World Perspectives

Market Commentary: Turnaround Tuesday for Corn; Wheat Selling Continues; Cattle Wobble on ICE Rumors

The overnight CBOT trade showed corn pushing lower while the soy complex traded modestly higher on hopes for positive outcomes from the U.S.-China trade meeting this week. That trend quickly reversed, however, as corn became the upside leader in the day session on technical buying. Corn’s...

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livestock

New Meat Giant Created in Brazil; Most of Revenue from U.S.

While the MAHA report from Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. still cites consolidation in the meat packing sector, Brazil’s competition regulator, the Administrative Council for Economic Defense (CADE), has approved a merger of two major Brazilian meat processors,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3875/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.9/short ton, up $0.4 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Grain markets in the MENA region are quiet due to the Musim EID holidays that extends through 9 June.  The FAO forecast Egypt to have above average grain crops in 2025, much of which is due to improved availability of high yi...

livestock

New Meat Giant Created in Brazil; Most of Revenue from U.S.

While the MAHA report from Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. still cites consolidation in the meat packing sector, Brazil’s competition regulator, the Administrative Council for Economic Defense (CADE), has approved a merger of two major Brazilian meat processors,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3875/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.9/short ton, up $0.4 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Grain markets in the MENA region are quiet due to the Musim EID holidays that extends through 9 June.  The FAO forecast Egypt to have above average grain crops in 2025, much of which is due to improved availability of high yi...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

New all-time highs in fed cattle prices caused beef packer margins to collapse again last week. Beef packer margins fell $97/head to -$299 – a new all-time low – as cattle procurement costs vastly exceeded beef sales revenue. The margin weakness comes near the seasonal peak in beef...

Calm Amidst Upheaval; Unilateral Impacts; Ethanol’s Rise

Calm Amidst Upheaval Data or surveys about attitudes or opinions are said to be “soft” data since they are emotive based and less reliable. Soft data in recent months had been signaling angst about the U.S. economy and Mr. Trump’s handling of it. Yet, hard data has reflected g...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

New all-time highs in fed cattle prices caused beef packer margins to collapse again last week. Beef packer margins fell $97/head to -$299 – a new all-time low – as cattle procurement costs vastly exceeded beef sales revenue. The margin weakness comes near the seasonal peak in beef...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather Forecasts while Livestock Futures Hit New Highs

Except for the livestock futures, which all hit new contract or record highs, the CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with favorable weather and bearish chart conditions driving the sentiment. The index fund roll ticked off its second of five days on Monday, so spreads and volumes patterns...

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up; CAP Rush; Europe’s Military and Agriculture

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up The big story involves U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators meeting in London this week. Discussions lasted three hours today and resume tomorrow but no one sees agriculture being involved in the talks. Instead, the focus is on export controls where Beijing is limiting...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.42/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.5/short ton, down $0.2...

USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

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