World Perspectives

Recent World Analysis

Australia

wheat

WASDE Wheat - May 2025

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. wheat is for supplies to be up 2 percent from 2024/25 as higher beginning stocks more than offset lower production. The average wheat yield is projected at 51.6 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushels from last year. Exports are projected lower at 800 million bush...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat - USDA’s April 2025 estimates are for increased U.S. wheat imports by 10 million bushels to 150 million - the largest since 2017/18. Domestic consumption is forecast 2 million bushels lower on reduced seed use. U.S. wheat exports are lowered 15 million bushels to 820 million. As a r...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - May 2025

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. wheat is for supplies to be up 2 percent from 2024/25 as higher beginning stocks more than offset lower production. The average wheat yield is projected at 51.6 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushels from last year. Exports are projected lower at 800 million bush...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat - USDA’s April 2025 estimates are for increased U.S. wheat imports by 10 million bushels to 150 million - the largest since 2017/18. Domestic consumption is forecast 2 million bushels lower on reduced seed use. U.S. wheat exports are lowered 15 million bushels to 820 million. As a r...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Feb 2025

USDA made a small reduction in ending stocks of U.S. wheat by 4 million bushels to 794 million but are 14 percent above last year. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $5.55 per bushel. The projection for global wheat ending stocks for 2024/25 was lowered 1.3 million tons to 257.6 mill...

Asia

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Buying Drives Grains, Livestock Higher

The CBOT turned higher on Wednesday as bulls emerged from a two-day respite as technical conditions remained favorable. Perhaps the biggest news of the day was that U.S. officials are in Japan for trade negotiation discussions, a key development for a historically significant partner and the se...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: High Prices and China Persist

What a difference a year makes! No one will forget how out of balance cattle markets were in 2022 with margins steeply favoring the packer, while feedlots saw their margins shrink away into negative territory.  In fact, it was such a factor that we suffered through a year of misguided atte...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Buying Drives Grains, Livestock Higher

The CBOT turned higher on Wednesday as bulls emerged from a two-day respite as technical conditions remained favorable. Perhaps the biggest news of the day was that U.S. officials are in Japan for trade negotiation discussions, a key development for a historically significant partner and the se...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: High Prices and China Persist

What a difference a year makes! No one will forget how out of balance cattle markets were in 2022 with margins steeply favoring the packer, while feedlots saw their margins shrink away into negative territory.  In fact, it was such a factor that we suffered through a year of misguided atte...

Section 301 Measures Will Fail to Make America Great Again

The U.S. grain export industry – and the transportation sector broadly – are increasingly concerned about the USTR’s proposed Section 301 measures in connection to the “Investigation of China's Targeting of the Maritime, Logistics, and Shipbuilding Sectors for Dominance&...

Black Sea

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 – 30 May 2025 The grain market was more similar to an end of June market rather than end of May. A new season seems to have started a month earlier. Wheat and barley prices in the south near the ports plummeted to new level. Usually transition from old crop to ne...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  The UK, most of northern/central Europe, parts of eastern Europe and the eastern Black Sea all received beneficial rainfall last week, with volumes concentrated in the UK, Germany, and along the Black Sea. These rains have revived hopes for the 2025 crops, though areas of co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 – 30 May 2025 The grain market was more similar to an end of June market rather than end of May. A new season seems to have started a month earlier. Wheat and barley prices in the south near the ports plummeted to new level. Usually transition from old crop to ne...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  The UK, most of northern/central Europe, parts of eastern Europe and the eastern Black Sea all received beneficial rainfall last week, with volumes concentrated in the UK, Germany, and along the Black Sea. These rains have revived hopes for the 2025 crops, though areas of co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 19 –23 May 2025 Grain markets finally realized that the new crop is near and bearish adjustments between the old crop and new crop started to become a reality like never before. Only Siberia is still waiting while the rest of the country is watching the export new c...

China

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility But Stability

It was a very active open this morning with lots of lead changes as corn and soybean traders wrestled over whether bears or bulls were in control. Even winter wheat, which looked solidly in the green took a brief turn south. Volumes were robust and trade volatile but in the end, only bean oil a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Gain Upper Hand for Now

Grain, oilseed, and livestock futures were all higher at the CBOT on Wednesday with various combinations of end-user buying, short covering, and improved technical conditions helped lift markets. The day’s trade was largely a continuation of this week’s early strength in futures, wh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Control Corn, Soybeans; Wheat Rally Struggles

The major development at the CBOT on Monday was that bears finally gained full control of the corn and soybean markets with multiple bearish headlines allowing them to do so. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China and slow political progress on Capitol Hill pressured the soy complex overnigh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility But Stability

It was a very active open this morning with lots of lead changes as corn and soybean traders wrestled over whether bears or bulls were in control. Even winter wheat, which looked solidly in the green took a brief turn south. Volumes were robust and trade volatile but in the end, only bean oil a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Gain Upper Hand for Now

Grain, oilseed, and livestock futures were all higher at the CBOT on Wednesday with various combinations of end-user buying, short covering, and improved technical conditions helped lift markets. The day’s trade was largely a continuation of this week’s early strength in futures, wh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Control Corn, Soybeans; Wheat Rally Struggles

The major development at the CBOT on Monday was that bears finally gained full control of the corn and soybean markets with multiple bearish headlines allowing them to do so. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China and slow political progress on Capitol Hill pressured the soy complex overnigh...

Tariff Threats Escalation Again: China and EU

In May, the U.S. and China agreed to reduce import tariffs by a combined 115 percentage points, down to 10 percent. The agreement was intended to cool years of tariffs and trade conflict that came to a head on 2 April with the announcement of new U.S. tariffs. At the time, both sides indicated...

Europe

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

Tariff Threats Escalation Again: China and EU

In May, the U.S. and China agreed to reduce import tariffs by a combined 115 percentage points, down to 10 percent. The agreement was intended to cool years of tariffs and trade conflict that came to a head on 2 April with the announcement of new U.S. tariffs. At the time, both sides indicated...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  The UK, most of northern/central Europe, parts of eastern Europe and the eastern Black Sea all received beneficial rainfall last week, with volumes concentrated in the UK, Germany, and along the Black Sea. These rains have revived hopes for the 2025 crops, though areas of co...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

Tariff Threats Escalation Again: China and EU

In May, the U.S. and China agreed to reduce import tariffs by a combined 115 percentage points, down to 10 percent. The agreement was intended to cool years of tariffs and trade conflict that came to a head on 2 April with the announcement of new U.S. tariffs. At the time, both sides indicated...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  The UK, most of northern/central Europe, parts of eastern Europe and the eastern Black Sea all received beneficial rainfall last week, with volumes concentrated in the UK, Germany, and along the Black Sea. These rains have revived hopes for the 2025 crops, though areas of co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Crop Progress Silver Linings Pressure Corn, Soybeans

CBOT markets were mostly mixed in quiet trade overnight, but that tenor changed quickly once the day session started. The Crop Progress report initially appeared supportive for the major markets with planting slowing for corn and soybeans and corn and spring wheat conditions coming in below exp...

India

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - May 2025

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. soybeans is for lower ending stocks: The U.S. share of global soybean exports is forecast at 26 percent - down from 28 percent last year. Accordingly, U.S. soybean exports are forecast at 1.815 billion bushels, down 35 million from 2024/25. The 2025/26 U.S...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. soybeans oil exports by 500 million pounds due to strong export commitments. U.S. soybean exports are unchanged and imports increased slightly – resulting in a 5 million bushel decrease in ending stocks to 375 million. The U.S. se...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged this month. The season-average soybean price is projected at $9.95 per bushel, down 15 cents from last month. The price estimates for meal and oil prices are unchanged at $310 per short ton and 43 cents per pound...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - May 2025

USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. soybeans is for lower ending stocks: The U.S. share of global soybean exports is forecast at 26 percent - down from 28 percent last year. Accordingly, U.S. soybean exports are forecast at 1.815 billion bushels, down 35 million from 2024/25. The 2025/26 U.S...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. soybeans oil exports by 500 million pounds due to strong export commitments. U.S. soybean exports are unchanged and imports increased slightly – resulting in a 5 million bushel decrease in ending stocks to 375 million. The U.S. se...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans: USDA’s March estimates for the U.S. 2024/25 season are unchanged this month. The season-average soybean price is projected at $9.95 per bushel, down 15 cents from last month. The price estimates for meal and oil prices are unchanged at $310 per short ton and 43 cents per pound...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA reduced U.S. wheat exports for the 2024/25 season by 15 million bushels and increased imports by 10 million bushels.  The result is that U.S. ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 819 million, up 18 percent from last year. Thus, the U.S. season-average farm price is re...

Middle East & Africa

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Pakistan has said that it could buy additional U.S. soybeans in order to eliminate the small trade surplus that the country has with the U.S. in order to avoid any tariffs now being set by the U.S. government. Pakistan’s Nat...

feed-grains wheat livestock

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Syria’s wheat crop is expected to be down by 75 percent this year due to severe drought conditions. Syria will need to find a source for about 2.7 MMT of wheat in order to supply the population. Syria is hoping that the lift...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Pakistan has said that it could buy additional U.S. soybeans in order to eliminate the small trade surplus that the country has with the U.S. in order to avoid any tariffs now being set by the U.S. government. Pakistan’s Nat...

feed-grains wheat livestock

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Syria’s wheat crop is expected to be down by 75 percent this year due to severe drought conditions. Syria will need to find a source for about 2.7 MMT of wheat in order to supply the population. Syria is hoping that the lift...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Bangladesh is expected to have a record maize crop in 2025 due to increases in planting maize versus wheat or rice. Total maize planting area is up by close to 7 percent which could see the maize crop reach a record of 5.1 MMT &nd...

North America

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility But Stability

It was a very active open this morning with lots of lead changes as corn and soybean traders wrestled over whether bears or bulls were in control. Even winter wheat, which looked solidly in the green took a brief turn south. Volumes were robust and trade volatile but in the end, only bean oil a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sale

Export Sales and Shipments for May 23-29, 2025  Wheat: Net sales reductions of 49,100 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025. Export shipments of 540,100 MT were up 8 percent from the previous week and 20 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Indonesia (81,100 M...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.395/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.455/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $297.1/short ton, up $0 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility But Stability

It was a very active open this morning with lots of lead changes as corn and soybean traders wrestled over whether bears or bulls were in control. Even winter wheat, which looked solidly in the green took a brief turn south. Volumes were robust and trade volatile but in the end, only bean oil a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sale

Export Sales and Shipments for May 23-29, 2025  Wheat: Net sales reductions of 49,100 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025. Export shipments of 540,100 MT were up 8 percent from the previous week and 20 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Indonesia (81,100 M...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.395/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.455/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $297.1/short ton, up $0 from...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Crush Margins Set to Rise; China Soymeal Prices Remain Weak

The Market  U.S. soybean prices have mostly been treading water these past few weeks with neither bulls nor bears able to get the upper hand for more than a few days. Continued trade war worries and challenges building negotiations between the U.S. and China have contributed to recent weak...

South America

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Crush Margins Set to Rise; China Soymeal Prices Remain Weak

The Market  U.S. soybean prices have mostly been treading water these past few weeks with neither bulls nor bears able to get the upper hand for more than a few days. Continued trade war worries and challenges building negotiations between the U.S. and China have contributed to recent weak...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Gain Upper Hand for Now

Grain, oilseed, and livestock futures were all higher at the CBOT on Wednesday with various combinations of end-user buying, short covering, and improved technical conditions helped lift markets. The day’s trade was largely a continuation of this week’s early strength in futures, wh...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Crush Margins Set to Rise; China Soymeal Prices Remain Weak

The Market  U.S. soybean prices have mostly been treading water these past few weeks with neither bulls nor bears able to get the upper hand for more than a few days. Continued trade war worries and challenges building negotiations between the U.S. and China have contributed to recent weak...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Gain Upper Hand for Now

Grain, oilseed, and livestock futures were all higher at the CBOT on Wednesday with various combinations of end-user buying, short covering, and improved technical conditions helped lift markets. The day’s trade was largely a continuation of this week’s early strength in futures, wh...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 June)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Role Reversals on Turnaround Tuesday

The CBOT saw a role reversal on Tuesday with the previously bearish-led corn and soybean markets finding technical and some fundamental support, while wheat futures drifted lower. Too, live cattle futures and July lean hogs both posted Turnaround Tuesdays as bulls became cautious with prices ne...

Russia

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 – 30 May 2025 The grain market was more similar to an end of June market rather than end of May. A new season seems to have started a month earlier. Wheat and barley prices in the south near the ports plummeted to new level. Usually transition from old crop to ne...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 19 –23 May 2025 Grain markets finally realized that the new crop is near and bearish adjustments between the old crop and new crop started to become a reality like never before. Only Siberia is still waiting while the rest of the country is watching the export new c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 12 –16 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 The grain market was relatively stable, however, the gap between the new crop and old crop price indicators is getting wider and wider. The export market is just finishing up the marathon run where everybody knows the winner, the qu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 – 30 May 2025 The grain market was more similar to an end of June market rather than end of May. A new season seems to have started a month earlier. Wheat and barley prices in the south near the ports plummeted to new level. Usually transition from old crop to ne...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 19 –23 May 2025 Grain markets finally realized that the new crop is near and bearish adjustments between the old crop and new crop started to become a reality like never before. Only Siberia is still waiting while the rest of the country is watching the export new c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 12 –16 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 The grain market was relatively stable, however, the gap between the new crop and old crop price indicators is getting wider and wider. The export market is just finishing up the marathon run where everybody knows the winner, the qu...

biofuel

Policy Quick Hits

The following is a rundown of some key issues impacting agriculture: Reconciliation: The reconciliation bill passed through the Agriculture Committee on a party line vote, 29 to 25. All the amendments offered also passed by the same party line vote. The bill would cut the Supplemental Nutrition...

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