World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

2014 Crop Revenue Protection Prices Better Than Expected

If prices are high, as they have been the past two years, this program has guaranteed great profits regardless of yields or prices going forward.February was an important month for U.S. producers because, as we have pointed out on several occasions, this is the month the initial and minimum price guarantees for the 2014 crops are calculated. The table below shows the 2012 and 2013 initial base prices compared with the preliminary prices for the 2014 crop.As a quick refresher on the crop revenue protection program: This program insures revenue per acre. A producer can elect coverage between 65-85 percent of their proven crop yield. The per acre insurance guarantee is the percentage of insurance times the proven yield times the initial p...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Limping Home After a Dreary Week

Friday involved relatively lower volume and modest price changes as new inputs remain limited. And it wasn’t really due to the lack of USDA reports due to the shutdown since they may not have involved anything market moving. Harvest is progressing, competitors have ample supplies, and buy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1525/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.18/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $278.6/short ton, down $0.7...

Competing Manufacturing Data

According to S&P Global, the US manufacturing sector grew for the fourth consecutive month in September. The U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index recorded 52 points in September, down from 53 a month prior and indicating a weaker rate of expansion of the manufacturing sector. A rea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Limping Home After a Dreary Week

Friday involved relatively lower volume and modest price changes as new inputs remain limited. And it wasn’t really due to the lack of USDA reports due to the shutdown since they may not have involved anything market moving. Harvest is progressing, competitors have ample supplies, and buy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1525/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.18/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $278.6/short ton, down $0.7...

Competing Manufacturing Data

According to S&P Global, the US manufacturing sector grew for the fourth consecutive month in September. The U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index recorded 52 points in September, down from 53 a month prior and indicating a weaker rate of expansion of the manufacturing sector. A rea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

Following the recent shocks to the grain markets – the Grain Stocks report data and news that soybeans will be on the negotiating table when Presidents Trump and Xi meet next – many are wondering what happens next as far as commodity pricing goes. WPI certainly doesn’t have a...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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