Recent Soy & Oilseeds Analysis
Summary of Futures
Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3375/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.4125/bushel, up $0.125 from yesterday's close. Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $13.3225/bushel, up $0.2275 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $356.9/short ton, up $5.5 from...
Market Commentary: Soy Exports, Technical Support Send CBOT Higher Before WASDE
What You Need to Know Today: Risk-on money flow was present in the markets Thursday with headlines in Iran and the Black Sea driving the move. Russia attacked more of Ukraine’s processing and export facilities, including a Bunge facility near the Black Sea. One of the facilities hit was...
Implications of $100+ per Barrel Crude Oil on Agriculture
Key Takeaways: The significance of $100-per-barrel crude depends largely on how long prices remain elevated, as sustained high energy costs are more likely to influence longer-term agricultural decisions. Higher crude oil prices raise farm production costs most directly through diesel, while a...
Dairy Feed Cost Volatility and Margins
Key Takeaways: Corn and soybean meal markets are tightening together for the first time in more than a year, driven by lower U.S. yield expectations and continued Chinese soybean demand. A strong El Niño is replacing last year’s La Niña, shifting crop risk across the Americ...
Summary of Futures
Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.2875/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close. Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $13.095/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $351.4/short ton, up $...
Market Commentary: Pressure is Stacking Up
Energy: Fewer Routes, More Pressure Brent crude is back above $100, while WTI has closed higher for seven consecutive sessions as multiple supply routes come under pressure and the market runs out of workarounds. U.S. forces destroyed five Iranian crude-oil carriers Tuesday after Iran attempted...
Why the Black Sea Dominates the Global Sunflower Oil Market
Key Takeaways: Sunflower oil is a major global vegetable oil despite its relatively limited presence in the United States, with sunflowerseed containing substantially more oil than soybeans. Russia and Ukraine sit at the center of the global sunflower oil market, together accounting for 57 per...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 31 August – 4 September 2026 The Russian grain market continued its bearish trend during the first week of September, with ample stocks and weak demand keeping pressure on prices. At the same time, Russian exports are undergoing a structural shift as traders increas...
Summary of Futures
Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.47/bushel, up $0.13 from yesterday's close. Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $13.1625/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $349.8/short ton, down $5.3 fro...
WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 8 September)
Developer's Note 24 August 2026: WPI recently completed an exercise that updated the codebase for this app and solved some of the discrepancies between our five-year average calculation and USDA's. There are a few lingering cases where early (late) starts (finishes) to the crop cycle resu...
Market Commentary: Volatility is the Outlook
What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. weather forecast has shifted to favor more beneficial conditions for finishing the corn and soybean crops, which is removing some weather risk premium from futures. Traders are looking ahead to Friday’s September WASDE, which will offer major insight...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Pakistan’s government reports that it has purchased 750,000 MT of wheat that will be delivered in November 2026, along with another 250,000 MT for later delivery. The forecasted shortfall in wheat supply for 2026/27 could be...
Summary of Futures
Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.3375/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.4125/bushel, up $0.125 from yesterday's close. Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $13.3225/bushel, up $0.2275 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $356.9/short ton, up $5.5 from...
Market Commentary: Soy Exports, Technical Support Send CBOT Higher Before WASDE
What You Need to Know Today: Risk-on money flow was present in the markets Thursday with headlines in Iran and the Black Sea driving the move. Russia attacked more of Ukraine’s processing and export facilities, including a Bunge facility near the Black Sea. One of the facilities hit was...
Implications of $100+ per Barrel Crude Oil on Agriculture
Key Takeaways: The significance of $100-per-barrel crude depends largely on how long prices remain elevated, as sustained high energy costs are more likely to influence longer-term agricultural decisions. Higher crude oil prices raise farm production costs most directly through diesel, while a...
Dairy Feed Cost Volatility and Margins
Key Takeaways: Corn and soybean meal markets are tightening together for the first time in more than a year, driven by lower U.S. yield expectations and continued Chinese soybean demand. A strong El Niño is replacing last year’s La Niña, shifting crop risk across the Americ...
Summary of Futures
Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.2875/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close. Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $13.095/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $351.4/short ton, up $...
Market Commentary: Pressure is Stacking Up
Energy: Fewer Routes, More Pressure Brent crude is back above $100, while WTI has closed higher for seven consecutive sessions as multiple supply routes come under pressure and the market runs out of workarounds. U.S. forces destroyed five Iranian crude-oil carriers Tuesday after Iran attempted...
Why the Black Sea Dominates the Global Sunflower Oil Market
Key Takeaways: Sunflower oil is a major global vegetable oil despite its relatively limited presence in the United States, with sunflowerseed containing substantially more oil than soybeans. Russia and Ukraine sit at the center of the global sunflower oil market, together accounting for 57 per...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 31 August – 4 September 2026 The Russian grain market continued its bearish trend during the first week of September, with ample stocks and weak demand keeping pressure on prices. At the same time, Russian exports are undergoing a structural shift as traders increas...
Summary of Futures
Dec 26 Corn closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Wheat closed at $7.47/bushel, up $0.13 from yesterday's close. Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $13.1625/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close. Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $349.8/short ton, down $5.3 fro...
WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 8 September)
Developer's Note 24 August 2026: WPI recently completed an exercise that updated the codebase for this app and solved some of the discrepancies between our five-year average calculation and USDA's. There are a few lingering cases where early (late) starts (finishes) to the crop cycle resu...
Market Commentary: Volatility is the Outlook
What You Need to Know Today: The U.S. weather forecast has shifted to favor more beneficial conditions for finishing the corn and soybean crops, which is removing some weather risk premium from futures. Traders are looking ahead to Friday’s September WASDE, which will offer major insight...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Pakistan’s government reports that it has purchased 750,000 MT of wheat that will be delivered in November 2026, along with another 250,000 MT for later delivery. The forecasted shortfall in wheat supply for 2026/27 could be...