World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 11 April)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 11 April 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight The trade war(s) and the possible Section 301 penalties against Chinese vessels docking at U.S. ports have kept freight markets exceptionally volatile in recent weeks. This week’s trend wa...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels. U.S. corn ending stocks are down 75 million bushels from last month to 1.5 billion. The season-average corn price received by producers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel.  Global corn ending stocks,...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat - USDA’s April 2025 estimates are for increased U.S. wheat imports by 10 million bushels to 150 million - the largest since 2017/18. Domestic consumption is forecast 2 million bushels lower on reduced seed use. U.S. wheat exports are lowered 15 million bushels to 820 million. As a r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 31 March – 4 April 2025 Russian wheat, the only de-facto exportable commodity for the moment, is relatively stable but shows the first signs of appreciation. This is happening amid solid demand from exporters and melting stocks. As of 1 March, Russian wheat stocks s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 24 – 28 March 2025 The Russian Ministry of Agriculture once again announced revised figures for the 2024 crop including occupied territories of Ukraine. The total crop size showed 129.8 MMT - this is the number the Russian Statistics Agency recently reported. For re...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soyoil, Rapeseed Rally on Demand Surge

The Market  The big movement in oilseed markets this week is the rally in soyoil futures, which are up 4 percent from last week. The market has rallied due to its large discount against palm oil futures and recent gains in rapeseed prices that are supporting oilseed and vegoils broadly. U...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Acreage, Stocks Expectations; Soyoil Scores Bullish Breakout

The CBOT bears were in control of markets again on Wednesday and drove corn and wheat futures lower with significant technical developments. Fresh news remains light but the justification for the day’s declines were expectations for USDA to report expanded corn area and larger wheat stock...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 17 – 21 March 2025 Russian farmers started planting and fertilizing winter crops which is rather early for this time of the year. Rostov Oblast for example has already planted 5 percent of the planned spring crops area. Moreover, this Oblast set a new record fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10 – 14 March 2025 Probably for the first time in recent history the Russian Ministry of Agriculture has announced crop production in Russia including “new territories” (occupied territories of Ukraine). The Ministry reported that during 2024, grain prod...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3 – 7 March 2025 The Russian Ministry of Agriculture forecasts this year's total planted area to be higher than the previous year, reaching almost 84 million hectares (Mha), of which 55.8 million are spring crops. The Russian Statistics Agency reported that wheat pr...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged from last month – and the season-average corn price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel. USDA’s global corn outlook is for higher foreign corn production: Increases in India, Russia, and Uk...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 11 April)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 11 April 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight The trade war(s) and the possible Section 301 penalties against Chinese vessels docking at U.S. ports have kept freight markets exceptionally volatile in recent weeks. This week’s trend wa...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels. U.S. corn ending stocks are down 75 million bushels from last month to 1.5 billion. The season-average corn price received by producers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel.  Global corn ending stocks,...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat - USDA’s April 2025 estimates are for increased U.S. wheat imports by 10 million bushels to 150 million - the largest since 2017/18. Domestic consumption is forecast 2 million bushels lower on reduced seed use. U.S. wheat exports are lowered 15 million bushels to 820 million. As a r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 31 March – 4 April 2025 Russian wheat, the only de-facto exportable commodity for the moment, is relatively stable but shows the first signs of appreciation. This is happening amid solid demand from exporters and melting stocks. As of 1 March, Russian wheat stocks s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 24 – 28 March 2025 The Russian Ministry of Agriculture once again announced revised figures for the 2024 crop including occupied territories of Ukraine. The total crop size showed 129.8 MMT - this is the number the Russian Statistics Agency recently reported. For re...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soyoil, Rapeseed Rally on Demand Surge

The Market  The big movement in oilseed markets this week is the rally in soyoil futures, which are up 4 percent from last week. The market has rallied due to its large discount against palm oil futures and recent gains in rapeseed prices that are supporting oilseed and vegoils broadly. U...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Acreage, Stocks Expectations; Soyoil Scores Bullish Breakout

The CBOT bears were in control of markets again on Wednesday and drove corn and wheat futures lower with significant technical developments. Fresh news remains light but the justification for the day’s declines were expectations for USDA to report expanded corn area and larger wheat stock...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 17 – 21 March 2025 Russian farmers started planting and fertilizing winter crops which is rather early for this time of the year. Rostov Oblast for example has already planted 5 percent of the planned spring crops area. Moreover, this Oblast set a new record fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10 – 14 March 2025 Probably for the first time in recent history the Russian Ministry of Agriculture has announced crop production in Russia including “new territories” (occupied territories of Ukraine). The Ministry reported that during 2024, grain prod...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3 – 7 March 2025 The Russian Ministry of Agriculture forecasts this year's total planted area to be higher than the previous year, reaching almost 84 million hectares (Mha), of which 55.8 million are spring crops. The Russian Statistics Agency reported that wheat pr...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged from last month – and the season-average corn price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel. USDA’s global corn outlook is for higher foreign corn production: Increases in India, Russia, and Uk...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

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