World Perspectives

Recent Market Analysis

Feed Grains

Feed Grains

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

feed-grains wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firm as it gained about $4 in one week. Domestic prices in Russia are steady to slightly higher, and the ruble was higher with the recovery of the crude oil market. The main reason that Russian wheat continues to rally is that there is no longer any signifi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

feed-grains wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firm as it gained about $4 in one week. Domestic prices in Russia are steady to slightly higher, and the ruble was higher with the recovery of the crude oil market. The main reason that Russian wheat continues to rally is that there is no longer any signifi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

Soy & Oilseeds

Soy & Oilseeds

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

Wheat

Wheat

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

feed-grains wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firm as it gained about $4 in one week. Domestic prices in Russia are steady to slightly higher, and the ruble was higher with the recovery of the crude oil market. The main reason that Russian wheat continues to rally is that there is no longer any signifi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

feed-grains wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firm as it gained about $4 in one week. Domestic prices in Russia are steady to slightly higher, and the ruble was higher with the recovery of the crude oil market. The main reason that Russian wheat continues to rally is that there is no longer any signifi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

Livestock

Livestock

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

livestock feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Closing Bell Wrap-Up

If this was NPR’s Marketplace, we’d be playing the happy music right now. CBOT grains and oilseeds, along with most CME livestock futures, closed higher today with active end-user buying. The soy complex continues to rally and give excellent margins to both U.S. and Argentine crushe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

livestock feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Closing Bell Wrap-Up

If this was NPR’s Marketplace, we’d be playing the happy music right now. CBOT grains and oilseeds, along with most CME livestock futures, closed higher today with active end-user buying. The soy complex continues to rally and give excellent margins to both U.S. and Argentine crushe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

Today’s closing prices for corn, wheat, soybeans, cattle, and hog futures are shown along with USDA’s Export Sales results. Analysis of the latter shows interesting trends in corn and soybean exports, and it also provides insights into YTD bookings for wheat, barley, soymeal and soy...

Biofuels

Biofuels

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session found prices trading mostly lower, which was in line with selling late Tuesday that took prices down to closes that were mostly well below session highs. No doubt some of that late selling was profit taking after the recent rally. However, open interest increases for soyme...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Reverses Course and Falls Below 1 MMT Pre-Lunar New Year holiday demand pushed wholesale soymeal prices slightly higher as of 2 February 2018 and also helped send the nationwide inventory back below the 1 MMT threshold to 934,900 MT, a 116,800 MT (-11.1 percent) drop...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures opened the overnight session mostly stronger on follow-up momentum and the bullish technical signals generated by Tuesday’s price action. Trading volume was heavy once again. Grain and soy traders seemed unfazed by financial market volatility as evidenced by Dow futu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session found prices trading mostly lower, which was in line with selling late Tuesday that took prices down to closes that were mostly well below session highs. No doubt some of that late selling was profit taking after the recent rally. However, open interest increases for soyme...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Reverses Course and Falls Below 1 MMT Pre-Lunar New Year holiday demand pushed wholesale soymeal prices slightly higher as of 2 February 2018 and also helped send the nationwide inventory back below the 1 MMT threshold to 934,900 MT, a 116,800 MT (-11.1 percent) drop...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures opened the overnight session mostly stronger on follow-up momentum and the bullish technical signals generated by Tuesday’s price action. Trading volume was heavy once again. Grain and soy traders seemed unfazed by financial market volatility as evidenced by Dow futu...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Rises Above 1 MMT China’s nationwide estimated soybean inventory surpassed 1 MMT for the first time since the end of last August, adding 78,600 MT (+8.1 percent) to finish at just over 1.05 MMT as of 26 January 2018. It was also up 367,900 MT (+53.8 percent) ver...

Farm Inputs

Farm Inputs

soy-oilseeds farm-inputs

Oilseed Highlights: Soybean Rust; Argentine Weather and Soy Export Taxes; Monsanto

Growing Soybean Rust Problem in Parana Asian soybean rust can be a devastating pathogen if not adequately controlled, and agronomists in Brazil recommend that farmers spray their crop at least every two weeks as a preventative measure. However, dry periods are required for this process to be ef...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - December 2017

2017 was an eventful year for the U.S. economy and the agricultural markets. 2018 promises to be just as interesting, although perhaps not as bullish.  A few ag sectors look to continue patterns of the current year as the U.S. biofuels industry is under strong political influence. Meanwhil...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains farm-inputs

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

Soy complex prices eased a bit this week on better chances for precipitation across the driest parts of southern Brazil and Argentina over the next 10-14 days. Bob Kohlmeyer’s piece about La Nina and Argentine crop production (see Ag Perspectives, 14 December) explained the current situat...

soy-oilseeds farm-inputs

Oilseed Highlights: Soybean Rust; Argentine Weather and Soy Export Taxes; Monsanto

Growing Soybean Rust Problem in Parana Asian soybean rust can be a devastating pathogen if not adequately controlled, and agronomists in Brazil recommend that farmers spray their crop at least every two weeks as a preventative measure. However, dry periods are required for this process to be ef...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - December 2017

2017 was an eventful year for the U.S. economy and the agricultural markets. 2018 promises to be just as interesting, although perhaps not as bullish.  A few ag sectors look to continue patterns of the current year as the U.S. biofuels industry is under strong political influence. Meanwhil...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains farm-inputs

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

Soy complex prices eased a bit this week on better chances for precipitation across the driest parts of southern Brazil and Argentina over the next 10-14 days. Bob Kohlmeyer’s piece about La Nina and Argentine crop production (see Ag Perspectives, 14 December) explained the current situat...

feed-grains biofuel farm-inputs

Ag Review - November 2017

This month's look at the markets around the world. We have seen a lot of activity this month and things are looking up internationally. Check out this month's issue for more detail...

Equities

Equities

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets traded rather quietly overnight with prices holding mostly steady to mildly firmer. However, prices for soybeans and wheat began to tick higher soon after trading resumed for the day session. Support was offered by agreement among all three major weather models that the so...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets traded rather quietly overnight with prices holding mostly steady to mildly firmer. However, prices for soybeans and wheat began to tick higher soon after trading resumed for the day session. Support was offered by agreement among all three major weather models that the so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session found prices trading mostly lower, which was in line with selling late Tuesday that took prices down to closes that were mostly well below session highs. No doubt some of that late selling was profit taking after the recent rally. However, open interest increases for soyme...

Energy

Energy

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session found prices trading mostly lower, which was in line with selling late Tuesday that took prices down to closes that were mostly well below session highs. No doubt some of that late selling was profit taking after the recent rally. However, open interest increases for soyme...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session found prices trading mostly lower, which was in line with selling late Tuesday that took prices down to closes that were mostly well below session highs. No doubt some of that late selling was profit taking after the recent rally. However, open interest increases for soyme...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Trading during the overnight session turned much quieter in terms of price action and volume versus Sunday night and Monday. Prices traded both sides of yesterday’s closes, but they seldom strayed more than 2 cents. Today is the Fat Tuesday Carnival celebration in Brazil and throughout So...

Softs

Softs

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Firm; Export Duty Could Be Removed Sugar prices continue to firm following the imposition of an export duty and stock limits on sugar mills. According to National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) data, the bottom spot price occurred on 5 February 2018 with prices rising 8...

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Higher Duties on Sugar and Chickpea Imports Have Immediate Effect To keep a check on prices, the government of India (GOI) has raised the duty on sugar from 50 percent to 100 percent. The increase was a demand from the sugar industry as sugar prices were below the cost of production. Both carry...

soy-oilseeds softs biofuel

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

High Duty Reduces Edible Oil Imports Edible oil imports dropped in December 2017 following an increase in the duty the previous month, falling approximately 9.88 percent to 1.058 MMT versus 1.174 MMT in December 2016. They totaled 2.283 MMT for the two months of November and December 2017, down...

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Firm; Export Duty Could Be Removed Sugar prices continue to firm following the imposition of an export duty and stock limits on sugar mills. According to National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) data, the bottom spot price occurred on 5 February 2018 with prices rising 8...

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Higher Duties on Sugar and Chickpea Imports Have Immediate Effect To keep a check on prices, the government of India (GOI) has raised the duty on sugar from 50 percent to 100 percent. The increase was a demand from the sugar industry as sugar prices were below the cost of production. Both carry...

soy-oilseeds softs biofuel

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

High Duty Reduces Edible Oil Imports Edible oil imports dropped in December 2017 following an increase in the duty the previous month, falling approximately 9.88 percent to 1.058 MMT versus 1.174 MMT in December 2016. They totaled 2.283 MMT for the two months of November and December 2017, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Soybean and product prices moved lower overnight while grains climbed higher, reversing yesterday’s pattern of direction. The volume of trade was notably higher than during recent overnight sessions, probably in response to a sharp decline of the U.S. dollar against most other major curre...

Macroeconomics

Tax Glitch Sill Not Fixed

One of the late changes to the recently passed U.S. tax reform bill created some significant, unintended consequences that gave farmers a huge tax break and cooperatives an incredible advantage over privately-owned grain companies. As it stands today, the situation allows farmers to deduct 20 p...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Macroeconomics On 9 February, a portion of the grain truck drivers’ union called for a strike across Argentina that is also preventing those who are not members from working as well. The strike is generating losses of $100 million/day across the entire value chain. The combination of not...

soy-oilseeds softs biofuel

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

High Duty Reduces Edible Oil Imports Edible oil imports dropped in December 2017 following an increase in the duty the previous month, falling approximately 9.88 percent to 1.058 MMT versus 1.174 MMT in December 2016. They totaled 2.283 MMT for the two months of November and December 2017, down...

Tax Glitch Sill Not Fixed

One of the late changes to the recently passed U.S. tax reform bill created some significant, unintended consequences that gave farmers a huge tax break and cooperatives an incredible advantage over privately-owned grain companies. As it stands today, the situation allows farmers to deduct 20 p...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Macroeconomics On 9 February, a portion of the grain truck drivers’ union called for a strike across Argentina that is also preventing those who are not members from working as well. The strike is generating losses of $100 million/day across the entire value chain. The combination of not...

soy-oilseeds softs biofuel

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

High Duty Reduces Edible Oil Imports Edible oil imports dropped in December 2017 following an increase in the duty the previous month, falling approximately 9.88 percent to 1.058 MMT versus 1.174 MMT in December 2016. They totaled 2.283 MMT for the two months of November and December 2017, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

An Important Month for U.S. Farmers

February is important for U.S. farmers as it is the month that the initial prices for the federal crop revenue insurance programs are calculated. These also serve as the minimum prices regardless of what the markets do going forward and form the basis for the per acre revenue guarantees for the...

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