World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 April 2018 The key factor influencing the Russian grain markets was the U.S. introduction of new sanctions on 6 April, which caused the ruble rate to drop significantly. Sellers immediately raised their offer prices, and bid prices also grew but at a slower rate. The...

wheat

Signs of Life for Black Sea Wheat Futures

The production of wheat as a cultivated food crop began before recorded history. It was almost certainly the first crop of any kind to be traded between different population groups, probably as a primitive exchange for tools, animal skins and the like. Wheat was also probably the first bulk agr...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was firmer last week as offers for Russian 12.5 pro were difficult to find below $215/MT FOB. The Russia-U.S. tensions have pressured the ruble, which fell about 10 percent in one week. Consequently, domestic prices moved up sharply (in RUB expression), rising...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Numbers Still Bearish

The U.S. soybean market has had a bearish fundamental outlook for well over a year. Record U.S. and Brazilian crops in 2017 pushed world supplies to record levels despite the consistent growing demand from China. Most market analysts expected soybean futures prices would drop to below $9.00/bus...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 2-6 April 2018 Domestic grain prices continued to rise in the European part of Russia because of high demand from foreign importers, although the growth was insignificant in USD expression due to weakening of the ruble. Meanwhile, milling wheat export prices averaged $210...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEANCOMMENTS North African buyers of French wheat are finding that their shipments are delayed because of railway strikes in France that have created a logistics problem in moving grain. This has been further compounded by a sudden port worker strike in Rou...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat There were no changes in the Black Sea market last week. The Russian domestic market was stable except for the approximate $4/MT increase in the southern region (close to the ports) for the second consecutive week. This confirms that the surplus there is almost depleted, and expor...

softs soy-oilseeds feed-grains

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

  Record Sugar Production Expected as Prices Tumble and Arrears Mount India’s sugar production for 2017/18 (October-September) is now expected to total 30.3 MMT, up from the previous estimate of 29.5 MMT. The production cycle is coming to an end with output reaching a high of 28.18 M...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight trade saw grain and soy prices continue the recovery that began during Wednesday’s day session, which followed the major sell-off immediately after China’s announcement very early that morning of planned import tariffs on 106 products, prominently including soybeans. Soybe...

Trade War Adjustments; Imports Too!

Trade War Adjustments Back in 1973, the U.S. imposed a soybean export embargo and then export licensing requirements due to short supply concerns. The result was the birth of the Brazilian soybean industry as Japan sought to diversify its suppliers and began investments in South America. Now ma...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26-30 March 2018 Domestic feed grain prices continued growing due to stable demand from exporters. Milling wheat export prices were within $208-210/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports remained at $193-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. Feed barley export price were...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday’s big trading volume and price declines were tempered overnight with soybeans and wheat turning a bit higher while corn mostly stayed within fractions of Monday’s closes. Chicago and KC wheat prices were up in response to USDA’s first national winter wheat crop condi...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 April 2018 The key factor influencing the Russian grain markets was the U.S. introduction of new sanctions on 6 April, which caused the ruble rate to drop significantly. Sellers immediately raised their offer prices, and bid prices also grew but at a slower rate. The...

wheat

Signs of Life for Black Sea Wheat Futures

The production of wheat as a cultivated food crop began before recorded history. It was almost certainly the first crop of any kind to be traded between different population groups, probably as a primitive exchange for tools, animal skins and the like. Wheat was also probably the first bulk agr...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was firmer last week as offers for Russian 12.5 pro were difficult to find below $215/MT FOB. The Russia-U.S. tensions have pressured the ruble, which fell about 10 percent in one week. Consequently, domestic prices moved up sharply (in RUB expression), rising...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Numbers Still Bearish

The U.S. soybean market has had a bearish fundamental outlook for well over a year. Record U.S. and Brazilian crops in 2017 pushed world supplies to record levels despite the consistent growing demand from China. Most market analysts expected soybean futures prices would drop to below $9.00/bus...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 2-6 April 2018 Domestic grain prices continued to rise in the European part of Russia because of high demand from foreign importers, although the growth was insignificant in USD expression due to weakening of the ruble. Meanwhile, milling wheat export prices averaged $210...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEANCOMMENTS North African buyers of French wheat are finding that their shipments are delayed because of railway strikes in France that have created a logistics problem in moving grain. This has been further compounded by a sudden port worker strike in Rou...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat There were no changes in the Black Sea market last week. The Russian domestic market was stable except for the approximate $4/MT increase in the southern region (close to the ports) for the second consecutive week. This confirms that the surplus there is almost depleted, and expor...

softs soy-oilseeds feed-grains

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

  Record Sugar Production Expected as Prices Tumble and Arrears Mount India’s sugar production for 2017/18 (October-September) is now expected to total 30.3 MMT, up from the previous estimate of 29.5 MMT. The production cycle is coming to an end with output reaching a high of 28.18 M...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight trade saw grain and soy prices continue the recovery that began during Wednesday’s day session, which followed the major sell-off immediately after China’s announcement very early that morning of planned import tariffs on 106 products, prominently including soybeans. Soybe...

Trade War Adjustments; Imports Too!

Trade War Adjustments Back in 1973, the U.S. imposed a soybean export embargo and then export licensing requirements due to short supply concerns. The result was the birth of the Brazilian soybean industry as Japan sought to diversify its suppliers and began investments in South America. Now ma...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26-30 March 2018 Domestic feed grain prices continued growing due to stable demand from exporters. Milling wheat export prices were within $208-210/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports remained at $193-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. Feed barley export price were...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday’s big trading volume and price declines were tempered overnight with soybeans and wheat turning a bit higher while corn mostly stayed within fractions of Monday’s closes. Chicago and KC wheat prices were up in response to USDA’s first national winter wheat crop condi...

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