World Perspectives
wheat

2017/18 U.S. Wheat Outlook

A great abundance of wheat supplies in the U.S. and a record-large volume in the world were the dominant features in 2016/17 that resulted in relatively low wheat prices. However, there will be major changes in the U.S. 2017/18 wheat supply/demand balance.Grain futures markets have been relatively placid during the past few years. Large crops led to increasing stocks and expanding stocks/use ratios, which in turn led noncommercial managed funds to periodically build up large short futures positions. This was especially true for wheat. There was a subjective but widely-held view that wheat’s supply/demand fundamentals were relatively the most bearish of all. That opinion encouraged funds to maintain what sometimes seemed like a permanent sho...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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