighed Against HPAI

From the monthly cold storage report it is interesting to look at the poultry numbers and changes due to HPAI that has been plaguing the sector to some degree since 2022.  Total chicken in cold storage was up 1.1 percent on the year and up 0.9 percent on the month. For eggs, the total inve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts for the third straight week. Funds reduced the all-ags net long 169,000 contracts (17 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just three weeks pr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risk-off tone hits grains and livestock

What You Need to Know Today: Agricultural commodities were mostly lower on the day, with red-hot soyoil a notable exception. Export sales were a bit underwhelming, particularly for corn with export sales down 52 percent week-over-week. The weakness in ag markets tracked crude oil weakness wit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Commodity Policy Being Shaped by Unfolding Farm Crisis

With the war in Iran affecting fuel and fertilizer prices, higher tariffs, weak commodity prices, ag labor constraints, and other factors, farm bankruptcies are now at a 6-year high, a signal of growing stress.  During the month of April, 62 Chapter 12 bankruptcies were filed, which is a 1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.4675/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.105/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8675/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $329.8/short ton, down $4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains and oilseeds see strength on high PCE reading, Crude oil and macros remain topsy-turvy with U.S.-Iran headline risk

What You Need to Know Today:  The U.S. struck Iranian military targets for the second time this week. During a cabinet meeting, President Trump said that the Strait of Hormuz is international waters and will be open to everybody, which appears to be wishful thinking. Control of the Strait...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.5575/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.24/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.945/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $334.1/short ton, up $3.5 from...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: More Dairy Cow Slaughter Later This Year

A total of 79,000 cows has been added to the dairy herd since last December, which compares to 81,000 head added to the dairy herd over the same period in 2025. This similarity in herd expansion numbers in early 2025 and 2026 has kept dairy cow slaughter at the same level in each of the two yea...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved to -$257/head last week, up $39 from the prior week as the Choice cutout strengthened while fed cattle prices eased. The cutout rose to nearly $390/cwt, while fed cattle prices slipped to $260/cwt, allowing packer spreads to recover modestly from the prior week&rsqu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trading Headlines, Pricing Risk

Key Market Insights Today was another reminder that this market is trading headlines first, facts second. Early optimism surrounding reports of a possible U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding helped pressure energy risk premium and kept the broader commodity space defensive. An hour later, how...

livestock

Producers' Share of Beef Value Up, Packer Margins Down

Key Takeaways: Cattle producers are currently capturing a greater proportion of total retail beef values amid tight cattle supplies.  Packers are forced to make higher bids on cattle to keep operations running when supplies are tight, hurting packer margins. Sustained poor packer margins...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.525/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.225/bushel, down $0.13 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8525/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $330.6/short ton, up $2 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls on Better Weather, Geopolitical Trade Dynamics

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. conducted “self-defense strikes” in Iran and said the two sides are “close” to negotiating a ceasefire. “Close” is a relative term, however, and even if 95 percent of the terms are agreed to, the remaining 5 percent is l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.575/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.355/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.86/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $328.6/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts for the second straight week. Funds reduced the all-ags net long by 4,300 contracts (0.4 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just two weeks p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Grain China’s General Administration of Customs says that grain imports were up 34.3 percent in April and an overall 18.1 percent for the January to April period. On the one hand, China produces more grain that it consumes and stockpiles large volumes. But Canadian grain analyst Mitch Mil...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Small Gains as Corn/Soybeans Correct; Commodity Supercycle

What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...

livestock

U.S. Cattle on Feed on May 1, 2026

• U.S. Cattle on Feed Up in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.6 million on May 1, 2026 - 2 percent above May 1, 2025. • Placements in feedlots during April totaled 1.70 million head - 6 percent above 2025.  • Marketings of fed cattle during April totale...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Neutral with Bearish Undertones

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 102 percent of last year. Source: USDA, WPI Placements were up, but part of that is attributable to persistent drought c...

livestock

Fake Meat? On the End of the Aisle

Let’s return briefly to the fake meat hype cycle, now sitting somewhere in a dusty corner of your mind, not entirely forgotten. What happened to all those products, known as plant-based alternative proteins? They were supposed to be as good as real meat—cheaper, more environmentally...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6325/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.4625/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.965/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, up $3.5 fr...

livestock

Cold Storage Report Summary and Analysis

April 2026 total red meat and poultry stocks were up sharply from March but 1.6 percent below April 2025 levels due to continued declines in poultry and pork stocks. Total poultry stocks were up 0.2 percent year-over-year (YoY) due to a slow expansion in broiler slaughter. Total pork stocks ros...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: A Market Trading War — Until It Wasn’t

Key Market Insights Macro markets delivered a full whipsaw today. Early in the session, crude oil had rallied back above $100/barrel as traders priced renewed concern over the U.S.-Iran standoff and potential supply risk through the Strait of Hormuz. That strength helped pull grains off their o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6225/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.475/bushel, down $0.13 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, down $2...

livestock

Poultry Profitability Helping to Offset Challenging Beef Environment for Major Protein Producers

Key Takeaways: Major meatpackers are seeing massive losses in their beef divisions, with cattle prices at record levels amid low inventories. Drought continues to persist in cattle-producing areas in the U.S. Cattle herd rebuilding is not at the levels needed to meaningfully raise total cattle...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for 1 May will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 101.4 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.535 million head. This is the first year-over-yea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Drift Lower on Improved Weather, Pre-Holiday Selling

What You Need to Know Today: Chinese officials indicated that China and the U.S. have agreed to cut 10 percent tariffs on imports. Chinese officials confirmed that a “guiding target” has been set for purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, but fell short of confirming that the U.S. r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6575/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.605/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9975/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $330.9/short ton, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Pause to Assess China Deal Amid Broadly Bullish Backdrop

What You Need to Know Today: Excitement over China’s agreement to purchase $17 billion of U.S. ag commodities subsided, as traders are cautious amid the yet-unspecified allocation of those purchases. Monday’s Crop Progress report did not significantly change the narrative for corn...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts, reversing a three-week buying trend. Funds reduced the net long on all-ags by 92,000 contracts (8.4 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016.  The...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7525/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.6725/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.095/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $332.3/short ton, down $2...

livestock

Texas Joins Beef Antitrust Effort

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton on Friday launched an investigation into the beef industry over potential anticompetitive conduct among the nation’s largest meatpackers, his office announced Friday. He said the investigation would be conducted alongside a separate antitrust probe announ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.77/bushel, up $0.2125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.645/bushel, up $0.2875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.13/bushel, up $0.36 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $334.5/short ton, up $0.2 from yes...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Assumptions, Uncertainty, Volatility

What You Need to Know Today: Markets opened double digits higher Sunday evening following the release of Chinese and American official summaries of bilateral discussions last week. They chose the more optimistic view of future Chinese purchases of American farm goods versus the more opaque inte...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Funds Come Off Their High Horse

With no bullish surprise out of Beijing this week and good weather taking over many global crop areas, funds spent the past couple of days selling off the peak positions they had built.  CNN’s Live Updates blared, “No signs Trump and Xi resolved any thorny challenges.” By...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.5575/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.3575/bushel, down $0.2225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.77/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $334.3/short ton, up $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lack of China Specifics Sink Market

There was heavy volume exiting soybeans, which dragged down the broader market today. The lack of a specific Chinese buying commitment for soybeans undermined speculators who had placed bets on state-directed trade. But even the Chinese do not totally ignore market fundamentals. They may still...

livestock

Administration to Suspend TRQ Waiver on Beef

On Tuesday, 12 May, WPI reported on an Executive Order being prepared by the Trump Administration to suspend tariff rate quotas (TRQs) on beef from all exporters for 200 days as a means of addressing high beef prices in the United States. After considerable pushback from cattle producer groups,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.675/bushel, down $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.58/bushel, down $0.175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.925/bushel, down $0.365 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $332.5/short ton, down $6 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War, Weather, and Waiting

Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8075/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.755/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.29/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $338.5/short ton, up $10.1 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.79/bushel, up $0.45 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.2675/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, up $3.6 from yes...

livestock

U.S. to Temporarily Suspend TRQs on Over-Quota Tariffs on Beef

The Trump Administration is planning a suspension of tariff rate quotas (TRQs) on beef from all exporters for 200 days as a means to address high beef prices in the U.S. U.S. cattle and beef prices have increased based on exceptionally strong consumer demand, the smallest U.S. cattle herd in 75...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$208/head last week, down $24 from the prior week as higher fed cattle prices continued to outpace wholesale beef values. The Choice cutout held near $389/cwt, but fed cattle prices climbed to nearly $259/cwt, extending the seasonal squeeze on packer spreads...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risks Abound During Headline Week

What You Need to Know Today: Energy markets are sharply higher after President Trump rejected a weekend Iranian counter proposal that did not include limits on the country’s nuclear program. The ceasefire looks increasingly fragile, with energy markets unlikely to return to normal soon...

livestock

DOJ USDA Give Update on Antitrust Investigation into Beef Packing

At a joint press conference last week between the Department of Justice and USDA, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated that he and Rollins were present to “... talk about our progress here at the Justice Department to hold meat packers accountable.” The structure of the beef...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7525/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.34/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.13/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $324.8/short ton, up $5.1 from yester...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds adding to net long positions across the major ag futures contracts for the third straight week as weather concerns sustained risk-on buying. Funds added 97,000 contracts (9.8 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week, essentially reversing the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Equities Easily Outperform Ags

What You Need to Know Today Ag markets have placed bets on new soybean demand from China after next week’s Xi-Trump meeting. While the media predicts no major deals or agreements, Beijing sees Trump as transactional so it will “buy” some stability, and soybeans are relatively...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7125/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.19/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.08/bushel, up $0.1575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $319.7/short ton, up $0.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Prices Slide on a Hiatus in the Market

What You Need to Know Today Agricultural futures spent a third straight session mostly lower after partially recovering from morning lows.  The war in Iran continues to drive energy markets with spillover into ags. After two days lower, crude oil turned higher after Iran demanded unlikely...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.675/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1225/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9225/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, up $1.6 f...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Summer Grilling Season and Exports

It is now May, the kick-off of the retail meat demand surge, and a shift in the types of products. There are a variety of events that result in a notable spike in spending. First, just passed, is Cinco de Mayo, on 5 May, in which shoppers seek out such items as taco fixings and ready-to-heat me...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War Premium Out. Weather Premium Next?

Key Market Insights Macros: Macro markets traded a sharp shift in tone Wednesday as traders aggressively pulled risk premium from the market on growing optimism surrounding a possible U.S.–Iran agreement. Crude oil briefly traded back below $89/barrel while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 push...

livestock

Dressed Carcass Politicians

Gutless politicians are an unsurprising feature, but are nonetheless disappointing. Their constituents often do not care why beef prices are high; they just want them lowered. And if there is no easy solution, then the politician’s goal is to deflect the criticism toward anyone else, whet...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$184/head last week, down $84 from the prior week as sharply higher fed cattle prices outpaced a modest rebound in the Choice cutout. The cutout firmed to $388/cwt, but fed cattle prices surged to nearly $255/cwt, continuing to compress packer spreads despit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.685/bushel, down $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1725/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9475/bushel, down $0.1675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $317.3/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Ease on Profit Taking but Bullish Fundamentals Remain

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz and renewed Iranian attacks on vessels and UAE infrastructure are sustaining geopolitical risk across energy and commodity markets Broad profit taking and weaker crude oil triggered a pullback across grains, signaling...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.2775/bushel, down $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.115/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $320.4/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weather and Biofuels Drive CBOT Strength as Geopolitical Risk Builds

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. launches naval escort operations in the Strait of Hormuz as Iran attacks UAE oil infrastructure, escalating geopolitical risk and supporting energy and broader commodity markets Biofuel demand entering uncharted territory, with soyoil valuation increasingly di...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8575/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.41/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.2275/bushel, up $0.195 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $320.9/short ton, up $1.6 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed End to a Higher Week

The corn and soy complex closed higher, with the wheat market mixed, as winter wheat closed up but spring wheat and livestock ended lower. Part of the strength for corn and soybeans may have been a weather premium, as crop planting has started out fast but warm weather has been slow to develop...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Per Capita, What Do You Eat?

Reflect for a moment on what you eat. There is a lot of advice out there in the ether about what you should eat, but really, what do you currently eat and how much? The good people at the USDA have some data for you, to help you answer that question. USDA says that we eat quite a bit of meat. L...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8025/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.3775/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.0325/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $319.3/short ton, up $0.4 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Inflation Climbs, Crude Hesitates, Grains Reset

Key Market Insights Macros: Inflation isn’t cooling — it’s moving higher again. March PCE inflation (Personal Consumption Expenditures index — the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation) rose 0.7 percent month-over-month, pushing the annual rate to 3.5 percent, the h...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Farm Bill Includes Prop 12 Fix

An amendment to the U.S. House farm bill, aiming to remove the Save Our Bacon Act language in Section 12006 that would have stripped language to prohibit California’s Proposition 12, Massachusetts’ Question 3, and up to 500 state agricultural laws across the country, was blocked by...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7475/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.3675/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.955/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, down $4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel Demand and Weather Risks Support Ag Markets Despite Fed Pause

What Matters Today... Fed holds rates steady as inflation uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict pressures equities and supports broader commodity risk premia Biofuel demand accelerating globally, with U.S. imports of used cooking oil and strong soyoil demand reinforcing upside across the soy c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7775/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.53/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.97/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $323.8/short ton, down $3.6 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat, Corn Score New Highs on Weather, Fund Buying

Weather concerns and the impacts of the war in Iran helped push wheat and corn to sharp gains Tuesday, with both markets blowing past key technical resistance levels. The weather is now coupled with geopolitical tensions that look increasingly hard to resolve, which is giving funds the perfect...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.755/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.5775/bushel, up $0.28 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8925/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $327.4/short ton, down $0.4...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved to -$100/head last week, up $28 from the prior week as the Choice cutout stabilized following its brief post-Easter decline while fed cattle prices eased modestly. The cutout firmed to $384/cwt, while fed cattle prices slipped to $246/cwt, allowing packer margins to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds adding to net long position across the major ag futures contracts after a two week break as deteriorating negotiations in the Middle East and the emergence of weather concerns triggered risk-on buying. Funds bought 40,000 contracts (4.7 percent) to their...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6925/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.2975/bushel, up $0.13 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.92/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $327.8/short ton, up $8.7 from y...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Markets’ Two Key Factors Increasingly Bullish

The big picture for commodity markets is that imperfect weather and the lack of a peace deal in the Middle East are mandating that traders keep risk premia in prices. All other developments in ag futures stem in some way from these two factors, though the details of how, exactly, these factors...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.635/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1675/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.785/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $319.1/short ton, up $2.6...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Week and a Mixed Outlook

This is the limbo period between the expectations and reality of a new crop going into the ground. Prices gyrate in a narrow range, awaiting something more definitive than planting “intentions.” The bears see a planting pace off to a quick start, the bulls see ground that in many pl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.555/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.2025/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5975/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $316.5/short ton, up $0.2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War Sustains Wheat; Corn Up Fifth Day

The Middle East truce is a rough one and the uncertainty spiked oil prices and the dollar again for another day. The wheat market has droughty conditions in the U.S., but globally there is pressure on a crop that gets both its fertilizer and a chunk of its demand from this volatile region. ...

livestock

Rotisserie Chicken Proposed to be Allowed Under SNAP

Senators Jim Justice (D-West Virginia), John Fetterman (D-Pennsylvania), Shelley Moore Capito (R-West Virginia), and Michael Bennet (D-Colorado) introduced the Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act, which would allow Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) participants to purchase hot rotisserie...

livestock

Early 2026 Projections of Cow-Calf Finances

Key Takeaways: Despite rising cost pressures — including the recent run-up in fuel and energy costs — U.S. cow-calf producers are facing another year of record-breaking revenues and net returns for 2026. Cost pressures — particularly non-feed variable costs — and drough...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Plenty of Risk, Not Enough Conviction

Key Market Insights Markets aren’t trading fundamentals right now—they’re pricing risk. The Middle East remains the center of gravity, and the latest developments point to a situation that is not escalating—but not resolving either. That’s a difficult environment...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.07/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.645/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $316.3/short ton, down $4.9 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1275/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.745/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $321.2/short ton, up $0 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Weather, Biofuel Demand Prospects

For much of the period since the U.S.–Iran war started, commodity markets have been buoyed by macroeconomic “risk on” buying fueled by the geopolitical risk and crude oil’s rally. Recently, the impact of this risk and crude oil on the ag markets has faded, leaving crop f...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated further, falling to -$129/head last week, down $38 from the prior week as a continued seasonal softening in the Choice cutout pressured returns. The cutout declined to $382/cwt, extending its post–Easter pullback, while fed cattle prices held near $248/cwt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: SOH Confusion Persists, but Ags Focus on Weather, Exports

The situation in the Persian Gulf remains as volatile as ever since it started on 28 February with a supposed weekend peace agreement dissolving into the U.S. Navy firing upon an Iranian vessel. The vessel was trying to pass through the Strait of Hormuz and reportedly did not heed commands to h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.52/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.06/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6575/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $321.2/short ton, down $6 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts for the second straight week as signs of hope in the Middle East triggered an exit of geological “risk on” trades from commodity markets. Funds sold 40,000 contracts (4...

livestock

Cattle on Feed - April 1 2026

U.S. cattle on feed totaled 11.6 million head on April 1, 2026, 1 percent below April 1, 2025.  Placements in feedlots during March totaled 1.71 million head, 7 percent below 2025.  Marketings of fed cattle during March totaled 1.63 million head, 6 percent below 2025.  Other disa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4875/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9125/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6725/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.8/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Rebound for Corn, Beans on Iran News; Wheat Declines

New variables specifically in the agricultural markets were light today, but the Iran war news hit some markets like a tsunami. The war and Iran’s chokehold on global oil supplies have subjugated economies for nearly seven weeks with outsized petrol prices. Everything became distorted aro...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Neutral

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more of capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 99 percent of last year. The steer and steer calf inventory was down slightly from a year ago at 7.256 million head,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: More Wheat Weather Premium, but Weakness Elsewhere

There was generally modest volume today, with the exception of wheat, which was also uniquely higher on the day. New highs for the calendar year were printed in HRW as the fledgling crop is about to have the double-whammy of freezing temperatures added to drought as the welcoming committee for...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for 1 April will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.6 million head. The big line item to watch agai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.485/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.985/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6375/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $332.7/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1275/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $5.8975/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5625/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $307/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Acreage Report Takes Center Stage

What You Need to Know Today: Crude oil prices dropped sharply with traffic flowing through the Strait of Hormuz. There were reports that Iran was behind an attack on a cargo ship near the coast of Oman, which would be a violation of the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran. Pr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Senate Farm Bill and $11 Billion Supplemental Appropriation Request

On Wednesday, the White House submitted a national security supplemental spending request for $87.6 billion. The majority of the request includes funding for the conflict in the Middle East, but there are agricultural provisions as well. The supplemental funding package includes more than $11 b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1475/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.015/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.57/bushel, up $0.22 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $308.2/short ton, up $4.6 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Focus Turns to New Crop Export Sales

What You Need to Know Today: The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE) rose 4.1 percent year-over-year, in line with expectations. Core PCE, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, rose 3.4 percent year-over-year, also in line with expectations. Bayer secured a favorable Suprem...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Hogs and Pigs Report

USDA released its Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report for 1 June today. There were 73.7 million head, which was down slightly from 1 June 2025, as well as from 1 March 2026. The hog herd sits at the same level it was on 1 September 2025 and is the lowest for June since 2023. From 2016, after the re...

livestock energy

Mid-Year Cow-Calf Profitability Projections

Key Takeaways:  Despite rising cost pressures — including the recent run-up in fuel and energy costs — U.S. cow-calf producers are facing another year of record-breaking revenues and net returns for 2026. Cost pressures — particularly non-feed variable costs — and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.07/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $5.96/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.35/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, up $0.7 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Battle for Support

Key Market Insights Outside markets dominated today’s session. Crude oil traded below $70 per barrel, the U.S. dollar climbed to a 13-month high, and both gold and silver posted sharp declines as traders increased expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes. At the same time, t...

soy-oilseeds livestock biofuel

Soybean Crush Margin Forecast

What You Need to Know Today… Crush margins are set to pull back after their recent rallies, though U.S. markets will fare better than others. U.S. demand-led strength in soyoil pricing is a key driver of U.S. margin profitability and will remain so into mid-autumn. Soymeal prices are th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.0975/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $5.97/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4175/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $302.9/short ton, up $3.1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Searching for Something New

What You Need to Know Today: There is a global rotation out of tech stocks right now amid profit-taking and expectations of interest rate hikes later this year. The White House said Iran will use its upcoming unsanctioned oil revenue to buy U.S. agricultural products, a claim that Iran later s...

livestock

Hogs and Pigs Report Preview

USDA will release its Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report on Thursday. Below are analysts’ estimates for the report. The biggest change since the 1 March report is the number of market hogs, which is expected to be up 1.1 percent from what was implied in March. The percent increase in hogs we...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$243/head last week, down $25 from the prior week as higher fed cattle prices more than offset a slight decline in the Choice cutout. The cutout eased to $390/cwt while fed cattle prices climbed to $260/cwt - just of all-time highs - extending the seasonal s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Funds continue to hold broadly bearish sentiments resulted in the ag markets as last week marked another in a string of consecutive net liquidation periods. Managed money traders liquidated another 105,000 contracts (35 percent) of their prior all-ags net long, extending the pullback from the l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.115/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.075/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.415/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $299.8/short ton, down $1.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Macro Signals Keeping Grains Rangebound

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. Treasury Department authorized the production, delivery, and sale of Iranian oil for 60 days after “productive talks” with Iran in Switzerland over the weekend. Chevron and Microsoft entered into a 20-year agreement to develop Project Kilby, a...

livestock

Cattle on Feed for June 2026

U.S. Cattle on Feed increased two percent in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head to total 11.7 million on June 1, 2026.  Placements in feedlots during May totaled 1.70 million head, 10 percent below 2025.  Marketings of fed cattle during May totaled 1.55 million head, 12 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.14/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4275/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Selling Across Most Commodities After Hawkish Fed

What You Need to Know Today: Commodities were mostly lower across the board today after yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting hinted at a potential interest rate hike later in 2026. The dollar index reached its highest level in over a year, and a strong dollar makes U.S. agricultural expor...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle on Feed

Tomorrow is the Juneteenth federal holiday, and the USDA, along with the rest of the federal government and the CME, will be closed, so the monthly Cattle on Feed report was released a day early. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity on 1 June amounted...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1275/bushel, up $0.1675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.32/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $304.8/short ton, up $0 from yest...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets on Pins & Needles

Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo:  Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1375/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.96/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $304.8/short ton, up $2.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: China Buying Rumors Lift Soybeans; Cattle Rise on Beef Demand Hopes

What You Need to Know Today: American and Mexican officials met Tuesday and will meet again Wednesday for another round of trade talks, where ag and energy will be a key topic. Another round is scheduled for 20 July. Ag groups are urging President Trump to renew USMCA for another 16 years, but...

livestock

New World Screwworm Spreading North

Since the first U.S. case of New World Screwworm (NWS) was confirmed on 3 June, USDA has confirmed 12 cases. The latest was confirmed in a sheep on 12 June, with four additional cases confirmed in Texas on 11 June, three in cattle and one in a goat. The New Mexico case confirmed that the infect...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$218/head last week, down $20 from the prior week as a softer Choice cutout combined with slightly lower fed cattle prices. The cutout slipped to $391/cwt while fed cattle prices eased to $256/cwt, leaving packer profits under pressure. Margins remain deeply...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.155/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8975/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1925/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $302/short ton, up $0.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Bounces on Iran Peace Deal Despite Bearish Long-Run Outlook

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. and Iran agreed to a peace deal on Monday with the deal expected to be signed Friday in Switzerland. The memorandum signed is explicit that Iran will allow 60 days of toll-free transit for all traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and President Trump annou...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The ongoing shift in ag commodity markets from bullish to bearish sentiments resulted in funds halving their all-ags net long last week, liquidating 330,000 contracts (52 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just five weeks prior. This, combined with the w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1275/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.845/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.135/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $0.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Quiet Trade Follows WASDE as Livestock Sector Faces Capacity Shifts

What You Need to Know Today: It was a quiet trading day across major agricultural commodities, with most contracts closing within 1 percent of the previous day's settlement. Trading volumes for corn and the soy complex were lighter than earlier in the week, as traders were positioning before a...

livestock

Policy Roundup: NWS, Section 122 Tariffs, and Dairy Producer Agenda

New World Screwworm Another day, another case of New World Screwworm. USDA has reported nine cases of New World Screwworm (NWS) in the U.S. Of the nine reported cases, eight are located across four counties in Texas—Edwards, Gillespie, La Salle, and Zavala. Of the eight cases in Texas, si...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1175/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8675/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.15/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.7/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: June WASDE Light on Major Balance Sheet Changes

What You Need to Know Today: The June WASDE report was largely in line with expectations, with no major market-altering changes to the balance sheets. The Producer Price Index rose by 1.1 percent month-over-month in May 2026, exceeding economist estimates of a 0.7 percent rise. The annual head...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: NWS and USMCA Renegotiation

USDA’s National Veterinary Services confirmed three new cases of New World Screwworm, including one in a calf in La Salle County, Texas, a goat in Texas, and a dog in New Mexico. That brings the total to six cases. The border to Mexico is closed, with Mexico now implementing a prohibition...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.875/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.23/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.9/short ton, up $0.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Return of Risk Premium

Key Market Insights Macro Markets: Inflation and Iran Reenter the Conversation Just when the grain trade had become comfortable focusing almost exclusively on weather, two major macro stories returned to the spotlight this morning: inflation and Iran. May CPI came in hotter than expected, with...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.195/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8525/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1375/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $301.1/short ton, down $1.6 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pre-WASDE Stabilization Continues, But What Next?

What You Need to Know Today: Early Tuesday, the U.S. Energy Secretary said vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is rising in a “very meaningful way.” Tuesday afternoon, however, President Trump said Iran shot down a U.S. helicopter while it was patrolling the Strait of Hormu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Miscellaneous Initial excitement over China’s pledges to buy American farm products has faded, as no purchases have immediately materialized. USDA Deputy Secretary Stephen Vaden said he is confident that China will meet its purchase commitments from the U.S., but market conditions and tra...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins were essentially unchanged at -$201/head last week as a modest increase in the Choice cutout was offset by steady fed cattle prices. The cutout edged higher to $392/cwt while fed cattle prices held near $257/cwt, leaving packer spreads largely unchanged. Margins remain deepl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.1875/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8325/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.1575/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $302.7/short ton, down $5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Drives CBOT, Sends Wheat Higher and Soybeans Lower

What You Need to Know Today: After a volatile weekend with Israel and Iran launching attacks at each other, peace seems to have returned to the region after President Trump called for both sides to cease hostilities. Soybean trade remains defensive as funds are liquidating longs amid no signs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts for the third straight week. Funds reduced the all-ags net long by 188,000 contracts (23 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just four weeks...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.215/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $308.5/short ton, down $5.2 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Lowers Risk Appetite

What You Need to Know Today: Non-farm payrolls rose by 172,000 jobs in May, above economist expectations of 80,000 jobs. With the job market strong, the Fed may consider raising interest rates to tame inflation. The strong jobs report was a catalyst for lower risk appetite across financial and...

livestock

Screwworm Updates; Executive Action on Import Enforcement; Bullish Jobs Report

Newworld screwworm Update The detection of New World screwworm (NWS) in Texas on Wednesday has been volatile for the cattle markets. The confirmation came on Wednesday evening, and the futures market opened sharply lower on Thursday. Market participants cited unknowns about cattle supplies and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: New World Screwworm Appears in the U.S., Grains and Soy Sink

What You Need to Know Today: A case of New World Screwworm was detected in Texas, the first in the U.S. since 1966. With cases creeping closer to the U.S. border, it was only a matter of time. APHIS confirmed that larvae were detected in the umbilical area of a 3-week-old calf in Zavala County...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.245/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8175/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.295/bushel, down $0.245 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $313.7/short ton, down $7.1...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Screwworm in Texas Problem

The USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) has confirmed a case of New World Screwworm (NWS) in Texas.  This comes two days after a USDA press conference on New World Screwworm (NWS) where Secretary Rollins noted that a new press conference would be held every two...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risk Premium: Gone or Just Hiding?

Key Market Insights Macro: Dollar Up, Stocks Down The U.S. dollar moved higher today, creating another headwind for American exports. A stronger dollar makes U.S. commodities more expensive on the global market and can make it harder for exporters to compete against South American and Black Sea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.315/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $5.8725/bushel, down $0.1575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.54/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $320.8/short ton, down $5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.405/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.03/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6525/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $326.2/short ton, down $0...

livestock

Beef Supply and Demand Issues

Beef prices hit record highs in April 2026, and that is in large part due to robust consumer demand.  Despite economic pressures on consumers, there is not much evidence of consumers trading down from beef.  Much of that was due to the COVID pandemic when consumers learned new ways to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

China Market Analysis

Corn The U.S. has yet to ship any corn to China, though last year’s sales were a paltry 32 KMT.  Soybeans U.S. soybean export inspections for May rose above the previous year’s level with China as the target market. Citing reduced demand for soymeal, the Ministry of Agriculture...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved to -$200/head last week, up $57 from the prior week as the Choice cutout strengthened while fed cattle prices moved lower. The cutout rose to $392/cwt, continuing its seasonal climb into summer demand, while fed cattle prices eased to $257/cwt. The improvement helpe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Control CBOT at Least Until Weather Market Forms

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said Friday that the U.S. has seized $1b of Iranian crypto assets.  Iran’s IGGC says 15 merchant vessels, including 4 oil tankers, have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours.  Managed money traders...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Key Factors that Sparked Brazil’s Growth into an Agricultural Powerhouse

Key Takeaways: Acidity: Brazil’s agricultural production rose significantly after agricultural researchers were able to reduce soil acidity in the Cerrado region. Rotation: Farmers in the Center-West of Brazil, where the Cerrado is located, enjoy a soybean/corn double cropping advantage...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.0875/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8075/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $326.5/short ton, down $3...

livestock

Poultry and Egg Markets Weighed Against HPAI

From the monthly cold storage report it is interesting to look at the poultry numbers and changes due to HPAI that has been plaguing the sector to some degree since 2022.  Total chicken in cold storage was up 1.1 percent on the year and up 0.9 percent on the month. For eggs, the total inve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts for the third straight week. Funds reduced the all-ags net long 169,000 contracts (17 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just three weeks pr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risk-off tone hits grains and livestock

What You Need to Know Today: Agricultural commodities were mostly lower on the day, with red-hot soyoil a notable exception. Export sales were a bit underwhelming, particularly for corn with export sales down 52 percent week-over-week. The weakness in ag markets tracked crude oil weakness wit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Commodity Policy Being Shaped by Unfolding Farm Crisis

With the war in Iran affecting fuel and fertilizer prices, higher tariffs, weak commodity prices, ag labor constraints, and other factors, farm bankruptcies are now at a 6-year high, a signal of growing stress.  During the month of April, 62 Chapter 12 bankruptcies were filed, which is a 1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.4675/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.105/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8675/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $329.8/short ton, down $4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains and oilseeds see strength on high PCE reading, Crude oil and macros remain topsy-turvy with U.S.-Iran headline risk

What You Need to Know Today:  The U.S. struck Iranian military targets for the second time this week. During a cabinet meeting, President Trump said that the Strait of Hormuz is international waters and will be open to everybody, which appears to be wishful thinking. Control of the Strait...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.5575/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.24/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.945/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $334.1/short ton, up $3.5 from...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: More Dairy Cow Slaughter Later This Year

A total of 79,000 cows has been added to the dairy herd since last December, which compares to 81,000 head added to the dairy herd over the same period in 2025. This similarity in herd expansion numbers in early 2025 and 2026 has kept dairy cow slaughter at the same level in each of the two yea...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved to -$257/head last week, up $39 from the prior week as the Choice cutout strengthened while fed cattle prices eased. The cutout rose to nearly $390/cwt, while fed cattle prices slipped to $260/cwt, allowing packer spreads to recover modestly from the prior week&rsqu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trading Headlines, Pricing Risk

Key Market Insights Today was another reminder that this market is trading headlines first, facts second. Early optimism surrounding reports of a possible U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding helped pressure energy risk premium and kept the broader commodity space defensive. An hour later, how...

livestock

Producers' Share of Beef Value Up, Packer Margins Down

Key Takeaways: Cattle producers are currently capturing a greater proportion of total retail beef values amid tight cattle supplies.  Packers are forced to make higher bids on cattle to keep operations running when supplies are tight, hurting packer margins. Sustained poor packer margins...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.525/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.225/bushel, down $0.13 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8525/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $330.6/short ton, up $2 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls on Better Weather, Geopolitical Trade Dynamics

What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. conducted “self-defense strikes” in Iran and said the two sides are “close” to negotiating a ceasefire. “Close” is a relative term, however, and even if 95 percent of the terms are agreed to, the remaining 5 percent is l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.575/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.355/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.86/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $328.6/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts for the second straight week. Funds reduced the all-ags net long by 4,300 contracts (0.4 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016 forged just two weeks p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Grain China’s General Administration of Customs says that grain imports were up 34.3 percent in April and an overall 18.1 percent for the January to April period. On the one hand, China produces more grain that it consumes and stockpiles large volumes. But Canadian grain analyst Mitch Mil...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Small Gains as Corn/Soybeans Correct; Commodity Supercycle

What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...

livestock

U.S. Cattle on Feed on May 1, 2026

• U.S. Cattle on Feed Up in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.6 million on May 1, 2026 - 2 percent above May 1, 2025. • Placements in feedlots during April totaled 1.70 million head - 6 percent above 2025.  • Marketings of fed cattle during April totale...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Neutral with Bearish Undertones

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 102 percent of last year. Source: USDA, WPI Placements were up, but part of that is attributable to persistent drought c...

livestock

Fake Meat? On the End of the Aisle

Let’s return briefly to the fake meat hype cycle, now sitting somewhere in a dusty corner of your mind, not entirely forgotten. What happened to all those products, known as plant-based alternative proteins? They were supposed to be as good as real meat—cheaper, more environmentally...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6325/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.4625/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.965/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, up $3.5 fr...

livestock

Cold Storage Report Summary and Analysis

April 2026 total red meat and poultry stocks were up sharply from March but 1.6 percent below April 2025 levels due to continued declines in poultry and pork stocks. Total poultry stocks were up 0.2 percent year-over-year (YoY) due to a slow expansion in broiler slaughter. Total pork stocks ros...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: A Market Trading War — Until It Wasn’t

Key Market Insights Macro markets delivered a full whipsaw today. Early in the session, crude oil had rallied back above $100/barrel as traders priced renewed concern over the U.S.-Iran standoff and potential supply risk through the Strait of Hormuz. That strength helped pull grains off their o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6225/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.475/bushel, down $0.13 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, down $2...

livestock

Poultry Profitability Helping to Offset Challenging Beef Environment for Major Protein Producers

Key Takeaways: Major meatpackers are seeing massive losses in their beef divisions, with cattle prices at record levels amid low inventories. Drought continues to persist in cattle-producing areas in the U.S. Cattle herd rebuilding is not at the levels needed to meaningfully raise total cattle...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for 1 May will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 101.4 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.535 million head. This is the first year-over-yea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Drift Lower on Improved Weather, Pre-Holiday Selling

What You Need to Know Today: Chinese officials indicated that China and the U.S. have agreed to cut 10 percent tariffs on imports. Chinese officials confirmed that a “guiding target” has been set for purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, but fell short of confirming that the U.S. r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6575/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.605/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9975/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $330.9/short ton, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Pause to Assess China Deal Amid Broadly Bullish Backdrop

What You Need to Know Today: Excitement over China’s agreement to purchase $17 billion of U.S. ag commodities subsided, as traders are cautious amid the yet-unspecified allocation of those purchases. Monday’s Crop Progress report did not significantly change the narrative for corn...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds reducing net long positions across most of the major ag futures contracts, reversing a three-week buying trend. Funds reduced the net long on all-ags by 92,000 contracts (8.4 percent), pulling back from the largest net long since at least 2016.  The...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7525/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.6725/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.095/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $332.3/short ton, down $2...

livestock

Texas Joins Beef Antitrust Effort

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton on Friday launched an investigation into the beef industry over potential anticompetitive conduct among the nation’s largest meatpackers, his office announced Friday. He said the investigation would be conducted alongside a separate antitrust probe announ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.77/bushel, up $0.2125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.645/bushel, up $0.2875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.13/bushel, up $0.36 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $334.5/short ton, up $0.2 from yes...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Assumptions, Uncertainty, Volatility

What You Need to Know Today: Markets opened double digits higher Sunday evening following the release of Chinese and American official summaries of bilateral discussions last week. They chose the more optimistic view of future Chinese purchases of American farm goods versus the more opaque inte...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Funds Come Off Their High Horse

With no bullish surprise out of Beijing this week and good weather taking over many global crop areas, funds spent the past couple of days selling off the peak positions they had built.  CNN’s Live Updates blared, “No signs Trump and Xi resolved any thorny challenges.” By...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.5575/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.3575/bushel, down $0.2225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.77/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $334.3/short ton, up $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lack of China Specifics Sink Market

There was heavy volume exiting soybeans, which dragged down the broader market today. The lack of a specific Chinese buying commitment for soybeans undermined speculators who had placed bets on state-directed trade. But even the Chinese do not totally ignore market fundamentals. They may still...

livestock

Administration to Suspend TRQ Waiver on Beef

On Tuesday, 12 May, WPI reported on an Executive Order being prepared by the Trump Administration to suspend tariff rate quotas (TRQs) on beef from all exporters for 200 days as a means of addressing high beef prices in the United States. After considerable pushback from cattle producer groups,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.675/bushel, down $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.58/bushel, down $0.175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.925/bushel, down $0.365 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $332.5/short ton, down $6 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War, Weather, and Waiting

Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8075/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.755/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.29/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $338.5/short ton, up $10.1 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.79/bushel, up $0.45 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.2675/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, up $3.6 from yes...

livestock

U.S. to Temporarily Suspend TRQs on Over-Quota Tariffs on Beef

The Trump Administration is planning a suspension of tariff rate quotas (TRQs) on beef from all exporters for 200 days as a means to address high beef prices in the U.S. U.S. cattle and beef prices have increased based on exceptionally strong consumer demand, the smallest U.S. cattle herd in 75...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$208/head last week, down $24 from the prior week as higher fed cattle prices continued to outpace wholesale beef values. The Choice cutout held near $389/cwt, but fed cattle prices climbed to nearly $259/cwt, extending the seasonal squeeze on packer spreads...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risks Abound During Headline Week

What You Need to Know Today: Energy markets are sharply higher after President Trump rejected a weekend Iranian counter proposal that did not include limits on the country’s nuclear program. The ceasefire looks increasingly fragile, with energy markets unlikely to return to normal soon...

livestock

DOJ USDA Give Update on Antitrust Investigation into Beef Packing

At a joint press conference last week between the Department of Justice and USDA, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated that he and Rollins were present to “... talk about our progress here at the Justice Department to hold meat packers accountable.” The structure of the beef...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7525/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.34/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.13/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $324.8/short ton, up $5.1 from yester...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds adding to net long positions across the major ag futures contracts for the third straight week as weather concerns sustained risk-on buying. Funds added 97,000 contracts (9.8 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week, essentially reversing the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Equities Easily Outperform Ags

What You Need to Know Today Ag markets have placed bets on new soybean demand from China after next week’s Xi-Trump meeting. While the media predicts no major deals or agreements, Beijing sees Trump as transactional so it will “buy” some stability, and soybeans are relatively...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7125/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.19/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.08/bushel, up $0.1575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $319.7/short ton, up $0.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Prices Slide on a Hiatus in the Market

What You Need to Know Today Agricultural futures spent a third straight session mostly lower after partially recovering from morning lows.  The war in Iran continues to drive energy markets with spillover into ags. After two days lower, crude oil turned higher after Iran demanded unlikely...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.675/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1225/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9225/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, up $1.6 f...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Summer Grilling Season and Exports

It is now May, the kick-off of the retail meat demand surge, and a shift in the types of products. There are a variety of events that result in a notable spike in spending. First, just passed, is Cinco de Mayo, on 5 May, in which shoppers seek out such items as taco fixings and ready-to-heat me...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War Premium Out. Weather Premium Next?

Key Market Insights Macros: Macro markets traded a sharp shift in tone Wednesday as traders aggressively pulled risk premium from the market on growing optimism surrounding a possible U.S.–Iran agreement. Crude oil briefly traded back below $89/barrel while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 push...

livestock

Dressed Carcass Politicians

Gutless politicians are an unsurprising feature, but are nonetheless disappointing. Their constituents often do not care why beef prices are high; they just want them lowered. And if there is no easy solution, then the politician’s goal is to deflect the criticism toward anyone else, whet...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated to -$184/head last week, down $84 from the prior week as sharply higher fed cattle prices outpaced a modest rebound in the Choice cutout. The cutout firmed to $388/cwt, but fed cattle prices surged to nearly $255/cwt, continuing to compress packer spreads despit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.685/bushel, down $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1725/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9475/bushel, down $0.1675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $317.3/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Ease on Profit Taking but Bullish Fundamentals Remain

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz and renewed Iranian attacks on vessels and UAE infrastructure are sustaining geopolitical risk across energy and commodity markets Broad profit taking and weaker crude oil triggered a pullback across grains, signaling...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.2775/bushel, down $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.115/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $320.4/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weather and Biofuels Drive CBOT Strength as Geopolitical Risk Builds

What You Need to Know Today: U.S. launches naval escort operations in the Strait of Hormuz as Iran attacks UAE oil infrastructure, escalating geopolitical risk and supporting energy and broader commodity markets Biofuel demand entering uncharted territory, with soyoil valuation increasingly di...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8575/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.41/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.2275/bushel, up $0.195 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $320.9/short ton, up $1.6 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed End to a Higher Week

The corn and soy complex closed higher, with the wheat market mixed, as winter wheat closed up but spring wheat and livestock ended lower. Part of the strength for corn and soybeans may have been a weather premium, as crop planting has started out fast but warm weather has been slow to develop...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Per Capita, What Do You Eat?

Reflect for a moment on what you eat. There is a lot of advice out there in the ether about what you should eat, but really, what do you currently eat and how much? The good people at the USDA have some data for you, to help you answer that question. USDA says that we eat quite a bit of meat. L...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.8025/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.3775/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $12.0325/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $319.3/short ton, up $0.4 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Inflation Climbs, Crude Hesitates, Grains Reset

Key Market Insights Macros: Inflation isn’t cooling — it’s moving higher again. March PCE inflation (Personal Consumption Expenditures index — the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation) rose 0.7 percent month-over-month, pushing the annual rate to 3.5 percent, the h...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Farm Bill Includes Prop 12 Fix

An amendment to the U.S. House farm bill, aiming to remove the Save Our Bacon Act language in Section 12006 that would have stripped language to prohibit California’s Proposition 12, Massachusetts’ Question 3, and up to 500 state agricultural laws across the country, was blocked by...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7475/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.3675/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.955/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, down $4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel Demand and Weather Risks Support Ag Markets Despite Fed Pause

What Matters Today... Fed holds rates steady as inflation uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict pressures equities and supports broader commodity risk premia Biofuel demand accelerating globally, with U.S. imports of used cooking oil and strong soyoil demand reinforcing upside across the soy c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.7775/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.53/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.97/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $323.8/short ton, down $3.6 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat, Corn Score New Highs on Weather, Fund Buying

Weather concerns and the impacts of the war in Iran helped push wheat and corn to sharp gains Tuesday, with both markets blowing past key technical resistance levels. The weather is now coupled with geopolitical tensions that look increasingly hard to resolve, which is giving funds the perfect...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.755/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.5775/bushel, up $0.28 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.8925/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $327.4/short ton, down $0.4...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved to -$100/head last week, up $28 from the prior week as the Choice cutout stabilized following its brief post-Easter decline while fed cattle prices eased modestly. The cutout firmed to $384/cwt, while fed cattle prices slipped to $246/cwt, allowing packer margins to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds adding to net long position across the major ag futures contracts after a two week break as deteriorating negotiations in the Middle East and the emergence of weather concerns triggered risk-on buying. Funds bought 40,000 contracts (4.7 percent) to their...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.6925/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.2975/bushel, up $0.13 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.92/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $327.8/short ton, up $8.7 from y...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Markets’ Two Key Factors Increasingly Bullish

The big picture for commodity markets is that imperfect weather and the lack of a peace deal in the Middle East are mandating that traders keep risk premia in prices. All other developments in ag futures stem in some way from these two factors, though the details of how, exactly, these factors...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.635/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1675/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soybeans closed at $11.785/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $319.1/short ton, up $2.6...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Week and a Mixed Outlook

This is the limbo period between the expectations and reality of a new crop going into the ground. Prices gyrate in a narrow range, awaiting something more definitive than planting “intentions.” The bears see a planting pace off to a quick start, the bulls see ground that in many pl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.555/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.2025/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5975/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $316.5/short ton, up $0.2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War Sustains Wheat; Corn Up Fifth Day

The Middle East truce is a rough one and the uncertainty spiked oil prices and the dollar again for another day. The wheat market has droughty conditions in the U.S., but globally there is pressure on a crop that gets both its fertilizer and a chunk of its demand from this volatile region. ...

livestock

Rotisserie Chicken Proposed to be Allowed Under SNAP

Senators Jim Justice (D-West Virginia), John Fetterman (D-Pennsylvania), Shelley Moore Capito (R-West Virginia), and Michael Bennet (D-Colorado) introduced the Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act, which would allow Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) participants to purchase hot rotisserie...

livestock

Early 2026 Projections of Cow-Calf Finances

Key Takeaways: Despite rising cost pressures — including the recent run-up in fuel and energy costs — U.S. cow-calf producers are facing another year of record-breaking revenues and net returns for 2026. Cost pressures — particularly non-feed variable costs — and drough...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Plenty of Risk, Not Enough Conviction

Key Market Insights Markets aren’t trading fundamentals right now—they’re pricing risk. The Middle East remains the center of gravity, and the latest developments point to a situation that is not escalating—but not resolving either. That’s a difficult environment...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.07/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.645/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $316.3/short ton, down $4.9 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.1275/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.745/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $321.2/short ton, up $0 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Weather, Biofuel Demand Prospects

For much of the period since the U.S.–Iran war started, commodity markets have been buoyed by macroeconomic “risk on” buying fueled by the geopolitical risk and crude oil’s rally. Recently, the impact of this risk and crude oil on the ag markets has faded, leaving crop f...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated further, falling to -$129/head last week, down $38 from the prior week as a continued seasonal softening in the Choice cutout pressured returns. The cutout declined to $382/cwt, extending its post–Easter pullback, while fed cattle prices held near $248/cwt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: SOH Confusion Persists, but Ags Focus on Weather, Exports

The situation in the Persian Gulf remains as volatile as ever since it started on 28 February with a supposed weekend peace agreement dissolving into the U.S. Navy firing upon an Iranian vessel. The vessel was trying to pass through the Strait of Hormuz and reportedly did not heed commands to h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.52/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.06/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6575/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $321.2/short ton, down $6 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts for the second straight week as signs of hope in the Middle East triggered an exit of geological “risk on” trades from commodity markets. Funds sold 40,000 contracts (4...

livestock

Cattle on Feed - April 1 2026

U.S. cattle on feed totaled 11.6 million head on April 1, 2026, 1 percent below April 1, 2025.  Placements in feedlots during March totaled 1.71 million head, 7 percent below 2025.  Marketings of fed cattle during March totaled 1.63 million head, 6 percent below 2025.  Other disa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4875/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9125/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6725/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.8/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Rebound for Corn, Beans on Iran News; Wheat Declines

New variables specifically in the agricultural markets were light today, but the Iran war news hit some markets like a tsunami. The war and Iran’s chokehold on global oil supplies have subjugated economies for nearly seven weeks with outsized petrol prices. Everything became distorted aro...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Neutral

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more of capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 99 percent of last year. The steer and steer calf inventory was down slightly from a year ago at 7.256 million head,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: More Wheat Weather Premium, but Weakness Elsewhere

There was generally modest volume today, with the exception of wheat, which was also uniquely higher on the day. New highs for the calendar year were printed in HRW as the fledgling crop is about to have the double-whammy of freezing temperatures added to drought as the welcoming committee for...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for 1 April will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.6 million head. The big line item to watch agai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.485/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.985/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6375/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $332.7/short ton, down $1...

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