World Perspectives

Recent China Analysis

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybean supply, use, and price projections is unchanged. U.S. soybean ending stocks are unchanged. The result is that U.S. season-average soybean price for 2026/27 is forecast at $11.40 per bushel; soybean meal and oil prices are $310 per short ton and...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is unchanged from last month. Slightly higher ending stocks for 2026/27 results in no change for the season-average price received by U.S. farmers producers at $4.40 per bushel. Global coarse grain production for 2026/27 is forecast 5.8 million to...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 reduced the U.S. average wheat yield by 0.5 bushels per acre to 47.0 bushels and ending stocks are reduced 18 million bushels to 744 million. However, U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 775 million bushels The result is 2026/27 season-average farm price is...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Then, Now and Next - Final Thoughts

Why read this? Because Mark Twain correctly noted that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” One of the most successful commodity traders and an eventual analyst at WPI was Bob Kohlmeyer. He was a history major from Princeton.  After 47 years of profession...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Exports Become More Diversified as Reliance on China Declines

Key Takeaways: China's rise to become the world's largest soybean importer reshaped global trade flows, but recent trade tensions have reduced its share of U.S. soybean exports. U.S. soybean exports have become increasingly diversified as exporters expanded sales to multiple emerging markets t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Miscellaneous Initial excitement over China’s pledges to buy American farm products has faded, as no purchases have immediately materialized. USDA Deputy Secretary Stephen Vaden said he is confident that China will meet its purchase commitments from the U.S., but market conditions and tra...

EU Sovereignty Ruse; Imbalanced Views; USMCA Voices

EU Sovereignty Ruse For years politicians talked like banty roosters about Europe’s soft power leadership, with American leaders hoping that a strong EU would multiply the U.S. power equation. Then Donald Trump ascended to power and called Europe a Potemkin village, infuriating Brussels t...

feed-grains

Mexico’s Drought Accelerated the Growth of U.S. Corn Exports

Key Takeaways: Mexico's drought intensified from 2022 to 2024, with critically low reservoir levels in Sinaloa driving a sharp decline in corn production. Sinaloa produces roughly one-quarter of Mexico's corn crop and is the country's leading supplier of white corn used for staple foods such a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

China Market Analysis

Corn The U.S. has yet to ship any corn to China, though last year’s sales were a paltry 32 KMT.  Soybeans U.S. soybean export inspections for May rose above the previous year’s level with China as the target market. Citing reduced demand for soymeal, the Ministry of Agriculture...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. and Global Soy Crush Forecasts

WPI recently completed an expansion of our methodology for estimating and forecasting U.S. and global soybean crushing margins. The new approach incorporates the energy market’s expanding influence on the oilseed sector and the structural changes in global biofuel demand. This report is i...

China Partially Lifts HPAI Restrictions

As we reported on 19 May, China has also committed to the resumption of U.S. poultry imports from states without confirmed HPAI detections. USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) has updated its China export restrictions webpage to reflect that China has lifted HPAI-rel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Grain China’s General Administration of Customs says that grain imports were up 34.3 percent in April and an overall 18.1 percent for the January to April period. On the one hand, China produces more grain that it consumes and stockpiles large volumes. But Canadian grain analyst Mitch Mil...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybean supply, use, and price projections is unchanged. U.S. soybean ending stocks are unchanged. The result is that U.S. season-average soybean price for 2026/27 is forecast at $11.40 per bushel; soybean meal and oil prices are $310 per short ton and...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is unchanged from last month. Slightly higher ending stocks for 2026/27 results in no change for the season-average price received by U.S. farmers producers at $4.40 per bushel. Global coarse grain production for 2026/27 is forecast 5.8 million to...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - June 2026

USDA’s June outlook for 2026/27 reduced the U.S. average wheat yield by 0.5 bushels per acre to 47.0 bushels and ending stocks are reduced 18 million bushels to 744 million. However, U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 775 million bushels The result is 2026/27 season-average farm price is...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Then, Now and Next - Final Thoughts

Why read this? Because Mark Twain correctly noted that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” One of the most successful commodity traders and an eventual analyst at WPI was Bob Kohlmeyer. He was a history major from Princeton.  After 47 years of profession...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Exports Become More Diversified as Reliance on China Declines

Key Takeaways: China's rise to become the world's largest soybean importer reshaped global trade flows, but recent trade tensions have reduced its share of U.S. soybean exports. U.S. soybean exports have become increasingly diversified as exporters expanded sales to multiple emerging markets t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Miscellaneous Initial excitement over China’s pledges to buy American farm products has faded, as no purchases have immediately materialized. USDA Deputy Secretary Stephen Vaden said he is confident that China will meet its purchase commitments from the U.S., but market conditions and tra...

EU Sovereignty Ruse; Imbalanced Views; USMCA Voices

EU Sovereignty Ruse For years politicians talked like banty roosters about Europe’s soft power leadership, with American leaders hoping that a strong EU would multiply the U.S. power equation. Then Donald Trump ascended to power and called Europe a Potemkin village, infuriating Brussels t...

feed-grains

Mexico’s Drought Accelerated the Growth of U.S. Corn Exports

Key Takeaways: Mexico's drought intensified from 2022 to 2024, with critically low reservoir levels in Sinaloa driving a sharp decline in corn production. Sinaloa produces roughly one-quarter of Mexico's corn crop and is the country's leading supplier of white corn used for staple foods such a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

China Market Analysis

Corn The U.S. has yet to ship any corn to China, though last year’s sales were a paltry 32 KMT.  Soybeans U.S. soybean export inspections for May rose above the previous year’s level with China as the target market. Citing reduced demand for soymeal, the Ministry of Agriculture...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. and Global Soy Crush Forecasts

WPI recently completed an expansion of our methodology for estimating and forecasting U.S. and global soybean crushing margins. The new approach incorporates the energy market’s expanding influence on the oilseed sector and the structural changes in global biofuel demand. This report is i...

China Partially Lifts HPAI Restrictions

As we reported on 19 May, China has also committed to the resumption of U.S. poultry imports from states without confirmed HPAI detections. USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) has updated its China export restrictions webpage to reflect that China has lifted HPAI-rel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Market Analysis

Grain China’s General Administration of Customs says that grain imports were up 34.3 percent in April and an overall 18.1 percent for the January to April period. On the one hand, China produces more grain that it consumes and stockpiles large volumes. But Canadian grain analyst Mitch Mil...

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