World Perspectives

Recent China Analysis

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Exports Stumble; China Crush Falls

The Market  The weekly Export Sales report was disappointing for soybeans as old crop net sales fell by half from the prior week and new crop net sales registered only 10 KMT – down sharply from the prior week’s volume of 43.1 KMT. Old crop exports were also lower than the prio...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: High Prices and China Persist

What a difference a year makes! No one will forget how out of balance cattle markets were in 2022 with margins steeply favoring the packer, while feedlots saw their margins shrink away into negative territory.  In fact, it was such a factor that we suffered through a year of misguided atte...

livestock

Cattle Markets Still Screwy

The cattle marketing year is off to a strange start. In the first eight weeks of 2025, weekly carcass weights have averaged 40 pounds more than the same period last year. This component of production is driven by two factors: heavier carcass weights of steers and heifers, and the proportion of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Egg shortages and rising prices are not just a feature of U.S. agriculture right now, German and northern European markets broadly are experiencing similar shortages. German sources note the supply of “barn eggs” is too small for “prevailing demand”...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

CONAB Forecasts Record Soybean Production

Brazilian soybean farmers will reap an even bigger crop in the 2024/25 season than previously expected, according to forecasts released by the Brazilian crop agency CONAB yesterday.   Brazil's soybean crop, which farmers are harvesting now, is expected to total 167.37 MMT, about 1.3 M...

Section 301 Measures Will Fail to Make America Great Again

The U.S. grain export industry – and the transportation sector broadly – are increasingly concerned about the USTR’s proposed Section 301 measures in connection to the “Investigation of China's Targeting of the Maritime, Logistics, and Shipbuilding Sectors for Dominance&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, Inflation, Production, and a Higher Market

The market is facing many knowns and unknowns. How President Trump’s tariff war will proceed is top among the unknowns, though it cannot be good until it is over. Now the President is threatening 200 percent tariffs on EU wines and liquor if Brussels does not drop its retaliatory duty on...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Trade Wars Continue to Drive Markets

The Market  Of course, the big news in oilseed markets this past week has revolved around tariffs and retaliatory tariffs – most notably China and the EU’s reactions to President Trump’s new tariffs. Both China and the EU announced retaliatory tariffs that included additi...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged this month. The season-average soybean price is projected at $9.95 per bushel, down 15 cents from last month. The price estimates for meal and oil prices are unchanged at $310 per short ton and 43 cents per pound...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged from last month – and the season-average corn price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel. USDA’s global corn outlook is for higher foreign corn production: Increases in India, Russia, and Uk...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

Contextualizing the Scope of China’s Retaliatory Tariffs

The second Trump administration has roiled global markets in just its first few weeks in office, with some of the biggest impacts coming from the application of tariffs against major trading partners. These tariffs have, as expected, been met with retaliation from Canada, Mexico, and China. Fur...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Exports Stumble; China Crush Falls

The Market  The weekly Export Sales report was disappointing for soybeans as old crop net sales fell by half from the prior week and new crop net sales registered only 10 KMT – down sharply from the prior week’s volume of 43.1 KMT. Old crop exports were also lower than the prio...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: High Prices and China Persist

What a difference a year makes! No one will forget how out of balance cattle markets were in 2022 with margins steeply favoring the packer, while feedlots saw their margins shrink away into negative territory.  In fact, it was such a factor that we suffered through a year of misguided atte...

livestock

Cattle Markets Still Screwy

The cattle marketing year is off to a strange start. In the first eight weeks of 2025, weekly carcass weights have averaged 40 pounds more than the same period last year. This component of production is driven by two factors: heavier carcass weights of steers and heifers, and the proportion of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Egg shortages and rising prices are not just a feature of U.S. agriculture right now, German and northern European markets broadly are experiencing similar shortages. German sources note the supply of “barn eggs” is too small for “prevailing demand”...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

CONAB Forecasts Record Soybean Production

Brazilian soybean farmers will reap an even bigger crop in the 2024/25 season than previously expected, according to forecasts released by the Brazilian crop agency CONAB yesterday.   Brazil's soybean crop, which farmers are harvesting now, is expected to total 167.37 MMT, about 1.3 M...

Section 301 Measures Will Fail to Make America Great Again

The U.S. grain export industry – and the transportation sector broadly – are increasingly concerned about the USTR’s proposed Section 301 measures in connection to the “Investigation of China's Targeting of the Maritime, Logistics, and Shipbuilding Sectors for Dominance&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, Inflation, Production, and a Higher Market

The market is facing many knowns and unknowns. How President Trump’s tariff war will proceed is top among the unknowns, though it cannot be good until it is over. Now the President is threatening 200 percent tariffs on EU wines and liquor if Brussels does not drop its retaliatory duty on...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Trade Wars Continue to Drive Markets

The Market  Of course, the big news in oilseed markets this past week has revolved around tariffs and retaliatory tariffs – most notably China and the EU’s reactions to President Trump’s new tariffs. Both China and the EU announced retaliatory tariffs that included additi...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged this month. The season-average soybean price is projected at $9.95 per bushel, down 15 cents from last month. The price estimates for meal and oil prices are unchanged at $310 per short ton and 43 cents per pound...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged from last month – and the season-average corn price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel. USDA’s global corn outlook is for higher foreign corn production: Increases in India, Russia, and Uk...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

Contextualizing the Scope of China’s Retaliatory Tariffs

The second Trump administration has roiled global markets in just its first few weeks in office, with some of the biggest impacts coming from the application of tariffs against major trading partners. These tariffs have, as expected, been met with retaliation from Canada, Mexico, and China. Fur...

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