World Perspectives

Recent North America Analysis

Steel Steals; Colonialism versus Slavery; India’s Farm Policy; Immigration and Inflation

Steel Steals from Farmers If the Trump White House accepts the advice of the Section 232 investigation by the Ross Commerce Department and raises tariffs on steel imports, it could be U.S. farmers who are hurt. That is the calculation of former U.S. ITC commissioner Daniel Pearson. He notes tha...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

Undermining 232 Rationale; Trump View Vindicated; MAAlicious

Undermining 232 Rationale The U.S. Commerce Department announced the results of its Section 232 investigation into imports of aluminum and steel. It was found that these imports are undermining national security and should be subject to both tariffs and quotas. The U.S. can assert a national se...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

Heitkamp versus Cramer: It’s On!

A little “water cooler” office conversation (albeit conducted electronically) at WPI this week centered on handicapping the North Dakota Senate race now that at-large Republican Representative Kevin Cramer is apparently is about to throw his hat in the ring against incumbent Democra...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

The annual USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum will take place next week (22-23 February) in Washington, DC. USDA will issue preliminary unofficial estimates of the U.S. 2018 corn, soybean and wheat crops as part of the 10-year projections. It had released preliminary baselines in November 2017, an...

Origin Labeling Loser; War of Words; Taxes and Budgets

Origin Labeling Loser The U.S. beef industry feels embattled. After years of contending with health risk warnings about its product, marketers of plant proteins are now labeling their own products as “clean meat,” implying the same product at its base but qualitatively better. Prote...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets traded rather quietly overnight with prices holding mostly steady to mildly firmer. However, prices for soybeans and wheat began to tick higher soon after trading resumed for the day session. Support was offered by agreement among all three major weather models that the so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Fundamental Winds of Change

USDA made several changes a week ago to its supply/demand estimates for the U.S. and the world that were unusual for a February WASDE. With South American harvests just underway at this time and Northern Hemisphere supplies/demand patterns/trade flows well in place, revisions made in February W...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in Commodity Analytics’ short-term technical indicators for grain futures should be carefully examined against long-term signals. Elsewhere, livestock futures (live cattle, feeder cattle, and lean hogs) are showing technical signals that may influence how traders should manage the...

Steel Steals; Colonialism versus Slavery; India’s Farm Policy; Immigration and Inflation

Steel Steals from Farmers If the Trump White House accepts the advice of the Section 232 investigation by the Ross Commerce Department and raises tariffs on steel imports, it could be U.S. farmers who are hurt. That is the calculation of former U.S. ITC commissioner Daniel Pearson. He notes tha...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil After very strong movement two weeks ago, last week was very quiet in general. The previously discussed Carnival holiday (see Ag Perspectives, 12 February) occurred on Monday and Tuesday, and the seven-day Chinese New Year began on Wednesday. As a result, there has been no futur...

Undermining 232 Rationale; Trump View Vindicated; MAAlicious

Undermining 232 Rationale The U.S. Commerce Department announced the results of its Section 232 investigation into imports of aluminum and steel. It was found that these imports are undermining national security and should be subject to both tariffs and quotas. The U.S. can assert a national se...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Futures Prices

WPI provides a summary of the week’s futures price activity and the gains/losses experienced by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today’s data from the CFTC points to changing views among managed money funds. Meanwhile, commercial traders’ positions are evol...

Heitkamp versus Cramer: It’s On!

A little “water cooler” office conversation (albeit conducted electronically) at WPI this week centered on handicapping the North Dakota Senate race now that at-large Republican Representative Kevin Cramer is apparently is about to throw his hat in the ring against incumbent Democra...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights.   ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note that U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. A three-day weekend in the middle of a weather market tends to make traders a bit nervous because of the potential for significant changes in the forecasts. Volume today was just slightly better than average, and marke...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

The annual USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum will take place next week (22-23 February) in Washington, DC. USDA will issue preliminary unofficial estimates of the U.S. 2018 corn, soybean and wheat crops as part of the 10-year projections. It had released preliminary baselines in November 2017, an...

Origin Labeling Loser; War of Words; Taxes and Budgets

Origin Labeling Loser The U.S. beef industry feels embattled. After years of contending with health risk warnings about its product, marketers of plant proteins are now labeling their own products as “clean meat,” implying the same product at its base but qualitatively better. Prote...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets traded rather quietly overnight with prices holding mostly steady to mildly firmer. However, prices for soybeans and wheat began to tick higher soon after trading resumed for the day session. Support was offered by agreement among all three major weather models that the so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Fundamental Winds of Change

USDA made several changes a week ago to its supply/demand estimates for the U.S. and the world that were unusual for a February WASDE. With South American harvests just underway at this time and Northern Hemisphere supplies/demand patterns/trade flows well in place, revisions made in February W...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in Commodity Analytics’ short-term technical indicators for grain futures should be carefully examined against long-term signals. Elsewhere, livestock futures (live cattle, feeder cattle, and lean hogs) are showing technical signals that may influence how traders should manage the...

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