World Perspectives

Recent North America Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5125/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.67/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $334.4/short ton, up $4.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Discount Risk as Grains Quietly Hold Ground

Key Market Developments Macros & Energy:  Outside markets continue to trade in a tug-of-war between escalation and de-escalation — and crude oil is right at the center of it. Overnight, crude pulled back toward $87 as headlines pointed to a potential resumption of peace negotiat...

War Impacts; Taxes and Tariffs

War Impacts May soybeans are now within a penny of their value two weeks ago, and May corn is back up to within half a percent of its price at that time. The S&P closed above 7,000 for the first time, and the Nasdaq hit a record high.  The cost of gasoline is about 15 percent higher th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.43/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.92/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.58/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $329.7/short ton, down $2.2 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Rallies on Falling Conditions; Cattle Surge to New Records

The CBOT received several pieces of key fundamental information on Tuesday, including updated production figures from CONAB, the results of the USDA’s Monday Crop Progress report, and fresh export sales of corn to Mexico. The result was that wheat popped higher on growing concerns for yie...

Congress Coming Back to Busy Agenda

The House and Senate are returning from their two-week Easter recess period with a busy agenda ahead. While the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown has now hit the two-month mark, a plan is emerging to use reconciliation to fund Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs a...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated further last week to -$85/head, down from -$17/head the prior week, as continued strength in fed cattle prices again outpaced weakening boxed beef values. The Choice cutout declined $5.14/cwt to $386.41/cwt, while fed cattle prices rose $3.78/cwt to $388.36/cwt,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8225/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6225/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, up $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Political Tail Still Wagging the Market Dog

Politics are once again the tail wagging the dog in commodity markets. U.S. negotiations with Iran fell apart (again) over the weekend after Iran refused to agree to a permanent end of its nuclear weapons program. Rather than a return to the recent status quo, however, markets are adjusting to...

energy

War Impacts

Commodity markets were mixed today, while Wall Street traded higher after President Trump said the Iranians still want to negotiate after he closed the Strait of Hormuz. The result is baffling to some, but the market reflects investor expectations about future corporate earnings and growth rath...

livestock

JBS Strike Settled, Beef Sector Still Under Inflationary Pressure

JBS USA announced on Sunday that it has reached a new collective bargaining agreement with UFCW Local 7, allowing the Greeley beef production facility to return to normal operations. The plant had been on strike since 16 March, with approximately 3,800 workers affected. The plant has the capaci...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts, ending a ten-week streak of net buying. Funds sold 62,000 contracts (6.4 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week with selling in corn, soybeans, and CBOT wheat respon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5125/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9375/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.67/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $334.4/short ton, up $4.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Discount Risk as Grains Quietly Hold Ground

Key Market Developments Macros & Energy:  Outside markets continue to trade in a tug-of-war between escalation and de-escalation — and crude oil is right at the center of it. Overnight, crude pulled back toward $87 as headlines pointed to a potential resumption of peace negotiat...

War Impacts; Taxes and Tariffs

War Impacts May soybeans are now within a penny of their value two weeks ago, and May corn is back up to within half a percent of its price at that time. The S&P closed above 7,000 for the first time, and the Nasdaq hit a record high.  The cost of gasoline is about 15 percent higher th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.43/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.92/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.58/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $329.7/short ton, down $2.2 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Rallies on Falling Conditions; Cattle Surge to New Records

The CBOT received several pieces of key fundamental information on Tuesday, including updated production figures from CONAB, the results of the USDA’s Monday Crop Progress report, and fresh export sales of corn to Mexico. The result was that wheat popped higher on growing concerns for yie...

Congress Coming Back to Busy Agenda

The House and Senate are returning from their two-week Easter recess period with a busy agenda ahead. While the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown has now hit the two-month mark, a plan is emerging to use reconciliation to fund Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs a...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated further last week to -$85/head, down from -$17/head the prior week, as continued strength in fed cattle prices again outpaced weakening boxed beef values. The Choice cutout declined $5.14/cwt to $386.41/cwt, while fed cattle prices rose $3.78/cwt to $388.36/cwt,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8225/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6225/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, up $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Political Tail Still Wagging the Market Dog

Politics are once again the tail wagging the dog in commodity markets. U.S. negotiations with Iran fell apart (again) over the weekend after Iran refused to agree to a permanent end of its nuclear weapons program. Rather than a return to the recent status quo, however, markets are adjusting to...

energy

War Impacts

Commodity markets were mixed today, while Wall Street traded higher after President Trump said the Iranians still want to negotiate after he closed the Strait of Hormuz. The result is baffling to some, but the market reflects investor expectations about future corporate earnings and growth rath...

livestock

JBS Strike Settled, Beef Sector Still Under Inflationary Pressure

JBS USA announced on Sunday that it has reached a new collective bargaining agreement with UFCW Local 7, allowing the Greeley beef production facility to return to normal operations. The plant had been on strike since 16 March, with approximately 3,800 workers affected. The plant has the capaci...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds paring back their net long position across the major ag futures contracts, ending a ten-week streak of net buying. Funds sold 62,000 contracts (6.4 percent) to their all-ags net long position last week with selling in corn, soybeans, and CBOT wheat respon...

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