Lean hog futures surged to new contract highs over the past several weeks, followed by a correction in values that remains ongoing. Despite strong pork demand and reduced slaughter volumes and carcass weights, traders have been wary of the seasonal trend for prices to pull back in Q3 and Q4. WPI’s latest analysis of pork and hog demand indicates these concerns are well founded, and our models project continued weakness in the pork sector. Notably, values will remain near or slightly below 2024 levels for the pork cutout and CME futures, while physical hog prices are expected to see modest year-over-year gains. For 2026, however, early projections suggest producers will again experience strong pricing and profitability in the first hal...