World Perspectives

Recent South America Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 11 April)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 11 April 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight The trade war(s) and the possible Section 301 penalties against Chinese vessels docking at U.S. ports have kept freight markets exceptionally volatile in recent weeks. This week’s trend wa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, WASDE, Fundamentals and Mixed Markets

Tariffs are down for many countries other than China, but they have not gone away. Yesterday’s market exuberance over the temporary pause was just a sugar high and reality returned on Thursday. The better-than-expected decline in inflation (CPI) in March wasn’t enough for outside ma...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. soybeans oil exports by 500 million pounds due to strong export commitments. U.S. soybean exports are unchanged and imports increased slightly – resulting in a 5 million bushel decrease in ending stocks to 375 million. The U.S. se...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels. U.S. corn ending stocks are down 75 million bushels from last month to 1.5 billion. The season-average corn price received by producers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel.  Global corn ending stocks,...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat - USDA’s April 2025 estimates are for increased U.S. wheat imports by 10 million bushels to 150 million - the largest since 2017/18. Domestic consumption is forecast 2 million bushels lower on reduced seed use. U.S. wheat exports are lowered 15 million bushels to 820 million. As a r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Bounces on WASDE Prep, Oversold Conditions

CBOT ag markets found more support on Tuesday as traders prepare for Thursday’s WASDE report and as hope is emerging that various trading partners will be able to negotiate an end to the new Liberation Day tariffs. Certainly, China and the EU are not looking to make a deal, and that is a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Inspections, Tariffs and VIX Was the Day’s Fix

Soybeans and wheat followed the overnight and opened higher, with corn briefly above zero. Supportive early in the session were export inspections for last week where corn and soybeans came down only slightly from last week, with a modest drop for wheat. The tariff announcement came too late fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Market Update Argentina Faces Harvest Delays and Changing Trade Dynamics Corn harvest progress in Argentina was slow last week, with only 1 percentage point gained due to early-week rainfall. As a result, the total harvested area has reached 20 percent. With improved weather in recent days...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Gains After USDA Reports; Soyoil Leads Soy Complex Higher

The CBOT was mostly higher following the all-important Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks reports with traders looking to price in emerging factors now that USDA’s thoughts on the acreage situation are known. For corn, the emerging factors are dryness in Brazil that could start to thr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina Continues to Face Weather Instability   Argentina remains in a period of climate instability, with frequent heavy rains, strong winds, and occasional hail affecting some agricultural areas this week. Rainfall in the northern region – which had been suffering from low s...

soy-oilseeds

Slow Soy Sales in Argentina Following Policy Changes

Argentine soybean farmers are selling their crop at the slowest pace in 10 years as producers bet on the likely effects of libertarian President Javier Milei’s actions on commodity markets, including a weakening of the peso and potential tax relief. The sales are a quarter below where the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears in Control of Grains; Cattle Futures Reclaim Early Losses

Bears were in control of the CBOT on Tuesday and sent corn, soybeans, and wheat all lower with several significant technical developments. Fresh fundamental news was hard to find for the day and that certainly contributed to the day’s weakness. Funds were solid net sellers for the second...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 11 April)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 11 April 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight The trade war(s) and the possible Section 301 penalties against Chinese vessels docking at U.S. ports have kept freight markets exceptionally volatile in recent weeks. This week’s trend wa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariffs, WASDE, Fundamentals and Mixed Markets

Tariffs are down for many countries other than China, but they have not gone away. Yesterday’s market exuberance over the temporary pause was just a sugar high and reality returned on Thursday. The better-than-expected decline in inflation (CPI) in March wasn’t enough for outside ma...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. soybeans oil exports by 500 million pounds due to strong export commitments. U.S. soybean exports are unchanged and imports increased slightly – resulting in a 5 million bushel decrease in ending stocks to 375 million. The U.S. se...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn - USDA’s April 2025 estimates increase U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels. U.S. corn ending stocks are down 75 million bushels from last month to 1.5 billion. The season-average corn price received by producers is unchanged at $4.35 per bushel.  Global corn ending stocks,...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat - USDA’s April 2025 estimates are for increased U.S. wheat imports by 10 million bushels to 150 million - the largest since 2017/18. Domestic consumption is forecast 2 million bushels lower on reduced seed use. U.S. wheat exports are lowered 15 million bushels to 820 million. As a r...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Bounces on WASDE Prep, Oversold Conditions

CBOT ag markets found more support on Tuesday as traders prepare for Thursday’s WASDE report and as hope is emerging that various trading partners will be able to negotiate an end to the new Liberation Day tariffs. Certainly, China and the EU are not looking to make a deal, and that is a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Inspections, Tariffs and VIX Was the Day’s Fix

Soybeans and wheat followed the overnight and opened higher, with corn briefly above zero. Supportive early in the session were export inspections for last week where corn and soybeans came down only slightly from last week, with a modest drop for wheat. The tariff announcement came too late fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Market Update Argentina Faces Harvest Delays and Changing Trade Dynamics Corn harvest progress in Argentina was slow last week, with only 1 percentage point gained due to early-week rainfall. As a result, the total harvested area has reached 20 percent. With improved weather in recent days...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Gains After USDA Reports; Soyoil Leads Soy Complex Higher

The CBOT was mostly higher following the all-important Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks reports with traders looking to price in emerging factors now that USDA’s thoughts on the acreage situation are known. For corn, the emerging factors are dryness in Brazil that could start to thr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina Continues to Face Weather Instability   Argentina remains in a period of climate instability, with frequent heavy rains, strong winds, and occasional hail affecting some agricultural areas this week. Rainfall in the northern region – which had been suffering from low s...

soy-oilseeds

Slow Soy Sales in Argentina Following Policy Changes

Argentine soybean farmers are selling their crop at the slowest pace in 10 years as producers bet on the likely effects of libertarian President Javier Milei’s actions on commodity markets, including a weakening of the peso and potential tax relief. The sales are a quarter below where the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears in Control of Grains; Cattle Futures Reclaim Early Losses

Bears were in control of the CBOT on Tuesday and sent corn, soybeans, and wheat all lower with several significant technical developments. Fresh fundamental news was hard to find for the day and that certainly contributed to the day’s weakness. Funds were solid net sellers for the second...

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