World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The major theme of the latest CFTC report is funds paring back risk in corn and the soy complex heading into the December WASDE report and/or the holiday season. Corn’s range-bound trade these past two weeks prompted funds to shed 13 percent of their long position in the market and have liquidated about 33,000 contracts in two weeks. The move likely indicates...

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Sorting Through Tariffs

On 2 April, President Trump announced the U.S. will impose a minimum baseline of 10 percent tariffs on all imported goods into the U.S. as well as higher reciprocal tariffs on exporting countries that impose tariffs on U.S. goods. Countries that will see tariffs higher than the baseline 10 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Challenging Analogues

Drew Lerner at World Weather, Inc. makes an interesting analogy between U.S. weather this spring, and that of 1968. Both this year and 1968 involved recovery from peak solar activity (sunspots) and neutral ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) conditions.  He looked at seven previous...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.47/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $296.4/short ton, up $2.7 from...

Sorting Through Tariffs

On 2 April, President Trump announced the U.S. will impose a minimum baseline of 10 percent tariffs on all imported goods into the U.S. as well as higher reciprocal tariffs on exporting countries that impose tariffs on U.S. goods. Countries that will see tariffs higher than the baseline 10 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Challenging Analogues

Drew Lerner at World Weather, Inc. makes an interesting analogy between U.S. weather this spring, and that of 1968. Both this year and 1968 involved recovery from peak solar activity (sunspots) and neutral ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) conditions.  He looked at seven previous...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.47/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $296.4/short ton, up $2.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility versus Fundamentals

Markets have been trending lower this week and while soybeans and SRW teased lower numbers this morning, both ultimately turned around and left corn and soyoil the lonely losers for the day. HRS continued to bounce on the lower crop rating early this week. In contrast to SRW and HRW, HRS is up...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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