Recent Farm Inputs Analysis
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The major theme of the latest CFTC report is funds paring back risk in corn and the soy complex heading into the December WASDE report and/or the holiday season. Corn’s range-bound trade these past two weeks prompted funds to shed 13 percent of their long position in the market and have liquida...
Feast or Famine
The COVID supply chain meltdown created anxiety over the availability of agricultural inputs. This compelled many operators to look forward and lock in their needs for 2023, often at elevated prices. This buy-high insurance marker has been met with ammonia prices that have now fallen by 50 perc...
Similarities of Farming and Manufacturing
Debate around the reauthorization of the U.S. farm bill is focused on the legislation’s two major functions, domestic food assistance and farm price supports. The former involves Republicans trying to reduce the most generous portions of what amounts to 81 percent of farm bill spending, a...
Black Sea Grain Initiative: One and Done?
The uncertainty that Russia’s invasion has brought to agricultural markets continues. Roughly 32.9 MMT of grain has been exported from Ukraine since the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI) began in July 2022. Russia refused to extend it Monday, siting the continued sanctions that target Rus...
Green Deal Strategies
It has been a year since the EU released its plan for halving the use of pesticide and slashing fertilizer use and the debate over it is evolving. The farming lobby has stiffened its spine with the Dutch government backing away from some of its strident demands, and now agriculture members of t...
Climate Change and Farm Bill
During the farm bill reauthorization this year, farmers want to protect their support programs including crop insurance. By contrast, environmentalists want to see a stronger emphasis on conservation. American Farmland Trust is an organization focused on preserving farms, farmland and promoting...
USA Land Use Changes
The acres used for crops in the U.S. peaked in 1981 when farm income was low and farmers tried to make up for it by expanding production. The acres used for crops in 2022 was 14.7 percent fewer and the share of cropland successfully harvested had risen slightly to 85 percent. While the n...
AMLO Spits on U.S. Corn; Sovereign Right to EV’s; Green Fertilizer Dreams
AMLO Spits on U.S. Corn If there were any doubts in the U.S. government about Mexico’s intent about GMO corn, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador cleared up their unwarranted confusion. He said Mexico could not buy GMO corn because there is no evidence it is safe. In a Tru...
Fertilizer: No Room for Error
There are a lot of uncertainties in the market and ranging from the political like the war, to the mundane such as weather. One variable front and center is fertilizer. It is both essential to crop production, and an environmental externality. The goal of reducing its use has come squarely conf...
Fertilizer Crisis
Fortunately, Hurricane Ian did not adversely impact Florida’s production of phosphate for crop production, but nitrogen remains a major supply concern. This is especially true in Europe where limited natural gas supplies will be focused on winter heating needs and maintaining industrial o...
South America’s Fertilizer Situation
Rabobank reports that fertilizer supplies will improve in 2023 with downward pressure on phosphate and potash prices, but nitrogen may see a 20-30 percent price hike. This is an important competitiveness factor for agricultural exporters. North and South America both have abundant supplies of p...
Green Food Crisis; Geopolitical Collusion
Green Food Crisis Regardless of the war in Ukraine and a global food price shock, the EU is moving forward with its plan to cut by half the use of “risky” pesticides by 2030. The goal is to replace them with “safe and sustainable alternatives.” For some, it looks like ad...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The major theme of the latest CFTC report is funds paring back risk in corn and the soy complex heading into the December WASDE report and/or the holiday season. Corn’s range-bound trade these past two weeks prompted funds to shed 13 percent of their long position in the market and have liquida...
Feast or Famine
The COVID supply chain meltdown created anxiety over the availability of agricultural inputs. This compelled many operators to look forward and lock in their needs for 2023, often at elevated prices. This buy-high insurance marker has been met with ammonia prices that have now fallen by 50 perc...
Similarities of Farming and Manufacturing
Debate around the reauthorization of the U.S. farm bill is focused on the legislation’s two major functions, domestic food assistance and farm price supports. The former involves Republicans trying to reduce the most generous portions of what amounts to 81 percent of farm bill spending, a...
Black Sea Grain Initiative: One and Done?
The uncertainty that Russia’s invasion has brought to agricultural markets continues. Roughly 32.9 MMT of grain has been exported from Ukraine since the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI) began in July 2022. Russia refused to extend it Monday, siting the continued sanctions that target Rus...
Green Deal Strategies
It has been a year since the EU released its plan for halving the use of pesticide and slashing fertilizer use and the debate over it is evolving. The farming lobby has stiffened its spine with the Dutch government backing away from some of its strident demands, and now agriculture members of t...
Climate Change and Farm Bill
During the farm bill reauthorization this year, farmers want to protect their support programs including crop insurance. By contrast, environmentalists want to see a stronger emphasis on conservation. American Farmland Trust is an organization focused on preserving farms, farmland and promoting...
USA Land Use Changes
The acres used for crops in the U.S. peaked in 1981 when farm income was low and farmers tried to make up for it by expanding production. The acres used for crops in 2022 was 14.7 percent fewer and the share of cropland successfully harvested had risen slightly to 85 percent. While the n...
AMLO Spits on U.S. Corn; Sovereign Right to EV’s; Green Fertilizer Dreams
AMLO Spits on U.S. Corn If there were any doubts in the U.S. government about Mexico’s intent about GMO corn, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador cleared up their unwarranted confusion. He said Mexico could not buy GMO corn because there is no evidence it is safe. In a Tru...
Fertilizer: No Room for Error
There are a lot of uncertainties in the market and ranging from the political like the war, to the mundane such as weather. One variable front and center is fertilizer. It is both essential to crop production, and an environmental externality. The goal of reducing its use has come squarely conf...
Fertilizer Crisis
Fortunately, Hurricane Ian did not adversely impact Florida’s production of phosphate for crop production, but nitrogen remains a major supply concern. This is especially true in Europe where limited natural gas supplies will be focused on winter heating needs and maintaining industrial o...
South America’s Fertilizer Situation
Rabobank reports that fertilizer supplies will improve in 2023 with downward pressure on phosphate and potash prices, but nitrogen may see a 20-30 percent price hike. This is an important competitiveness factor for agricultural exporters. North and South America both have abundant supplies of p...
Green Food Crisis; Geopolitical Collusion
Green Food Crisis Regardless of the war in Ukraine and a global food price shock, the EU is moving forward with its plan to cut by half the use of “risky” pesticides by 2030. The goal is to replace them with “safe and sustainable alternatives.” For some, it looks like ad...