World Perspectives
wheat

WASDE Wheat - July 2025

USDA’s July 2025 outlook for U.S. wheat is for a 1 bushel per acre increase in average yield to 52.6 bushels per acre. The projection is for U.S. wheat production to increase 8 million bushels to 1,929 million bushels. However, the estimate for U.S. wheat exports is raised by 25 million bushels to 850 million on a strong early pace of sales and shipments. The culmination of all changes is that 2025/26 ending stocks are lowered 8 million bushels to 890 million – but that is up 5 percent from last year. The projected 2025/26 seasonal average farm price is unchanged at $5.40 per bushel. The estimate for 2025/26 global wheat stocks is a decline by 1.2 million tons to 261.5 million, primarily due to reductions in Canada and the EU.&n...

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Market Commentary: Bears Control Grains while Bulls Dominate Livestock, but will the Trends Hold?

Trade in ag futures was a tale of two cities, with grains sinking into the red while the livestock markets rallied to fresh highs. Grains and oilseeds saw pressure from lackluster technical conditions and, for corn and wheat, expectations of ample domestic and global supplies. Soybeans saw weak...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.06/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.2/short ton, down $5.1...

Technology Impacts; Science and UPF’s; Perpetuating the Museum

Technology Impacts Technology is driving markets around the world, but not always in the same direction or with the same results. Today’s big story surrounded Nvidia, which met revenue expectations and exceeded projected earnings per share, but underwhelmed investors on data center sales...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Control Grains while Bulls Dominate Livestock, but will the Trends Hold?

Trade in ag futures was a tale of two cities, with grains sinking into the red while the livestock markets rallied to fresh highs. Grains and oilseeds saw pressure from lackluster technical conditions and, for corn and wheat, expectations of ample domestic and global supplies. Soybeans saw weak...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.06/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.2/short ton, down $5.1...

Technology Impacts; Science and UPF’s; Perpetuating the Museum

Technology Impacts Technology is driving markets around the world, but not always in the same direction or with the same results. Today’s big story surrounded Nvidia, which met revenue expectations and exceeded projected earnings per share, but underwhelmed investors on data center sales...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grains Market: 18 – 22 August 2025 The market continues following a bearish trend, mostly related to the peak of the harvest campaign and a surplus of freshly cut grains. The export market continues driving prices inside the country and while European Russia is focused on Azov Sea...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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