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2018 Energy Outlook

The ability to export crude oil, which was granted to U.S. producers in December 2015, is still a game changer in the energy markets. Global crude oil averaged $54/barrel in 2017, up $10/barrel from the previous year. That increase is fairly limited, however, given the 4.5 percent cut in production that members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) each agreed during the fourth quarter of 2016 to target. OPEC’s production averaged 32.5 million barrels/day in 2017, down 0.2 million barrels/day from the year before. Its members agreed on 30 November 2017 to extend the production cuts through the end of 2018, and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is forecasting the average price for Brent crude will b...

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Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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