World Perspectives

Recent North America Analysis

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 left ending stocks of U.S. soybeans unchanged at 310 million bushels for 2026/27. Prices also are unchanged for 2026/27 - the average U.S. soybean price is forecast at $11.40 per bushel; soybean meal and oil prices are projected at $310 per short ton...

wheat

WASDE Corn - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. corn ending stocks by 170 million bushels to 1.8 billion. The season-average farm price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.40 per bushel.  Foreign corn production was cut due to record heat in France. If realized, French pr...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. wheat production by 7 million bushels from last month to 1,536 million – which is the lowest U.S. wheat production since 1970/71. The result is that projected 2026/27 ending stocks are 722 million bushels, which is down 22 per...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The weather rally continues to shift fund positioning and sentiment from its former bearish posture to a far more bullish configuration. Managed money traders purchased 93,000 contracts across the ag markets, expanding their all-ags net long 98 percent in the process. The biggest drivers of the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Reassessing Weather and Geopolitical Risks

What You Need to Know Today: Rising hostilities and an end to any semblance of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran created geopolitical risk-off trade in macroeconomic markets, though the CBOT seemed immune. President Trump announced the U.S. military would resume its naval blockade on Iran...

livestock

Livestock WASDE

USDA released its monthly World Supply and Demand Estimates on Friday, forecasting tighter beef supplies and growing pork and broiler supplies.  Beef production was lowered due to a slower fed cattle harvest, which was offset somewhat by cow slaughter. Fed cattle slaughter was forecast to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 13 July)

Developer's Note:  Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where obs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.6325/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.3525/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9475/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $315/short ton, down $3.7 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

U.S. Farmers Maintain a Storage Advantage over Brazilian Counterparts

Key Takeaways: The U.S. maintains a significant storage advantage, with a much larger share of grain storage located on farms, giving producers greater flexibility to manage timing, basis, and pricing decisions. Brazil's storage deficit increases harvest-time pressure on logistics and exports,...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

feed-grains

AP Quant: WASDE Corn

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.61/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.4025/bushel, up $0.205 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9075/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $318.7/short ton, up $3.3 from y...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bullish WASDE and Sea of Azov Strikes Lift Grains

What You Need to Know Today: Wheat prices surged after Ukrainian strikes on Russian vessels and infrastructure disrupted grain shipments, halting traffic through the Sea of Azov, Kerch Strait, and Black Sea. The July WASDE report offered a modestly supportive outlook for corn, wheat, and soybe...

soy-oilseeds equities energy

Trade Deficit Data Reflects AI, Petroleum, and Soybeans

The trade deficit in goods and services came in at $77.6 billion in May, slightly smaller than the consensus estimate of $78.4 billion. After a few months of relative stability, the trade deficit widened in May. The increase in the deficit for the month was due to both a rise in imports, which...

feed-grains wheat

Wheat's Declining, Millers Keep Milling

Every June combines begin their annual sweep across the winter wheat fields of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. At the same time, USDA releases its Acreage and Crop Progress reports, providing the first comprehensive look at the size and condition of the crop. Most years the reports simply confirm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.52/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.1975/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.815/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $315.4/short ton, up $4.2 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Market Is Always Looking Ahead

Weather remains the dominant driver of grain markets this time of year, but this week's trade has been a reminder that futures markets are constantly looking ahead. Corn and soybean prices don't simply react to today's weather — they respond to where traders believe production risks will...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: UFCW Wants Big 4 to Get USDA Money

As we wrote in last week’s Livestock Round Up, the Administration has announced the Strengthening Processing for U.S. Ranchers (SPUR) program that will provide up to $500 million in payments for small- and medium-sized processors to buy cattle. The Big 4 packers are ineligible, which has...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

Soyoil Clears an EU Regulatory Hurdle, but Demand Growth Faces Other Challenges

Key Takeaways: The European Parliament rejected a proposal to classify soyoil as a high ILUC-risk feedstock, preventing a potential phaseout from EU biofuel markets by 2030. Palm oil remains the only major vegetable oil designated as high ILUC-risk in the EU due to concerns over expansion into...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.5625/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.0775/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9225/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $311.2/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Geopolitical Risk Back in Play

What You Need to Know Today: President Trump claimed the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran was over, as both sides accused one another of violating the terms of the agreement. Commercial vessels are increasingly steering clear of the Strait of Hormuz as security risks escalate following Iran...

livestock

Can Lean Beef Futures Succeed Where Others Have Failed?

Key Takeaways:  The CME Group is launching new 90 percent Lean Beef and 50 percent Lean Beef futures and options contracts in July. There are five key factors that must be present in physical markets and futures contract specifications for futures contracts to become successful. The two l...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 left ending stocks of U.S. soybeans unchanged at 310 million bushels for 2026/27. Prices also are unchanged for 2026/27 - the average U.S. soybean price is forecast at $11.40 per bushel; soybean meal and oil prices are projected at $310 per short ton...

wheat

WASDE Corn - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. corn ending stocks by 170 million bushels to 1.8 billion. The season-average farm price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.40 per bushel.  Foreign corn production was cut due to record heat in France. If realized, French pr...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - July 2026

USDA’s July WASDE outlook for 2026/27 reduced total U.S. wheat production by 7 million bushels from last month to 1,536 million – which is the lowest U.S. wheat production since 1970/71. The result is that projected 2026/27 ending stocks are 722 million bushels, which is down 22 per...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The weather rally continues to shift fund positioning and sentiment from its former bearish posture to a far more bullish configuration. Managed money traders purchased 93,000 contracts across the ag markets, expanding their all-ags net long 98 percent in the process. The biggest drivers of the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Reassessing Weather and Geopolitical Risks

What You Need to Know Today: Rising hostilities and an end to any semblance of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran created geopolitical risk-off trade in macroeconomic markets, though the CBOT seemed immune. President Trump announced the U.S. military would resume its naval blockade on Iran...

livestock

Livestock WASDE

USDA released its monthly World Supply and Demand Estimates on Friday, forecasting tighter beef supplies and growing pork and broiler supplies.  Beef production was lowered due to a slower fed cattle harvest, which was offset somewhat by cow slaughter. Fed cattle slaughter was forecast to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 13 July)

Developer's Note:  Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where obs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.6325/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.3525/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9475/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $315/short ton, down $3.7 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

U.S. Farmers Maintain a Storage Advantage over Brazilian Counterparts

Key Takeaways: The U.S. maintains a significant storage advantage, with a much larger share of grain storage located on farms, giving producers greater flexibility to manage timing, basis, and pricing decisions. Brazil's storage deficit increases harvest-time pressure on logistics and exports,...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - presents the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are...

feed-grains

AP Quant: WASDE Corn

Ag Perspectives Quant - WPI's data-driven look at ag market fundamentals - offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which WPI feels are of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.61/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.4025/bushel, up $0.205 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9075/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $318.7/short ton, up $3.3 from y...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bullish WASDE and Sea of Azov Strikes Lift Grains

What You Need to Know Today: Wheat prices surged after Ukrainian strikes on Russian vessels and infrastructure disrupted grain shipments, halting traffic through the Sea of Azov, Kerch Strait, and Black Sea. The July WASDE report offered a modestly supportive outlook for corn, wheat, and soybe...

soy-oilseeds equities energy

Trade Deficit Data Reflects AI, Petroleum, and Soybeans

The trade deficit in goods and services came in at $77.6 billion in May, slightly smaller than the consensus estimate of $78.4 billion. After a few months of relative stability, the trade deficit widened in May. The increase in the deficit for the month was due to both a rise in imports, which...

feed-grains wheat

Wheat's Declining, Millers Keep Milling

Every June combines begin their annual sweep across the winter wheat fields of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. At the same time, USDA releases its Acreage and Crop Progress reports, providing the first comprehensive look at the size and condition of the crop. Most years the reports simply confirm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.52/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.1975/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.815/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $315.4/short ton, up $4.2 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Market Is Always Looking Ahead

Weather remains the dominant driver of grain markets this time of year, but this week's trade has been a reminder that futures markets are constantly looking ahead. Corn and soybean prices don't simply react to today's weather — they respond to where traders believe production risks will...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: UFCW Wants Big 4 to Get USDA Money

As we wrote in last week’s Livestock Round Up, the Administration has announced the Strengthening Processing for U.S. Ranchers (SPUR) program that will provide up to $500 million in payments for small- and medium-sized processors to buy cattle. The Big 4 packers are ineligible, which has...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

Soyoil Clears an EU Regulatory Hurdle, but Demand Growth Faces Other Challenges

Key Takeaways: The European Parliament rejected a proposal to classify soyoil as a high ILUC-risk feedstock, preventing a potential phaseout from EU biofuel markets by 2030. Palm oil remains the only major vegetable oil designated as high ILUC-risk in the EU due to concerns over expansion into...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.5625/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Sep 26 Wheat closed at $6.0775/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Nov 26 Soybeans closed at $11.9225/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Dec 26 Soymeal closed at $311.2/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Geopolitical Risk Back in Play

What You Need to Know Today: President Trump claimed the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran was over, as both sides accused one another of violating the terms of the agreement. Commercial vessels are increasingly steering clear of the Strait of Hormuz as security risks escalate following Iran...

livestock

Can Lean Beef Futures Succeed Where Others Have Failed?

Key Takeaways:  The CME Group is launching new 90 percent Lean Beef and 50 percent Lean Beef futures and options contracts in July. There are five key factors that must be present in physical markets and futures contract specifications for futures contracts to become successful. The two l...

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