World Perspectives
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A Conflicted Soybean Market

Despite the large fund investment in the soybean market, soybean futures prices have stayed in a trading range during the past two months that reflects the conflict between funds’ desire to be long amid a rather bearish fundamental outlook.Monday’s Wall Street Journal carried an article describing how after years of little or no growth, investors finally see hope that the global economy has begun to expand, and that hope has inspired some of them to re-enter commodity markets. This has led to a surge of managed investment money flowing back into commodities. A great deal of managed money pools had been forced out of those markets after commodity prices collapsed in 2015. At the same time, investors pulled money out of long-only index fund p...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

The livestock packing sector continues to see profitability decline as beef and pork prices have been relatively stable while animal costs have risen. Both beef and pork packer margins turned negative last week, though the losses are shallow in the pork sector and deeply red for the beef indust...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Sees Mixed Monday on Risk-off Trade; Feeder Cattle Rally on Import Ban

The holiday trading season is officially here, which means the CBOT will likely see fading volume and volatility until the new year. Ag markets reflected much of that sentiment on Monday with wheat and corn falling amid reduced concerns about the conflict in the Black Sea while soybeans and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 25 November)

Update for 1 April 2024: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where ob...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

The livestock packing sector continues to see profitability decline as beef and pork prices have been relatively stable while animal costs have risen. Both beef and pork packer margins turned negative last week, though the losses are shallow in the pork sector and deeply red for the beef indust...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Sees Mixed Monday on Risk-off Trade; Feeder Cattle Rally on Import Ban

The holiday trading season is officially here, which means the CBOT will likely see fading volume and volatility until the new year. Ag markets reflected much of that sentiment on Monday with wheat and corn falling amid reduced concerns about the conflict in the Black Sea while soybeans and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 25 November)

Update for 1 April 2024: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where ob...

Brooke Rollins: New Ag Secretary Pick

During the Presidential campaign, one topic on which Donad Trump was introspective was on his staff and cabinet appointments. He mentioned more than once on the campaign trail that getting the “right people” in jobs was one area in which he would focus the second time around. Typically Trump me...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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