World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

wheat

WASDE Corn - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. corn ending stocks by 170 million bushels to 1.8 billion. The season-average farm price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.40 per bushel.  Foreign corn production was cut due to record heat in France. If realized, French pr...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. wheat production by 7 million bushels from last month to 1,536 million – which is the lowest U.S. wheat production since 1970/71. The result is that projected 2026/27 ending stocks are 722 million bushels, which is down 22 per...

feed-grains wheat

Wheat's Declining, Millers Keep Milling

Every June combines begin their annual sweep across the winter wheat fields of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. At the same time, USDA releases its Acreage and Crop Progress reports, providing the first comprehensive look at the size and condition of the crop. Most years the reports simply confirm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2026 The new marketing season has officially begun in Russia, although bearish sentiment has been concentrated in the southern regions closest to the Black Sea ports, where export demand has been weakest. Delays in grain deliveries to inland elevators have...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 8 July)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App   Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here.   Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “...

wheat

Why Middle Eastern and North African Wheat Demand Remains a Key Driver of Global Trade

Key Takeaways: The Middle East and North Africa's arid climate and limited water resources have created a structural dependence on imported wheat. Government wheat tenders in major importing countries serve as important benchmarks for global trade, providing insight into exporter competitivene...

Transportation Perspectives - 2 July

Key Takeaways Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is increasing steadily, despite a precarious political situation.  The increased flow of vessels through the SOH is pressuring tanker rates, though total volumes remain well below pre-war levels.  The big issue in the Strait of Hormu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 22-26 June 2026 The Russian grain market remained volatile during the week as farmers continued to hold old-crop supplies while new-crop availability remained limited. The ruble weakened nearly 5 percent against the U.S. dollar during the week, supporting domestic grain p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 15-19 June 2026 The Russian grain market moved lower this week as prices declined across all grain categories ahead of the end of the marketing year. Weakness was observed in both European Russia and the Asian regions, where markets continue to track bearish sentiment in...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8-12 June 2026 The Russian grain market was highly volatile during the week. The export market, the primary driver of domestic prices, remained stagnant, and bearish sentiment persisted. Weaker demand and expectations for a strong upcoming harvest encouraged exporters to...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is unchanged from last month. Slightly higher ending stocks for 2026/27 results in no change for the season-average price received by U.S. farmers producers at $4.40 per bushel. Global coarse grain production for 2026/27 is forecast 5.8 million to...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 reduced the U.S. average wheat yield by 0.5 bushels per acre to 47.0 bushels and ending stocks are reduced 18 million bushels to 744 million. However, U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 775 million bushels The result is 2026/27 season-average farm price is...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Then, Now and Next - Final Thoughts

Why read this? Because Mark Twain correctly noted that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” One of the most successful commodity traders and an eventual analyst at WPI was Bob Kohlmeyer. He was a history major from Princeton.  After 47 years of profession...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Exports Become More Diversified as Reliance on China Declines

Key Takeaways: China's rise to become the world's largest soybean importer reshaped global trade flows, but recent trade tensions have reduced its share of U.S. soybean exports. U.S. soybean exports have become increasingly diversified as exporters expanded sales to multiple emerging markets t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 1-5 June 2026 During the week under review, the Russian grain market began showing the first signs of the new season. The shift became visible on export trading platforms as global bearish sentiment intensified, supported by improving crop expectations across Russia's sou...

EU Sovereignty Ruse; Imbalanced Views; USMCA Voices

EU Sovereignty Ruse For years politicians talked like banty roosters about Europe’s soft power leadership, with American leaders hoping that a strong EU would multiply the U.S. power equation. Then Donald Trump ascended to power and called Europe a Potemkin village, infuriating Brussels t...

wheat

Australia's Wheat Crop Is Set to Decline, but Russia Remains the Key to Global Wheat Prices

Key Takeaways: Australia's wheat crop is expected to decline sharply in 2026/27 as dry conditions and high input costs reduce planted area and yield potential.  Some Australian farmers are shifting acreage from wheat to barley and canola in response to weather and profitability concerns.&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Market, 25-29 May 2026 Russian grain markets remained firm across most of European Russia last week, while activity in Asian regions was more mixed. Farmer selling remains limited despite large carryover stocks, helping support domestic values. The spread between old-crop and new-...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grains Market, 18-22 May 2026 Last week, Russian grain markets remained bullish all over the European part of the country. This times, even the Asian regions saw prices recover to new levels. This rally occurred on the heels of zero export duties and a very strong RUB.  The rally i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11 - 15 May 2026 The Russian grains market showed a broadly bullish tone across the European part of the country during the week, while conditions in the Asian regions remained stable to slightly bearish. In the southern federal district, the key wheat export hub, prices...

soy-oilseeds biofuel energy

Soyoil Prices Continue to Be Bullish Amid High Energy Prices and Favorable Biofuel Policy

Key Takeaways: Soyoil futures have been trading at the highest levels since 2022. Higher crude oil prices have allowed biofuels to be more cost-competitive with fossil fuels. Recent U.S. biofuel policy, including 45Z, has been favorable toward soyoil as a feedstock. California will be limiting...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

wheat

WASDE Corn - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. corn ending stocks by 170 million bushels to 1.8 billion. The season-average farm price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.40 per bushel.  Foreign corn production was cut due to record heat in France. If realized, French pr...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. wheat production by 7 million bushels from last month to 1,536 million – which is the lowest U.S. wheat production since 1970/71. The result is that projected 2026/27 ending stocks are 722 million bushels, which is down 22 per...

feed-grains wheat

Wheat's Declining, Millers Keep Milling

Every June combines begin their annual sweep across the winter wheat fields of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. At the same time, USDA releases its Acreage and Crop Progress reports, providing the first comprehensive look at the size and condition of the crop. Most years the reports simply confirm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2026 The new marketing season has officially begun in Russia, although bearish sentiment has been concentrated in the southern regions closest to the Black Sea ports, where export demand has been weakest. Delays in grain deliveries to inland elevators have...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 8 July)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App   Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here.   Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “...

wheat

Why Middle Eastern and North African Wheat Demand Remains a Key Driver of Global Trade

Key Takeaways: The Middle East and North Africa's arid climate and limited water resources have created a structural dependence on imported wheat. Government wheat tenders in major importing countries serve as important benchmarks for global trade, providing insight into exporter competitivene...

Transportation Perspectives - 2 July

Key Takeaways Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is increasing steadily, despite a precarious political situation.  The increased flow of vessels through the SOH is pressuring tanker rates, though total volumes remain well below pre-war levels.  The big issue in the Strait of Hormu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 22-26 June 2026 The Russian grain market remained volatile during the week as farmers continued to hold old-crop supplies while new-crop availability remained limited. The ruble weakened nearly 5 percent against the U.S. dollar during the week, supporting domestic grain p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 15-19 June 2026 The Russian grain market moved lower this week as prices declined across all grain categories ahead of the end of the marketing year. Weakness was observed in both European Russia and the Asian regions, where markets continue to track bearish sentiment in...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8-12 June 2026 The Russian grain market was highly volatile during the week. The export market, the primary driver of domestic prices, remained stagnant, and bearish sentiment persisted. Weaker demand and expectations for a strong upcoming harvest encouraged exporters to...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is unchanged from last month. Slightly higher ending stocks for 2026/27 results in no change for the season-average price received by U.S. farmers producers at $4.40 per bushel. Global coarse grain production for 2026/27 is forecast 5.8 million to...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 reduced the U.S. average wheat yield by 0.5 bushels per acre to 47.0 bushels and ending stocks are reduced 18 million bushels to 744 million. However, U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 775 million bushels The result is 2026/27 season-average farm price is...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Then, Now and Next - Final Thoughts

Why read this? Because Mark Twain correctly noted that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” One of the most successful commodity traders and an eventual analyst at WPI was Bob Kohlmeyer. He was a history major from Princeton.  After 47 years of profession...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Exports Become More Diversified as Reliance on China Declines

Key Takeaways: China's rise to become the world's largest soybean importer reshaped global trade flows, but recent trade tensions have reduced its share of U.S. soybean exports. U.S. soybean exports have become increasingly diversified as exporters expanded sales to multiple emerging markets t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 1-5 June 2026 During the week under review, the Russian grain market began showing the first signs of the new season. The shift became visible on export trading platforms as global bearish sentiment intensified, supported by improving crop expectations across Russia's sou...

EU Sovereignty Ruse; Imbalanced Views; USMCA Voices

EU Sovereignty Ruse For years politicians talked like banty roosters about Europe’s soft power leadership, with American leaders hoping that a strong EU would multiply the U.S. power equation. Then Donald Trump ascended to power and called Europe a Potemkin village, infuriating Brussels t...

wheat

Australia's Wheat Crop Is Set to Decline, but Russia Remains the Key to Global Wheat Prices

Key Takeaways: Australia's wheat crop is expected to decline sharply in 2026/27 as dry conditions and high input costs reduce planted area and yield potential.  Some Australian farmers are shifting acreage from wheat to barley and canola in response to weather and profitability concerns.&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Market, 25-29 May 2026 Russian grain markets remained firm across most of European Russia last week, while activity in Asian regions was more mixed. Farmer selling remains limited despite large carryover stocks, helping support domestic values. The spread between old-crop and new-...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grains Market, 18-22 May 2026 Last week, Russian grain markets remained bullish all over the European part of the country. This times, even the Asian regions saw prices recover to new levels. This rally occurred on the heels of zero export duties and a very strong RUB.  The rally i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11 - 15 May 2026 The Russian grains market showed a broadly bullish tone across the European part of the country during the week, while conditions in the Asian regions remained stable to slightly bearish. In the southern federal district, the key wheat export hub, prices...

soy-oilseeds biofuel energy

Soyoil Prices Continue to Be Bullish Amid High Energy Prices and Favorable Biofuel Policy

Key Takeaways: Soyoil futures have been trading at the highest levels since 2022. Higher crude oil prices have allowed biofuels to be more cost-competitive with fossil fuels. Recent U.S. biofuel policy, including 45Z, has been favorable toward soyoil as a feedstock. California will be limiting...

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